失業對家庭而言是一項重大的所得衝擊,其會對夫妻之間的婚姻穩定關係造成威脅。本文主要是要檢視丈夫若經歷因公司關廠所導致的失業是否會對離婚的機率有所影響。我們所採用的資料來自於不同的台灣行政資料之連結, 這套資料提供了失業的原因, 讓我們得以以公司關廠來定義外生性的失業。實證結果發現, 丈夫失業會提高離婚的機率約8.50%至9.23%;失業持續期間超過一年以及失業之後的三年內對離婚的影響尤其強烈。另外,我們也發現,丈夫結婚年齡愈大(失業年齡愈大)、教育程度較低以及收入較低的家庭, 失業對離婚的負面效果愈為強烈。

Losing a job is an important resource shock to a family, and it may be harmful to the stability of marriage. This paper aims to investigate the impact of a husband's displacement on the possibility of divorce. The sample we analyze is based on an unusual data set which is linked with Taiwan administrative data containing detailed information on unemployment and its causes. We can identify exogenous displacement by using firm closures. We find that a husband's displacement increases the possibility of divorce by 8.50 to 9.23 percent. The impact is more manifest for those who were displaced longer than 1 year, those who were displaced within 3 years, and those who have lower social economic status (lower education, and lower income).