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題名:澳門博彩收入、國民所得、旅客人數、犯罪案件之多變量Granger因果分析
書刊名:澳門經濟
作者:李達豐
出版日期:2015
卷期:39
頁次:頁161-177
主題關鍵詞:博彩旅遊犯罪國民所得Granger因果關係
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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博彩產業對經濟與社會均會產生影響,在經濟面,博彩產業之發展與當地的經濟成長、失業率與能源消耗有關;在社會面,博彩產業與犯罪率似乎難以脫鉤。然而,到底是博彩產業發展促進經濟成長,造成社會問題?還是社會問題與經濟成長帶動博彩產業發展?目前並無相關文獻探討澳門博彩產業的發展與經濟面和社會面的因果關係,本論文欲彌補文獻上的不足,探討博彩收入、國際旅客入境人數、實質GDP與犯罪案件之Granger因果關係!本文實證結果顯示,此四變數並無長期均衡的共整合關係,變數間的Granger因果關係為旅客人數對實質GDP為正向影響、博彩收入與實質GDP為雙向影響、博彩收入對旅客為正向影響、而犯罪案件對博彩收入與實質GDP均為負向影響。
期刊論文
1.Walker, D. M.、Jackson, J. D.(1998)。New Goods and Economic Growth: Evidence from Legalized Gambling。The Review of Regional Studies,28(2),47-70。  new window
2.葉智魁(20030100)。他山之石的啟示--賭博合法化的美國經驗之研究。臺灣人文生態研究,5(1),99-124。  延伸查詢new window
3.Garrett, Thomas A.(2004)。Casino Gaming and Local Employment Trends。Review,86(1),9-22。  new window
4.李堯賢、楊琮階、蔡介偉(2009)。博弈產業與總經經濟指標關聯性之研究--以美國拉斯維加斯與澳門為例。華人經濟研究,7(2),57-77。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Conner, T.、Taggart, W.(2009)。The Impact of Gaming on the Indian Nations in New Mexico。Social Science Quarterly,90(1),50-70。  new window
6.Cotti, C.(2008)。The Effect of Casinos on Local Labor Markets: A County Level Analysis。The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics,2(2),17-41。  new window
7.Cotti, C.、Walker, D. M.(2010)。The Impact of Casinos on Fatal Alcohol-Related Traffic Accidents in the United States。Journal of Health Economics,29(6),788-796。  new window
8.Fenichand, G. G.、Hashimoto, K.(2004)。Perceptions of Cannibalization: What is the Real Effect of Casinos on Restaurants。Gaming Law Review,8(4),247-259。  new window
9.Goss, E.、Morse, E.、Deskins, J.(2009)。Have Casinos Contributed to Rising Bankruptcy Rates。International Advances in Economic Research,15(4),456-469。  new window
10.Gu, Xinhua、Li, Guoqiang、Tam, Pui Sun(2013)。Casino Tourism, Social Cost and Tax Effects。International Gambling Studies,13(2),221-239。  new window
11.Raab, C.、Schwer, R. K.(2003)。The Short- and Long-term Impact of the Asian Financial Crisis on Las Vegas Strip Baccarat。Revenues,"International Journal of Hospitality Management,22(1),37-45。  new window
12.Zheng, Tianshu、Farrish, John、Lee, Ming(2013)。Is the Gaming Industry Still Recession-proof? A time series with intervention analysis of gaming volume in Iowa。International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management,25(7),1135-1152。  new window
13.Jacques, C.、Ladouceur, R.、Ferland, F.(2000)。Impact of Availability on Gambling: A longitudinal Study。Canadian Journal of Psychiatry,45(9),810-815。  new window
14.Lai, T. M.、To, W. M.、Lo, W. C.、Choy, Y. S.、Lam, K. H.(2011)。The Causal Relationship Between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in a Gaming and Tourism Center: The Case of Macao SAR, the People's Republic of China。Energy,36(2),1134-1142。  new window
15.Phipps, A. G.(2004)。Crime and Disorder, and House Sales and Prices Around the Casino Sites in Windsor, Ontario, Canada。Canadian Geographer,48(4),403-432。  new window
會議論文
1.柳智毅(2010)。區域經濟發展形勢--澳門及大中華區經濟發展形勢學術研討會論文集。區域經濟發展形勢--澳門及大中華區經濟發展形勢學術研討會,(會議日期: 20101025)。澳門經濟學會。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Williams, R. J.、Rehm, J.、Stevens, R. M. G.(2011)。The Social and Economic Impacts of Gambling。  new window
2.Policy Analytics LLC(2006)。A benefit-cost analysis of Indiana's riverboat casinos for FY 2005。Indianapolis, IN:Policy Analytics LLC。  new window
3.National Opinion Research Center、Gemini Research、The Lewin Group and Christiansen、Cummings Associates(1999)。Gambling impact and behavior study. Report to the National Gambling Impact Study Commission。Chicago:University of Chicago。  new window
學位論文
1.Farrigan, T. L.(2005)。The Tunica miracle, sin and savior in America's Ethiopia: A poverty and social impact analysis of casino gaming in Tunica, Mississippi(博士論文)。The Pennsylvania State University,Pennsylvania。  new window
圖書
1.楊奕農(2009)。時間序列分析:經濟與財務上之應用。雙葉書局。  延伸查詢new window
2.柳智毅、蘇振輝、周平(2012)。港珠澳大橋對澳門經濟發展的影響。澳門經濟學會。  延伸查詢new window
3.(2012)。本地生產總值說明。澳門統計暨普查局。  延伸查詢new window
4.Gardner, K.(2005)。Seneca Niagara Casino fiscal & economic impact on Niagara Falls, NY。Rochester, NY:USA Niagara Development Corporation。  new window
5.KPMG Management Consulting(1995)。Consulting One-year review of Casino Windsor。Toronto:KPMG。  new window
 
 
 
 
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