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題名：習近平的戰略轉向與臺海局勢的變遷：2012~2018
書刊名：遠景基金會季刊
作者：陳世民 引用關係
作者(外文)：Chen, Shih-min
出版日期：2019
卷期：20:2
頁次：頁49-93
主題關鍵詞：中國的戰略轉向；臺灣安全；美國對臺安全承諾；北韓核危機；日本；國家正常化；China's strategic shift；Taiwan's security；US commitment to Taiwan's security；North Korea's nuclear crisis；Japan's state normalization
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:2
期刊論文
1.Glosserman, Brad、Ekmektsioglou, Eleni(2011)。Strategic Stability in US-China relations。ISPI Policy Brief，210。  new window
2.Chase, Michael S.(20100429)。The U.S.-China Strategic Security Relationship and the Nuclear Posture Review Report。China Brief，10(9)。  new window
3.李彬、聶宏毅(2008)。中美戰略穩定性的考察。世界經濟與政治，2008(2)，13-19。  延伸查詢new window
4.Lee, Sheryn、Schreer, Benjamin(2013)。The Taiwan Strait: Still Dangerous。Survival，55(3)，55-62。  new window
5.Van de Velde, James R.(1988)。Japan's nuclear umbrella: U.S. extended nuclear deterrence for Japan。Journal of Northeast Asia Studies，7(4)，16-39。  new window
6.Hughes, Llewelyn(2007)。Why Japan Will Not Go Nuclear (Yet): International and Domestic Constraints on the Nuclearization of Japan。International Security，31(4)，67-96。  new window
7.Datt, Savita(1993)。Japan: On the Nuclear Option Threshold。Strategic Analysis，16(3)，277-291。  new window
8.Cossa, Ralph A.(1996)。Bilateralism versus Multilateralism: An American Perspective。Korean Journal of Defense Analysis，8(2)，7-27+363-364。  new window
9.정한울(20130523)。안보 위기와 한국인의 안보의식。여론브리핑，132。  延伸查詢new window
10.Beckley, Michael(2017)。The Emerging Military Balance in East Asia: How China's Neighbors Can Check Chinese Naval Expansion?。International Security，42(2)，78-119。  new window
11.Seizelet, Eric(1995)。Les ambiguïtés du discours politique japonais sur la bombe。Autrement，39，104-116。  new window
12.Glaser, Charles L.(2011)。Will China's Rise Lead to War?: Why Realism Does Not Mean Pessimism。Foreign Affairs，90(2)，80-91。  new window
研究報告
1.Cox, Christopher(19990525)。Report of the Select Committee on U.S. National Security and Military/Commercial Concerns with the People's Republic of China (Cox Report)。Washington, DC：U.S. Government Printing Office。  new window
圖書
1.Kamphausen, Roy、Lai, David、Scobell, Andrew(2009)。Beyond the Strait: PLA Mission Other Than Taiwan。Seattle, Washington：National Bureau of Asian Research。  new window
2.Shlapa, David A.(2009)。A Question of Balance: Political Context and Military Aspects of China-Taiwan Dispute。Santa Monica, California：RAND。  new window
3.The International Institute for Strategic Studies(2014)。The Military Balance 2014。London：Routledge。  new window
4.國防部(2017)。中華民國106年四年期國防總檢討。國防部。  延伸查詢new window
5.國防部國防報告書編纂委員會(2017)。中華民國106年國防報告書。國防部。  延伸查詢new window
6.Central Intelligence Agency(1998)。Report of the Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States。Washington, DC：National Intelligence Council。  new window
7.Wuthnow, Joel、Saunders, Phillip C.(2017)。Chinese Military Reforms in the Age of XI Jinping: Drivers, Challenges, and Implications。Washington, DC：National Defense University Press。  new window
8.Engstrom, Jeffrey(2018)。Systems Confrontation and System Destruction Warfare: How the Chinese People's Liberation Army Seeks to Wage Modern Warfare。Santa Monica, California：RAND Corporation。  new window
9.Easton, Ian(2017)。The Chinese Invasion Threat: Taiwan's Defense and American Strategy in Asia。Washington, DC：Createspace。  new window
10.Albright, David、Stricker, Andrea(2018)。Taiwan's Former Nuclear Weapons Program: Nuclear Weapons On-demand。Washington, DC：Institute for Science and International Security。  new window
11.Defense Intelligence Agency(2019)。China Military Power: Modernizing a Force to Fight and Win。Washington, DC：Defense Intelligence Agency。  new window
12.Japan Ministry of Defense(2005)。Defense of Japan 2005。Tokyo：Japan Ministry of Defense。  new window
13.Japan Ministry of Defense(2015)。Defense of Japan 2015。Tokyo：Japan Ministry of Defense。  new window
14.Japan Ministry of Defense(2016)。Defense of Japan 2016。Tokyo：Japan Ministry of Defense。  new window
15.Japan Ministry of Defense(2017)。Defense of Japan 2017。Tokyo：Japan Ministry of Defense。  new window
16.Office of the Secretary of Defense(2006)。Annual Report to Congress: Military Power of the People's Republic of China 2006。Washington, DC：Office of the Secretary of Defense, U.S. Department of Defense。  new window
17.Office of the Secretary of Defense(2014)。Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China 2014。Washington, DC：Office of the Secretary of Defense. U.S. Department of Defense。  new window
18.Office of the Secretary of Defense(2018)。Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China 2018。Washington, DC：Office of the Secretary of Defense, U.S. Department of Defense。  new window
19.Saalman, Lora(2011)。China and the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review。Washington, DC：Carnegie Endowment for International Peace。  new window
其他
1.王綽中(20021211)。萊斯：核武威脅美國談話令人無法接受。  延伸查詢new window
2.路西(20140701)。日本內閣會議決定解禁集體自衛權，http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/trad/world/2014/07/140701_japan_defence_law_approval。  延伸查詢new window
3.(20061201)。日本外相麻生太郎：日本有能力但無計劃製造核彈，http://www.china.com.cn/international//txt/2006-12/01/content_7434434.htm。  延伸查詢new window
4.(20070213)。六方會談共同文件：落實共同聲明起步行動（全文），http://www.chinanews.com/gj/xwbj/news/2007/02-13/874336.shtml。  延伸查詢new window
5.(20150323)。日學者：日本有能力和權力在南海巡航，http://news.dwnews.com/global/big5/news/2015-03-23/59643054.html。  延伸查詢new window
6.(20161012)。安倍承認曾有「擁核」想法不打算撤回言論，http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1044/2/2/7/104422724.html?coluid=169&kindid=12091&docid=104422724&mdate=1012094918。  延伸查詢new window
7.(20170104)。洲際飛彈試射收尾？金正恩說法遭美方打臉，https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/1937045。  延伸查詢new window
8.(20170712)。觀察：中國在吉布提設軍事基地幹什麼？，https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese-news-40586499。  延伸查詢new window
9.(20170722)。中國軍艦首次在波羅的海進行演習，https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world-40690351。  延伸查詢new window
10.(20170829)。應對朝鮮特朗普說「所有選項」都在臺面上，https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world-41078221。  延伸查詢new window
11.(20170912)。韓媒：美考慮「讓臺灣發展核武」，https://tw.appledaily.com/headline/daily/20170912/37778630/。  延伸查詢new window
12.(20171110)。中共2020武力犯臺？易思安：心理戰沒找到攻臺時間表，https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/2249131。  延伸查詢new window
13.(20180612)。川金會聯合聲明全文，https://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201806120339.aspx。  延伸查詢new window
14.(20190102)。告臺灣同胞書40週年習近平談話全文，https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/breakingnews/2659618。  延伸查詢new window
15.尹俊傑(20180410)。南海軍事化中國部署訊號干擾設備，https://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201804100019.aspx。  延伸查詢new window
16.中國軍控與裁軍協會，中國核科技信息與經濟研究院(20151009)。日本核材料問題研究，http://www.cacda.org.cn/ueditor/php/upload/file/20151010/1444458950245281.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
17.中華人民共和國國務院新聞辦公室(20130416)。國防白皮書：中國武裝力量的多樣化運用，http://www.mod.gov.cn/affair/2013-04/16/content_4442839.htm。  延伸查詢new window
18.王嘉源(20180422)。北韓2018如大陸1978金正恩會複製鄧小平模式？，https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20180422001549-260408。  延伸查詢new window
19.江今葉(20180109)。美攻北韓將引中對臺動武卜睿哲不認同，https://www.cna.com.tw/news/aopl/201801090075.aspx。  延伸查詢new window
20.朱冠宇(20160517)。中國來犯自己救？美國民調不挺美軍協防臺灣，https://n.yam.com/Article/20160517705799。  延伸查詢new window
21.呂伊萱(20180312)。外交突破美日印澳邀我安全對話，https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/1183169。  延伸查詢new window
22.肖余恨(20160819)。日本或將公開製造核武！美國能不能拴住自己的馬仔？，https://read01.com/g4Odma.html。  延伸查詢new window
23.邱文秀(20151022)。中國在聯合國批日擁核原料可製千枚核彈頭，http://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20151022002233-260408。  延伸查詢new window
24.周虹汶(20170818)。「北韓是齣雜耍」美中經濟戰才是關鍵，http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/1127943。  延伸查詢new window
25.林翠儀(20161226)。日媒：中國航艦首越第一島鏈牽制川普，https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/1065588。  延伸查詢new window
26.茅毅(20190316)。北韓嗆停止談判恢復飛彈試射，https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/1274466。  延伸查詢new window
27.徐尚禮(20160111)。中共軍改原四總部改組，https://www.chinatimes.com/realtimenews/20160111005126-260417?chdtv。  延伸查詢new window
28.徐偉真(20181016)。國安局前局長：美中兩強競爭下臺灣永遠是一顆棋子，https://udn.com/news/story/6656/3424857。  延伸查詢new window
29.家傲(20190109)。兩岸隔海嗆聲武統臺灣重成熱詞，https://www.rfa.org/mandarin/yataibaodao/junshiwaijiao/hc-01092019094728.html?fbclid=IwAR2vbjF1MbhtxXgwv5Cm8PdeodRtLwj_lpfUL69JyOBxHVBtz13LnNNnU6o。  延伸查詢new window
30.張茂森(20030607)。日通過「有事三法」自衛隊戰時權限擴增，http://old.ltn.com.tw/2003/new/jun/7/today-int2.htm。  延伸查詢new window
31.張茂森(20161114)。四項隱憂安倍趕會川普，http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/1051863。  延伸查詢new window
32.莊蕙嘉(20190426)。普亭會金正恩：北韓需要安全保證，https://udn.com/news/story/11314/3777736。  延伸查詢new window
33.蔡佩芳(20180921)。安倍黨魁三連霸內閣改組拚修憲，https://udn.com/news/story/11314/3379343。  延伸查詢new window
34.蔡佩芳(20181129)。日媒：中國第三艘航艦仍採傳統的蒸汽動力，https://udn.com/news/story/6809/3507986。  延伸查詢new window
35.羅添斌(20140307)。馬政府無敵情觀念能撐多久？，http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/760048。  延伸查詢new window
36.蕭爾(20140401)。日本內閣通過新原則放寬武器出口，http://www.bbc.co.uk/zhongwen/trad/world/2014/04/140401_japan_defence。  延伸查詢new window
37.繆宗翰(20181116)。時間表出爐一次看懂中共軍事政策制度改革，https://www.cna.com.tw/news/acn/201811160086.aspx。  延伸查詢new window
38.劉浩遠(20061115)。日本政府答辯書稱擁有必要核武器未必違憲，http://military.people.com.cn/BIG5/1077/52987/5045484.html。  延伸查詢new window
39.劉振民(20160325)。中國堅持通過談判協商和平解決南海有關爭議，https://kknews.cc/zh-tw/news/qe5brm8.html。  延伸查詢new window
40.躍生(20160201)。中國軍改新舉措：七大軍區改為五大戰區，https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2016/02/160201_china_army_reform。  延伸查詢new window
41.岡崎研究所(20131106)。米国の核の傘と日本の核政策，http://wedge.ismedia.jp/articles/-/3296。  延伸查詢new window
42.(20180809)。US never delivers on promises made in deals: Larijani，https://en.mehrnews.com/news/136574/US-never-delivers-on-promises-made-in-deals-Larijani。  new window
43.Cole, J. Michael(20171227)。A U.S. Attack on North Korea: Could China Retaliate Against Taiwan?，https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/us-attack-north-korea-could-china-retaliate-against-taiwan-23825。  new window
44.Chanlett-Avery, Emma，Nikitin, Mary B.(20090219)。Japan's Nuclear Future: Policy Debate, Prospects, and U.S. Interests，https://fas.org/sgp/crs/nuke/RL34487.pdf。  new window
45.ISAB(20121026)。International Security Advisory Board Report on Maintaining U.S.-China Strategic Stability，http://www.state.gov/t/avc/isab/200297.htm。  new window
46.Nurkin, Tate(20180512)。China's Advanced Weapons Systems，https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/Research/Jane%27s%20by%20IHS%20Markit_China%27s%20Advanced%20Weapons%20Systems.pdf。  new window
47.Ward, Alex(20180808)。Exclusive: Pompeo told North Korea to cut its nuclear arsenal by 60 to 70 percent，https://www.vox.com/2018/8/8/17663746/pompeo-north-korea-nuclear-60-70。  new window
48.Rogin, Josh(20180823)。Mike Pompeo faces a moment of truth on North Korea，https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/global-opinions/mike-pompeo-faces-a-moment-of-truth-on-northkorea/2018/08/23/16c02230-a713-11e8-97ce-cc9042272f07_story.html?utm_term=.8852a041b187。  new window
49.U.S. Department of Defense(20100406)。Nuclear Posture Review Report 2010，https://dod.defense.gov/Portals/1/features/defenseReviews/NPR/2010_Nuclear_Posture_Review_Report.pdf。  new window
50.U.S. Department of Defense(2018)。Nuclear Posture Review Report 2018，U.S. Department of Defense。，https://media.defense.gov/2018/Feb/02/2001872886/-1/-1/1/2018-NUCLEAR-POSTURE-REVIEW-FINAL-REPORT.PDF。  new window
圖書論文
1.Roberts, Brad(2008)。Arms Control and Sino-US Strategic Stability。Perspectives on Sino-American Strategic Nuclear Issues。New York：Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
2.吳蒓思(2005)。中美核關係的走向。威懾與穩定：中美核關係。北京：時事出版社。  延伸查詢new window
3.李彬(2006)。核威懾理論與戰略穩定性。軍備控制理論與分析。北京：國防工業出版社。  延伸查詢new window
4.朱明權(2005)。中美核關係。威懾與穩定：中美核關係。北京：時事出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.Armacost, Michael H.(2007)。The U.S. Response to Asian Regionalism。Cross Currents: Regionalism and Nationalism in Northeast Asia。Washington, DC：Brookings Institution Press。  new window
6.Jannuzi, Frank(2008)。US Perspectives on East Asia Community Building。East Asia at a Crossroads。Tokyo：Japan Center for International Exchange。  new window
 
 
 
 
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