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題名:Efficient Option Pricing with Importance Sampling
書刊名:中國統計學報
作者:陳醇潔傅承德鄧惠文 引用關係
作者(外文):Chen, Chun-chiehFuh, Cheng-derTeng, Huei-wen
出版日期:2013
卷期:51:3
頁次:頁253-273
主題關鍵詞:財務選擇權定價變異數縮減蒙地卡羅模擬重點抽樣Financial options pricingVariance reductionMonte Carlo simulationImportance sampling
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:7
隨著金融商品迅速發展,如何正確且有效率的計算選擇權價格是一個具有挑戰性的問題。我們已知選擇權價格是選擇權連結商品的收益函數(payoff functions)的期望值,其中機率密度函數是風險中立測度。奇異選擇權(exotic options)或複雜的選擇權通常沒有封閉解,就算在布萊克-肖爾斯(Black-Scholes)假設下也是如此,因此需要使用數值方法。其中,蒙地卡羅近似是一個合適的方法,且對於複雜的收益函數也很容易做調整。雖然蒙地卡羅估計量通常是不偏的,但卻有較大的變異數。為了解決這個問題,我們提出了一個重點抽樣的方法,用指數平移測度來極小化蒙地卡羅估計量的變異數。接著我們利用這個方法計算數位選擇權(digital options)和歐式選擇權價格作為例子。
With the rapid development of financial instruments, pricing options correctly and efficiently is a challenging task. It is known that an option price is an integral, where the integrand is a product of the payoff function of an option and a probability density function under the risk-neutral probability measure. Closed-form formulas for exotic or complicated options price rarely exist even under the standard Black-Scholes assumptions, and consequently additional numerical techniques are required. Among them, Monte Carlo approaches are flexible and easy to be adjusted for complicated payoff functions. Although Monte Carlo estimators are usually unbiased, they suffer from large variances. To tackle this problem, we first propose an importance sampling procedure, to which it is an exponential tilting measure minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. Next we apply our method to calculate the option prices, such as digital and European options.
期刊論文
1.Do, K.-A.、Hall, P.(1991)。On importance resampling for the bootstrap。Biometrika,78,161-167。  new window
2.Dupuis, P.、Wang, H.(2004)。Importance sampling, large deviations, and differential games。Stochastics and Stochastics Reports,76,481-508。  new window
3.Dupuis, P.、Wang, H.(2005)。Dynamic importance sampling for uniformly recurrent markov chains。The Annals of Applied Probability,15,1-38。  new window
4.Fuh, C.-D.、Hu, I.(2007)。Estimation in hidden markov models via efficient importance sampling。Bernoulli,13,492-513。  new window
5.Fuh, C.-D.、Hu, I.、Hsu, Y.-H.、Wang, R.-H.(2011)。Efficient simulation of value at risk with heavy-tailed risk factors。Operations Research,59,1395-1406。  new window
6.Givens, G. H.、Raftery, A. E.(1996)。Local adaptive importance sampling for multivariate densities with strong nonlinear relationships。Journal of the American Statistical Association,91,132-141。  new window
7.Glasserman, P.、Heidelberger, P.、Shahabuddin, P.(1999)。Asymptotically optimal importance sampling and stratification for pricing path-dependent options。Mathematical Finance,9,117-152。  new window
8.Glasserman, P.、Wang, Y.(1997)。Counterexamples in importance sampling for large deviations probabilities。The Annals of Statistics,7,731-746。  new window
9.Lyuu, Y.-D.、Teng, H.-W.(2011)。Unbiased and efficient Greeks of financial options。Finance and Stochastics,15(1),141-181。  new window
10.Neddermeyer, Jan C.(2011)。Non-parametric partial importance sampling for financial derivative pricing。Quantitative Finance,11,1193-1206。  new window
11.Siegmund, D.(1976)。Importance sampling in the Monte Carlo study of sequential test。The Annals of Statistics,4,673-684。  new window
12.Zhang, P.(1996)。Nonparametric Importance Sampling。Journal of the American Statistical Association,91,1245-1253。  new window
13.Boyle, Phelim P.、Broadie, Mark、Glasserman, Paul(1997)。Monte Carlo Methods for Security Pricing。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,21(8/9),1267-1321。  new window
14.傅承德、Hu, Inchi(2004)。Efficient importance sampling for events of moderate Deviations with applications。Biometrika,91,471-490。  new window
會議論文
1.Kim, Y. B.、Roh, D. S.、Lee, M. Y.(2000)。Nonparametric adaptive importance sampling for rare event simulation767-772。  new window
2.Su, Y.、Fu, M. C.(2000)。Importance sampling in derivative securities pricing587-596。  new window
3.Vazquez-Abad, F. J.、Dufresne, D.(1998)。Accelerated Simulation for Pricing Asian Options1493-1500。  new window
研究報告
1.Fuh, C.-D.、Teng, H.-W.、Wang, R.-H.(2013)。Efficient importance sampling for rare event simulation with applications。  new window
圖書
1.Ross, S. M.(2006)。Simulation。New York:Academic Press。  new window
2.Glasserman, P.(2004)。Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering。New York, NY:Springer-Verlag。  new window
3.Lyuu, Y. D.(2002)。Financial Engineering and Computation: Principles, Mathematics, Algorithms。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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