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題名:從「一帶一路」與「亞洲基礎設施投資銀行」分析中國經濟版圖擴張之挑戰與效益
書刊名:華人經濟研究
作者:邱素津趙永祥 引用關係
作者(外文):Chiou, Shu-jinChao, Yuang-shiang
出版日期:2016
卷期:14:1
頁次:頁81-102
主題關鍵詞:亞投行一帶一路中國投資風險臺灣經濟發展Asian Infrastructure Investment BankAIIBOne Belt One RoadOBORInvestment riskTaiwan economic development
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:21
「一帶一路」不是一個實體和機制,而是合作發展的理念和倡議,是依靠中國與有關國家和地區既有的雙多邊機制,藉助既有的、行之有效的區域合作平台,「一帶一路」橫跨亞歐非,沿線涉及64個國家、44億人口,基礎建設規模相當可觀,每年約需投入1兆美元,加上沿線貿易總額至少1-2億美元,已成為各國虎視眈眈的投資標的,也是為何「亞洲基礎設施投資銀行」(以下簡稱亞投行)能吸引50多個國家搶先參與的誘因。「亞投行」和「一帶一路」在推動基礎建設過程所引生出來的商機十分可觀,台灣擁有產業技術實力的企業,即可藉由加入亞投行參與「一帶一路」建設,筆者認為,這也是台灣經濟要「翻轉」的大好機會。「一帶一路」的構想及其規劃,由於政策自提出至今不過短短一年多,總體戰略構想在十三五計畫之中是一項重要的戰略,一帶一路可謂中國帶來宏觀的效益,主要有因應中國大陸新一輪改革開放及平衡區域發展、「一帶一路」戰略可成為擴大中西部開放、打造中西部經濟升級版的重要引擎與消化過剩產能同時促進中國大陸產業升級轉型。尤其「一帶一路」在「亞投行」龐大金融支撐下,將進一步推進亞歐區域聯結,必然牽動現有兩岸經貿投資關係,也將衝擊台灣企業的對外發展。隨著「一帶一路」戰略揭開序幕,中國大陸資本向外輸出的全球化戰略也隨之啟動。其中亞投行、絲路基金等正是中國大陸向全亞洲進行資本輸出的戰略性平台,但投資標的主要鎖定那些市場機制尚未充分建立、國內政治制度尚不穩定的新興市場國家,投資風險原本尌已偏高。本研究將深度剖析台灣參加「亞投行」之好處與對台灣未來經濟發展之可能影響,與「一帶一路」對台灣經濟發展的商機和挑戰與對國內產業界可能帶來的影響進行分析。
The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a proposed international financial institution which is focused on supporting infrastructure construction in the Asia-Pacific region. The bank was proposed as an initiative by the government of China and supported by 37 regional and 20 non-regional members Prospective Founding Members, 53 of which have signed the Articles of Agreement that form the legal basis for the proposed bank. With massive $4 trillion currency reserves, China wants to not only purchase the good will of its many neighbors by lavishing multi-billion infrastructure projects, but it also wants to find more sustainable and tangible opportunities to invest its huge foreign exchange cache. China has stepped closer to claiming full-fledged economic leadership in Asia by officially launching the AIIB, which has been the centerpiece of the Xi administration's efforts to enhance Beijing's influence. The AIIB is part of Xi's "Peripheral Diplomacy", which it announced in October 2013 in an effort to win the favor of neighboring countries estranged by China's territorial expansionism. AIIB and One Belt One Road (OBOR) are the two engines in promoting the process of infrastructure which are embedded good opportunities to expand China overseas expansion very progressively. This research discusses about the background of "One Road, One Belt" and AIIB and analyzes deeply its strategic purpose, further the attitudes toward AIIB and "One Road, One Belt" of each country and the importance and influences of these two strategies. For the past few years, Taiwan has the technical strength, and can be enhanced her power to enter into wider Asian market via AIIB and OBOR. It's a good opportunity to "flip" Asian market form Taiwan's future economic development.
期刊論文
1.龐珣(20150304)。新金融開發機構展望。中國投資。  延伸查詢new window
2.(20150320)。商務部智庫:探尋「一帶一路」上中國工程的新方向。國際工程與勞務雜誌。  延伸查詢new window
3.兩岸共同參與區域經濟合作建議。中國國民黨中央政策委員會大陸情勢雙周報,1687。  延伸查詢new window
4.周密(2015)。歐亞經濟聯盟,「一帶一路」的重要節點。世界知識,2015(4),54-56。  延伸查詢new window
5.胡志勇(201504)。「一帶一路」助推中華經濟圈全面發展。中國評論,2015(4)。  延伸查詢new window
6.王敏(2015)。台灣參與「21世紀海上絲綢之路」的戰略構想與可行路徑。亞太經濟,2015(1),140-144。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.中華人民共和國國家發展改革委員會、外交部、商務部(20150328)。推動共建絲綢之路經濟帶和21世紀海上絲綢之路的願景與行動。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.魏建國(20150404)。商務部原副部長:一帶一路確定第三次改革開放戰略。  延伸查詢new window
2.習近平(20141108)。加強互聯互通夥伴關係(東道主夥伴對話會上的講話)。  延伸查詢new window
3.管清友(20150324)。管清友:中國即將迎接下一場資本盛宴。  延伸查詢new window
4.(20150420)。兩岸共同參與區域經濟合作建議。  延伸查詢new window
5.(20150330)。亞投行:促進亞洲金融業發展新路徑。  延伸查詢new window
6.(2015)。願景與挑戰--「一帶一路」沿線國家風險評估,http://graphics.eiu.com/assets/images/public/One%20Belt%20One%20Road/One-Belt-One-Road-report-Chinese-Version.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
7.何建武(20150330)。何建武:「一帶一路」為我們提供三個機遇。  延伸查詢new window
8.(20150324)。加強「一帶一路」與自貿區戰略對接。  延伸查詢new window
9.(20150329)。5句話讀懂「一帶一路」路線圖。  延伸查詢new window
10.(20150414)。上海對接「一帶一路」實施意見成型:擬5月上報,要做三件事。  延伸查詢new window
11.(20150317)。地方衝刺對接「一帶一路」天津將打造新支點城市。  延伸查詢new window
12.(20150410)。地方與「一帶一路」銜接方案最晚10月完成。  延伸查詢new window
13.Heydarian, Richard Javad(2015)。Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: China's Trojan Horse?,http://www.huffingtonpost.com/richard-javad-heydarian/asian-infrastructure-inve_b_7717540.html。  new window
14.屠海鳴(20150420)。亞投行背後的國家戰略和香港機遇。  延伸查詢new window
15.習近平(20141106)。要求加快推進絲綢之路經濟帶和21世紀海上絲綢之路建設(中央財經領導小組第八次會議)。  延伸查詢new window
16.習近平(20140521)。積極樹立亞洲安全觀,共創安全合作新局面(亞洲相互協作與信任措施會議第四次峰會)。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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