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題名:Exploring Asymmetry to Detect Disruption
書刊名:Journal of Futures Studies
作者:Rhemann, Maureen
出版日期:2018
卷期:23:2
頁次:頁85-99
主題關鍵詞:AsymmetryForecastingDisruptionNeuroscienceCognitionFuturesScenariosIrregularityComplexity
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 共同引用共同引用:8
  • 點閱點閱:1
期刊論文
1.Molitor, Graham T. T.(20030800)。Molitor Forecasting Model: Key Dimensions for Plotting the "Patterns of Change"。Journal of Futures Studies,8(1),61-71。new window  new window
2.Inayatullah, Sohail(2012)。Humanity 3000: a comparative analysis of methodological approaches to forecasting the long-term。Foresight,14(5),401-417。  new window
3.Huisman, R.、Koedijk, K. G.、Pownall, R. A. J.(1998)。VaR-x: Fat Tails in Financial Risk Management。Journal of Risk,1(1),47-61。  new window
4.D'Argembeau, A.、Van der Linden, M.(2004)。Phenomenal characteristics associated with projecting oneself back into the past and forward into the future: Influence of valence and temporal distance。Consciousness and Cognition,13(4),844-858。  new window
5.Adizes, Ichak(1979)。Organizational Passages: Diagnosing and Treating Lifecycle Problems of Organizations。Organizational Dynamics,8(1),3-25。  new window
6.Farriss, N. M.(1987)。Remembering the Future, Anticipating the Past: History, Time, and Cosmology among the Maya of Yucatan。Comparative Studies in History and Society,29(3),566-593。  new window
7.Fernández, Carmen、Steel, Mark F. J.(1998)。On bayesian modeling of fat tails and skewness。Journal of the American Statistical Association,93(441),359-371。  new window
8.Bartov, E.、Bodnar, G. M.(1996)。Alternative accounting methods, information asymmetry and liquidity: Theory and evidence。The Accounting Review,71(3),397-418。  new window
9.Beckman, R. J.、Cook, R. D.(1983)。Outlier...s。Technometrics,25(2),119-149。  new window
10.Pendall, R.、Foster, K. A.、Cowell, M.(2010)。Resilience and regions: Building understanding of the metaphor。Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society,3(1),71-84。  new window
11.Molitor, Graham T. T.(1999)。The Next 1,000 Years: The "Big Five" Engines of Economic Growth。The Futurist,33(10),13-18。  new window
12.Bussey, Marcus(20150900)。Intuition, Rationality and Imagination。Journal of Futures Studies,20(1),139-147。new window  new window
13.List, D.(2006)。Action research cycles for multiple futures perspectives。Futures,38(6),673-684。  new window
14.Andrieux, D.、Gaspard, P.(2007)。A fluctuation theorem for currents and non-linear response coefficients。Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment,2007(2),P02006。  new window
15.(2018)。Asymmetry symposium unites economists, physicists and artists。Nature Editorial,555(7697),414。  new window
16.Bassis, J. N.(2011)。The statistical physics of iceberg calving and the emergence of universal calving laws。Journal of Glaciology,57(201),3-16。  new window
17.Benoit, R. G.、Davies, D. J.、Anderson, M. C.(2016)。Reducing future fears by suppressing the brain mechanisms underlying episodic simulation。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,113(52),E8492-E8501。  new window
18.Chen, T.、Liu, X.、Lu, W.(2007)。Pinning complex networks by a single controller。IEEE Transactions on Circuits and Systems I: Regular Papers,54(6),1317-1326。  new window
19.Davis, G. A.(2017)。A history of McMurdo Station through its architecture。Polar Record,53(2),167-185。  new window
20.Dator, J.(2017)。Time, the Future, and Other Fantasies。World Futures Review,9(1),5-16。  new window
21.Eggertsson, G. B.(2008)。Great Expectations and the End of the Depression。American Economic Review,98(4),1476-1516。  new window
22.Galam, S.(2011)。Collective beliefs versus individual inflexibility: The unavoidable biases of a public debate。Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,390(17),3036-3054。  new window
23.Galtung, J.(2017)。Bringing in the Future: An Essay on Time。World Futures Review,9(1),17-18。  new window
24.Galtung, J.、Inayatullah, S.(1999)。Macrohistory and macrohistorians: Perspectives on Individual, Social and Civilizational Change。Futurics,23(3/4)。  new window
25.Geels, F. W.(2007)。Analysing the breakthrough of rock 'n'roll (1930-1970) Multi-regime interaction and reconfiguration in the multi-level perspective。Technological Forecasting and Social Change,74(8),1411-1431。  new window
26.Geman, D.、Geman, H.、Taleb, N.(2015)。Tail risk constraints and maximum entropy。Entropy,17(6),3724-3737。  new window
27.Gerlach, K.、Spreng, K.、Madore, P.、Schacter, D.(2014)。Future Planning: Default Network Activity Couples with Frontoparietal Control Network and Reward-Processing Regions during Process and Outcome Simulations。Social Cognitive and Affective Neuroscience,9(12),1942-1951。  new window
28.Gigerenzer, G.(2009)。Making sense of health statistics。World Health Organization,87(8),567-567。  new window
29.Gigerenzer, G.(2014)。How I got started: Teaching physicians and judges risk literacy。Applied Cognitive Psychology,28(4),612-614。  new window
30.Groot, R. D.、Rabone, K. L.(2001)。Mesoscopic simulation of cell membrane damage, morphology change and rupture by nonionic surfactants。Biophysical journal,81(2),725-736。  new window
31.Gunnarsson-Östling, U.(2011)。Gender in futures: A study of gender and feminist papers published in Futures, 1969-2009。Futures,43(9),1029-1039。  new window
32.Hamada, H.、Meno, C.、Watanabe, D.、Saijoh, Y.(2002)。Establishment of vertebrate left-right asymmetry。Nature Reviews Genetics,3(2)。  new window
33.Holbrook, M. B.(2003)。Adventures in complexity: An essay on dynamic open complex adaptive systems, butterfly effects, self-organizing order, coevolution, the ecological perspective, fitness landscapes, market spaces, emergent beauty at the edge of chaos, and all that jazz。Academy of Marketing Science Review,6(1),1-184。  new window
34.Kelly, B.、Jiang, Hao(2014)。Tail risk and asset prices。The Review of Financial Studies,27(10),2841-2871。  new window
35.Mills, D. Q.(2001)。Who's to Blame for the Bubble?。Harvard Business Review,79(5),22-23。  new window
36.Molitor, G. T.(2001)。Emerging economic sectors in the third millennium: A pit stop on the path to cleaner energy。Foresight,3(1),47-57。  new window
37.O'Connor, M.、Remus, W.、Griggs, K.(2001)。The asymmetry of judgemental confidence intervals in time series forecasting。International Journal of Forecasting,17(4),623-633。  new window
38.Rhemann, M. K.(2017)。How Understanding Disruptions in the Mobile Wireless Computing Market Can Help Us Anticipate and Create a Healthier Smallsat Market。New Space,5(1),27-32。  new window
39.Rhemann, M.(2018)。Understanding Disruption through Molitor's Models。World Futures Review,10(1),34-37。  new window
40.Rhemann, M.(2018)。Deepening Futures with Neuroscience。World Futures Review,10(2),1-18。  new window
41.Romanowski, M.(1996)。Problems of bias in history textbooks。Social Education,60,170-173。  new window
42.Schier, A. F.(2003)。Nodal signaling in vertebrate development。Annual Review of Cell and Developmental Biology,19(1),589-621。  new window
43.Singer, M.(1996)。The big picture of Herman Kahn。Futures,28(8),783-785。  new window
44.Venkatesh, S.(1986)。On the deterioration of a grounded iceberg。Journal of Glaciology,32(111),161-167。  new window
45.Wade, R.(2009)。From global imbalances to global reorganisations。Cambridge journal of economics,33(4),539-562。  new window
46.Zhang, C.、Ko, S. H.、Su, M.、Leng, Y.、Ribbe, A. E.、Jiang, W.、Mao, C.(2009)。Symmetry controls the face geometry of DNA polyhedra。Journal of the American Chemical Society,131(4),1413-1415。  new window
47.Zeidman, P.、Maguire, E. A.(2016)。Anterior hippocampus: the anatomy of perception, imagination and episodic memory。Nature Reviews Neuroscience,17(3)。  new window
48.Voros, Joseph(2003)。A generic foresight process framework。Foresight,5(3),10-21。  new window
49.Ilmola, Leena、Kuusi, Osmo(2006)。Filters of weak signals hinder foresight: Monitoring weak signals efficiently in corporate decision-making。Futures,38(8),908-924。  new window
50.Zaltman, Gerald(1996)。Metaphorically Speaking。Marketing Research Forum,8(2),13-20。  new window
51.Maslow, Abraham H.(1943)。A Theory of Human Motivation。Psychological Review,50(4),370-396。  new window
52.Sardar, Ziauddin(2010)。Welcome to postnormal times。Futures,42(5),435-444。  new window
53.Inayatullah, Sohail(2008)。Six Pillars: futures thinking for transforming。Foresight,10(1),4-21。  new window
54.Gigerenzer, Gerd、Gaissmaier, Wolfgang(2011)。Heuristic Decision Making。Annual Review of Psychology,62,451-482。  new window
圖書
1.Toffler, Alvin(1971)。Future Shock。New York:Bantam Books。  new window
2.Inayatullah, Sohail(2004)。The causal layered analysis (CLA) reader: Theory and case studies of an integrative and transformative methodology。Taipei:Tamkang University Press。  new window
3.Singer, P. W.(2009)。Wired For War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century。Penguin。  new window
4.Sarkar, D.(2008)。Lattice: Multivariate data visualization with R。Springer Science+Business Media。  new window
5.Inayatullah, Sohail(2002)。Understanding Sarkar: The Indian Episteme, Macrohistory and Transformative Knowledge。Leiden:Brill。  new window
6.Inayatullah, Sohail(2005)。Questioning the future: Methods and tools for organizational and societal transformation。Tamkang University Press。  new window
7.Dent, H. S.(2011)。The great crash ahead: Strategies for a world turned upside down。Black Inc.。  new window
8.Ferguson, N.(2008)。The pity of war: Explaining world war。Hachette。  new window
9.Foucault, Michel(2013)。Archaeology of knowledge。Routledge。  new window
10.Foucault, M.(2013)。Archaeology of knowledge。Chicago:Pickle Partners。  new window
11.Gell-Mann, M.、Fritzsch, H.(2010)。Murray Gell-Mann: Selected Papers。World Scientific。  new window
12.Gigerenzer, G.、Stainton, R. J.(2006)。Contemporary Debates in cognitive science。Carlton, Victoria:Blackwell Publishing。  new window
13.Kahn, H.(2017)。On escalation: Metaphors and scenarios。New York, NY:Routledge。  new window
14.Schwarz, D. R.(1997)。Reconfiguring modernism: explorations in the relationship between modern art and modern literature。New York:St. Martin's Press。  new window
15.Sorokin, P.(2017)。Social and cultural dynamics: A study of change in major systems of art, truth, ethics, law and social relationships。Routledge。  new window
16.Taleb, Nassim(2018)。Skin in the Game。New York:Penguin Random House。  new window
17.Thompson, M. Terry、Egesdal, Steven M.(2008)。Salish myths and legends: One people's stories。U of Nebraska Press。  new window
18.Wilber, K.(2001)。The eye of spirit: An integral vision for a world gone slightly mad。Shambhala Publications。  new window
19.Kahneman, Daniel、Egan, P.(2011)。Thinking, Fast and Slow。New York:Farrar, Straus and Giroux。  new window
單篇論文
1.Adizes, I.(1990)。Corporate lifecycles: How and why corporations grow and die and what to do about it。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bussey, M.(2017)。Anticipatory Aesthetics: New Identities and Future Senses。The Aesthetics of Development。New York:Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
2.Zimbardo, P. G.、Boyd, J. N.(2015)。Putting time in perspective: A valid, reliable individual-differences。Time perspective theory: review, research and application。Cham:Springer。  new window
 
 
 
 
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