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題名：Chasing Black Swans through Science Fiction: Surprising Future Events in the Stories of a Finnish Writing Competition
書刊名：Journal of Futures Studies
作者：Ahlqvist, Toni／Uotila, Tuomo／Hietanen, Olli
出版日期：2015
卷期：20:2
頁次：頁47-65
主題關鍵詞：Black swan；Science fiction；Surprising events；Futures
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:6
  • 點閱點閱:2
期刊論文
1.Molitor, Graham T. T.(20030800)。Molitor Forecasting Model: Key Dimensions for Plotting the "Patterns of Change"。Journal of Futures Studies，8(1)，61-71。new window  new window
2.Molitor, Graham T. T.(1977)。How to anticipate public policy changes。SAM Advanced Management Journal，42(3)，4-13。  new window
3.Aven, Terje(2013)。On the meaning of a black swan in a risk context。Safety Science，57，44-51。  new window
4.Auvinen, H.、Ruutu, S.、Tuominen. A.、Ahlqvist, T.、Oksanen, J.(2015)。Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions。Technological Forecasting & Social Change，94，97-114。  new window
5.Ahlqvist, Toni、Rhisiart, Martin(2015)。Emerging pathways for critical futures research: Changing contexts and impacts of social theory。Futures，71，91-104。  new window
6.Ilmola, Leena、Kuusi, Osmo(2006)。Filters of weak signals binder foresight: Monitoring weak signals efficiently in corporate decision-making。Futures，38(8)，908-924。  new window
7.Kitchen, Rob、Kneale, James(2001)。Science fiction or future fact? Exploring imaginative geographies of the new millennium。Progress in Human Geography，25(1)，19-35。  new window
8.Krupa, Joel、Jones, Cameron(2013)。Black Swan Theory: Applications to energy market histories and technologies。Energy Strategy Reviews，1(4)，286-290。  new window
9.Mendonça, S.、e Cunha, M. P.、Kaivo-Oja, J.、Ruff, F.(2003)。Wild Cards, Weak Signals and Organizational Improvisation。Futures，36(2)，201-218。  new window
10.Piore, Adam(2011)。Planning for the Black Swan。Scientific American，304(6)，48-53。  new window
11.Molitor, Graham T. T.(2000)。Emerging economic sectors in the third millennium: Introduction and overview of the "big five"。Foresight，2(3)，323-329。  new window
12.Simon, H. A.(2000)。Bounded rationality in social science: Today and tomorrow。Mind & Society，1(1)，25-39。  new window
圖書
1.Ansoff, H. I.(1984)。Implanting Strategic Management。New Jersey：Prentice Hall International。  new window
2.Jameson, Fredric(2005)。Archaeologies of the Future: The Desire Called Utopia and Other Science Fictions。Verso。  new window
3.Urbom, R.(2013)。Black Swans: What will change the world next?。  new window
4.Kitchin, Rob、Kneale, James(2005)。Lost in space: Geographies of science fiction。New York：Continuum。  new window
5.Kuhn, Annette(1990)。Alien Zone: Cultural Theory and Contemporary Science Fiction Cinema。London：Verso。  new window
6.Taleb, Nassim(2007)。The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable。London：Penguin。  new window
7.Tiihonen, Paula(2011)。Revamping the work of the Committee for the Future。  new window
8.Geertz, Clifford J.(1983)。Local Knowledge: Further Essays in Interpretive Anthropology。Basic Books, Inc.。  new window
其他
1.Hietanen, Olli，Tiihonen, Paula(2014)。Tulevaisuusvaliokunnan Vaalikauden 2011-2014 Toiminnan Yhteenveto。  new window
圖書論文
1.Simon, H. A.(1972)。Theories of Bounded Rationality。Decision and Organization。Amsterdam：North-Holland Publishing Company。  new window
2.Karppanen, Pasi、Urbom, R.(2013)。Black Swans as seen through the eyes of an old judge。Black Swans: What will change the world next?。  new window
3.Tiihonen, Paula、Urbom, R.(2013)。What was surprising, and what was surprisingly absent?。Black Swans: What will change the world next?。  new window
 
 
 
 
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