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題名:中國脫離貧窮邁向富裕的關鍵
書刊名:華人經濟研究
作者:賴文玲劉任昌 引用關係殷向真
作者(外文):Lai, Wen-lingLiu, Jen-changYin, Hsiang-chen
出版日期:2014
卷期:12:1
頁次:頁189-206
主題關鍵詞:中國鄧小平貧窮陷阱漸進主義赤道幾內亞ChinaDeng XiaopingPoverty trapGradualismEquatorial Guinea
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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在1960年,中國是全球的次貧窮國家,但到了2010年,中國的人均GDP累計成長132倍,從全球倒數第二,演變成全球排行的中位數。總GDP則成長208倍,從全球第八大經濟體(美國的7.7%),成為全球第二大經濟體(美國的74.8%)。本研究追蹤歷年全球最貧窮之十個國家,試圖發掘貧窮國家邁向富裕的關鍵。從結構面與制度面,討論貧窮陷阱假說,且建立可以分辨一個國家是否脫離貧窮陷阱之操作性定義。本研究界定那些國家脫離貧窮?並且探討脫離貧窮的原因與步驟。本研究強調North(1990)制度經濟學對經濟發展分析的重要。漸進式的制度轉移與演化,是貧窮國家脫離貧窮陷阱的關鍵。最後,本研究闡釋鄧小平在中國政治與經濟改革過程中,扮演的關鍵角色。
In 1960, China is the second poorest country in terms of GDP per capita; however, its per-capita GDP has grown by a factor of 132, with its per-capita GDP larger than the median. Its GDP has grown by a factor of 208, rising from the 8th economy (with its GDP being 7.7% of the U.S.'s) to the 2nd economy (with its GDP 74.8% of the U.S.'s). We trace the poorest ten countries over the sample period and try to find factors by which a poor country becomes richer. We examine the poverty trap theory from the perspective of structural and institutional analysis, and establish an operational definition for a country to escape from poverty trap. We identify countries escaping from poverty trap and discuss their patterns. We praise the theory of North (1990). Incremental change and evolution of institutions is the key for a country to grow. Finally, we illustrate that Deng Xiaoping plays a critical role in promoting Chinese economic and political reforms.
期刊論文
1.Jones, Benjamin F.、Olken, Benjamin A.(2005)。Do Leaders Matter? National Leadership and Growth since World War II。Quarterly Journal of Economics,120(3),835-864。  new window
2.Tisdell, Clem(2009)。Economic Reform and Openness in China: China’s Development Policies in the Last 30 Years。Economic Analysis and Policy,39,271-294。  new window
3.Barham, V.(1995)。Education and the Poverty Trap。European Economic Review,39,1257-1275。  new window
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5.Galor, O.、Ryder, H. E.(1989)。Existence, Uniqueness and Stability of Equilibrium in an Overlapping-generations Model with Productive Capital。Journal of Economic Theory,49,360-375。  new window
6.Gilson, R. J.、Milhsupt, C. J.。Economically Benevolent Dictators: Lessons for Development Democracies。American Journal of Comparative Law,59,227-288。  new window
7.Gryer, M. R.(1997)。The Effect of Religion on Economic Development: A Cross-National Study of 63 Former Colonies。Kyklos,50,47-62。  new window
8.Huang, X. M.(2008)。Institutional Competitiveness and Institutional Aging: The Dynamism of East Asian Growth。Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy,13,2-23。  new window
9.Li, C.(2012)。Leadership Transition in the CPC: Promising Progress and Potential Problem。International Journal,10,23-33。  new window
10.Liu, J. C.、Yin, H. C.(2011)。Could Poor Countries Break Out of the Poverty Trap?。Takming University Journal,25,15-46。  new window
11.Maddison, A.(2009)。Measuring the Economic Performance of Transition Economies: Some Lessons from Chinese Experience。Review of Income and Wealth,55,423-441。  new window
12.Nelson, R. R.(1956)。A Theory of the Low Level Equilibrium Trap in Underdeveloped Economies。American Economic Review,46,894-908。  new window
13.New Internationalist(20120412)。Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo。New Internationalist,451,49。  new window
14.Parente, S. L.、Prescott, E. C.(1993)。Changes in the Wealth of Nations。Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review,17,3-16。  new window
15.Lewis, William A.(1954)。Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labor。Manchester School of Economics and Social Studies,22(2),139-191。  new window
16.Murphy, K. M.、Shleifer, A.、Vishny, R. W.(1989)。Industrialization and the Big Push。Quarterly Journal of Economics,97,1003-1026。  new window
17.Solow, Robert Merton(1956)。A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,70(1),65-94。  new window
18.Jensen, Michael C.(1986)。Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers。The American Economic Review,76(2),323-329。  new window
研究報告
1.The World Bank(1997)。World Development Report。Oxford University Press。  new window
圖書
1.Acemoglu, Daron、Robinson, James A.(2012)。Why Nations Fail。Crown Business。  new window
2.Cassen, R.(1994)。Does Aid Work? Report to an Intergovernmental Task Force。Oxford University Press。  new window
3.Dorling Kindersley Book(2010)。World Reference Atlas。Dorling Kindersley。  new window
4.Heston, A.、Summers, R.、Aten, B.(2012)。Penn World Table Version 7.1。Center for International Comparisons of Production:Income and Prices at the University of Pennsylvania。  new window
5.Iliffe, J.(1995)。Africans: The History of a Continent。Cambridge University Press。  new window
6.Torado, M. P.、Smith, S. C.(2006)。Economic Development。Pearson Addison-Wesley Publishing。  new window
7.North, Douglass C.(1990)。Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance。Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press。  new window
8.Barro, R. J.、Sala-i-Martin, Xavier(2004)。Economic Growth。MIT Press。  new window
9.中共中央文獻編輯委員會、鄧小平(1994)。鄧小平文選。北京:人民出版社。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.Tran, Mark(20091130)。President Nguema of Equatorial Guinea on Course to Extend Three-decade Rule,www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/nov/30/。  new window
2.中國共產黨中央委員會(19450619)。第七次全國代表大會簡介,cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64162/64168/64559/4527011.html。  延伸查詢new window
3.中國共產黨中央委員會(19781222)。第十一屆中央委員會第三次全體會議公報,cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64162/64168/64563/65371/4441902.html。  延伸查詢new window
4.中國共產黨中央委員會(19810627)。關於建國以來黨的若干歷史問題的決議,cpc.people.com.cn/GB/64162/64168/64563/65374/4526448.html。  延伸查詢new window
5.CBS News(20110522)。The World’s Enduring Dictators: Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo,Equatorial Guinea。,www.cbsnews.com/8301-503543_162-20065072-503543.html。  new window
6.OPEC(2011)。World Oil Outlook,www.opec.org/opec_web/en/publications/340.htm。  new window
7.Posner, R.(2010)。Autocracy, Democracy and Economic Welfare,www.becker-posner-blog.com。  new window
8.Shaxson, Nicholas。Profile: Equatorial Guinea's Great Survivor,bbc.co.uk/2/hi/africa/3516588.stm。  new window
9.Silverstein, Ken(20120705)。Keep the Dictators Out of Malibu。  new window
 
 
 
 
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