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題名:定期定額與定期不定額投資產業龍頭股之策略研究
書刊名:管理資訊計算
作者:朱美珍 引用關係黃錦川 引用關係蔡明倫
作者(外文):Chu, Mei-chenHuang, Jin-chuanTsai, Ming-lung
出版日期:2014
卷期:3:特刊
頁次:頁458-466
主題關鍵詞:臺灣五十定期定額定期不定額投資策略Taiwan Top 50Dollar cost averagingDollar value averagingInvestment strategy
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:2
  • 點閱點閱:2
本研究以台灣五十成分股為研究對象,研究期間為2007年1月至2011年12月為止共五年符合長期投資平均成本以及分散投資風險之概念,本研究使用定期定額與定期不定額不同的投資策略進行研究,而定期不定額投資策略又區分為「反向操作投資策略」以及「順勢操作投資策略」,分別以三種不同策略且不停利不停損之原則進行模擬投資,以每月第一個營業日收盤價進行投資,投資五年結束後分別計算三種投資策略之年化報酬率,並加以統計其年化報酬率是否有顯著差異並比較其優劣程度。研究結果顯示三種投資策略之優先順序為:「反向操作投資策略」為最佳,「定期定額投資策略」次之,「順勢操作投資策略」最差,以上結果提供投資人作為選擇投資策略之參考依據。
This study made use of the data of primary stocks of Taiwan Top 50. And the specific period that this study employed was the period from January 2007 to December 2011, the length of five years in total met the investment concepts of long-term Average cost and Risk Diversification. The study chose Dollar Cost Averaging and Value Averaging, two different investment strategies, as the research objectives. However, there were two sub-objectives under Value Averaging: "Contrary Investment Strategy" and "Trend Following Investment Strategy", thus, this study conducted a simulation of three different investment strategies without the interruption of stop-loss and stop-profit. The simulation started the investment from the first business day of each month and set the closing price of the day as investing price, the same pattern of investment kept going up to five years, then calculated separately each strategy's annualized return. The study also run statistic of each annualized return to see whether any significant difference and, meanwhile, compared strategies' advantages and disadvantages. The results show that the best investment strategy is "Contrary Investment Strategy" followed by "Dollar Cost Averaging" strategy, and the strategy of "Trend Following" is worst among strategies. This study will provide the optimal investment decisions for investors in financial markets.
期刊論文
1.Pye, G.(1971)。Minimax Policies for Selling an Asset and Dollar averaging。Management Science,17(7),379-393。  new window
2.朱美珍、黃錦川、趙師堯(20120600)。定期定額投資股票型基金及龍頭股股票報酬率之比較。管理與資訊學報,17,1-33。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Dubil, Robert(2005)。Lifetime Dollar-Cost Averaging: Forget Cost Savings, Think Risk Reduction。Journal of Financial Planning,18(10),86-88+90。  new window
4.朱美珍、黃錦川、陳惠珍(20111200)。以臺股指數波動探討定期不定額投資策略之研究。管理科學研究,特刊,1-13。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Marshall, P. S.(2000)。A Statistical Comparison of Value Averaging VS. Dollar Cost Averaging and Random Investment Technique。Journal of Financial and Strategic,13(1),87-98。  new window
會議論文
1.呂瑞秋、賴怡楨(2011)。定期定額與定期不定額投資策略風險與績效之比較。台灣風險與保險學會第五屆年會暨研討會。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.鄭國良(2009)。國內股票基金在景氣循環下定期定額與單筆投資報酬率比較(碩士論文)。世新大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.鐘佳瑋(2004)。股票型共同基金定期式投資策略之比較探討(碩士論文)。實踐大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.何曉芳(2008)。共同基金定期定額策略與總額投資策略績效之研究(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.陳宏政(2010)。本益比順勢策略投資組合與景氣分數選股實證研究(碩士論文)。銘傳大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.陳惠珍(2010)。定期不定額投資策略之探討--以台灣股票為例(碩士論文)。逢甲大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.鄔永輝(2010)。多重價格波動率突破交易策略之實證研究(碩士論文)。長庚大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.蔡承庭(2011)。反向操作策略獲利性因素探討--以台灣上市公司為例(碩士論文)。南華大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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