| 期刊論文1. | Havas, Attila、Schartinger, Doris、Weber, Matthias(2010)。The impact of foresight on innovation policy-making: recent experiences and future perspectives。Research Evaluation,19(2),91-104。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Dator, Jim(20070500)。Governing the Futures: Dream or Survival Societies?。Journal of Futures Studies,11(4),1-14。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Gilman, S. L.(1987)。AIDS and syphilis: The iconography of disease。October,43,87-107。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Milojević, I.、Inayatullah, S.(2015)。Narrative Foresight。Futures,73,151-162。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Da Costa, O.、Warnke, P.、Cagnin, C.、Scapolo, F.(2008)。The impact of foresight on policy-making: insights from the FORLEARN mutual learning process。Technology Analysis & Strategic Management,20(3),369-387。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Dorr, Adam(2017)。Common errors in reasoning about the future: Three informal fallacies。Technological Forecasting & Social Change,116,322-330。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Milojević, I.(20200718)。Futures fallacies: Our common delusions when thinking about the future。Journal of Futures Studies Perspectives。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Calof, J. L.、Smith, J. E.(2012)。Foresight impacts from around the world: A special issue。Foresight,14(1),5-14。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Cheng, V. C. C.、Lau, S. K. P.、Woo, P. C. Y.、Yuen, K. Y.(2007)。Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus as an Agent of Emerging and Reemerging Infection。Clinical Microbiology Reviews,20(4),660-694。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Coates, J. F.(2010)。The future of foresight--A US perspective。Technological Forecasting & Social Change,77(9),1428-1437。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Cohn, S. K.(2012)。Pandemics: Waves of disease, wave of hate from the Plague of Athens to A.I.D.S。The Historical Journal,85(230),535-555。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Cook, C. N.、Inayatullah, S.、Burgman, M. M.、Sutherland, W. J.、Wintle, B. A.(2014)。Strategic foresight: how planning for the unpredictable can improve environmental decision-making。Trends in Ecology & Evolution,29(9),531-541。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Cuhls, K.、Georghiou, L.(2004)。Evaluating a participative foresight process: 'Futur--the German research dialogue'。Research Evaluation,13(3),143-153。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Dalglish, S.(2020)。COVID-19 Gives the Lie to Global Health Expertise。The Lancet,395(10231)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | Greenblott, J. M.、O'Farrell, T.、Olson, R.、Buchard, B.(2018)。Strategic Foresight in the Federal Government: A Survey of Methods, Resources, and Institutional Arrangements。World Futures Review,11(3),245-266。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Hart, L.、Horton, R.(20170304)。Syndemics: Committing to a healthier future。The Lancet,389(10072),888-889。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | Horton, R.(2020)。COVID-19 Is Not a Pandemic。The Lancet,396(10255)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | Ibrahim, H.、Kamour, A. M.、Harhara, T.、Gaba, W. H.、Nair, S. C.(2020)。Covid-19 Pandemic Research Opportunity: Is the Middle East & North Africa (MENA) Missing Out?。Contemporary Clinical Trials,96。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | Inayatullah, Sohail(20180600)。Foresight in Challenging Environments。Journal of Futures Studies,22(4),15-23。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Kinsman, J.、Angrén, J.、Elgh, F.、Furberg, M.、Mosquera, P. A.、Otero-García, L.、Snacken, R.、Derrough, T.、Carrillo Santisteve, P.、Ciotti, M.、Tsolova, S.(2018)。Preparedness and Response Against Diseases with Epidemic Potential in The European Union: A Qualitative Case Study of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) and Poliomyelitis in Five Member States。BMC Health Services Research,18(1)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 21. | Milojević, Ivana(20210600)。Futures Fallacies: What They Are and What We Can Do about Them。Journal of Futures Studies,25(4),1-15。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 22. | Morse, S. S.、Mazet, J. A. K.、Woolhouse, M.、Parrish, C. R.、Carroll, D.、Karesh, W. B.、Zambrana-Torrelio, C.、Lipkin, W. I.、Daszak, P.(2012)。Prediction and Prevention of the Next Pandemic Zoonosis。The Lancet,380(9857),1956-1965。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 23. | Ortu, G.、Mounier-Jack, S.、Coker, R.(2008)。Pandemic Influenza Preparedness in Africa Is a Profound Challenge for an Already Distressed Region: Analysis of National Preparedness Plans。Health Policy Plan,22(3),161-169。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 24. | Ross, A. G. P.、Crowe, S. M.、Tyndall, M. W.(2015)。Planning for the Next Global Pandemic。International Journal of Infectious Diseases,38,89-94。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 25. | Savio, N.、Nikolopoulos, K.(2009)。Forecasting Effectiveness of Policy Implementation Strategies: Working with semi-experts。Foresight,11(6),86-93。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 26. | Schartinger, D.、Wilhelmer, D.、Holste, D.、Kubeczko, K.(2012)。Assessing Immediate Learning Impacts of Large Foresight Processes。Foresight,14(1),41-55。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 27. | Solem, K. R.(2011)。Integrating Foresight into Government. Is it possible? Is it likely?。Foresight,13(2),18-30。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 28. | The Lancet(20170304)。Syndemics: health in context。The Lancet,389(10072)。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 29. | Webster, R. G.(1997)。Predictions for Future Human Influenza Pandemics。The Journal of Infectious Diseases,176(S1),S14-S19。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 30. | WHO(2017)。Financing of International Collective Action for Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness。The Lancet,5(8),742-744。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 31. | Murphy, F.(1998)。Emerging Zoonoses。Emerging Infectious Diseases,4(3),429-435。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 32. | Jones, Kate E.、Patel, N. G.、Levy, M. A.、Storeygard, A.、Balk, D.、Gittleman, J. L.、Daszak, P.(2008)。Global Trends in Emerging Infectious Diseases。Nature,451,990-993。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 研究報告1. | The World Bank(2017)。From Panic and Neglect to Investing in Health Security。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書1. | Van Asselt, Marjolein B. A.、Van't Klooster, Susan A.、Van Notten, P. W. F、Smits, Livia A.(2010)。Foresight in action: Developing policy-oriented scenarios。London:Earthscan。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Silver, Nate(2012)。The Signal and the Noise: Why Most Predictions Fail but Some Don't。New York:The Penguin Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | National Intelligence Council(2000)。The Global Infectious Disease Threat and Its Implications for the United States。National Intelligence Council。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Singer, Mirrill(2009)。Introduction to Syndemics: A Critical Systems Approach to Public and Community Health。San Francisco, California:Jossey-Bass Publishers。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Gilbert, D.(2007)。Stumbling on happiness。Vintage books. Random House。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Kahneman, D.(2011)。Thinking, fast and slow。Penguin books, Random House。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Brownlie, J.、Peckham, C.、Waage, J.、Woolhouse, M.、Lyall, C.、Meagher, L.、Tait, J.、Baylis, M.、Nicoll, A.(2006)。Foresight. Infectious Diseases: Preparing for the Future. Future Threats。Office of Science and Innovation。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Department of Health and Ageing(2003)。Returns on Investment in Public Health: An Epidemiological and Economic Analysis Prepared for the Department of Health and Ageing。Commonwealth Department of Health and Ageing, Australian Government。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Garrett, L.(1996)。Microbes Versus Mankind: The Coming Plague。Foreign Policy Association。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Kuosa, T.(2012)。The Evolution of Strategic Foresight: Navigating Public Policy Making。Gower Publishing Limited。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | Rubin, H.(2011)。Future Global Shocks: Pandemics。International Futures Programme:OECD。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | Shapiro, R.(2008)。Suckers: How Alternative Medicine Makes Fools of Us All。Harvill Secker。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | Wilson, M.(1994)。Disease in Evolution。New York Academy of Sciences。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | Brundtland, G. H.(2003)。New Global Challenges: Health and Security from HIV to SARS。Geneva Centre for Security Policy。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | BFI(2017)。Brunei Futures Deck。Brunei Futures Initiative, Centre for Strategic and Policy Studies。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 16. | Cameron, E.、Nuzzo, J.、Bell, J.(2019)。Global Health Security Index: Building Collective Action and Accountability。Nuclear Threat Initiative and Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 17. | GPMB(2019)。A World at Risk. Annual Report on Global Preparedness for Health Emergencies。Global Preparedness Monitoring Board。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 18. | HSC(2005)。National Strategy for Pandemic Influenza。Homeland Security Council。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 19. | World Economic Forum(2007)。Global Risks。World Economic Forum。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 20. | Conway, M.、Stewart, C.(2004)。Creating and Sustaining Foresight in Australia: A Review of Government Foresight。Swinburne University of Technology, Australian Foresight Institute。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 其他1. | Mosk, Matthew(20200405)。George W. Bush in 2005: 'If We Wait for a Pandemic to Appear, It will be too Late to Prepare',https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/george-bush-2005-waitpandemic-late-prepare/story?id=69979013。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | GHSI(2020)。The U.S. and COVID-19: Leading the world by GHS index score, not by response,https://www.ghsindex.org/news/the-us-and-covid-19-leading-the-world-by-ghs-index-score-not-by-response/。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Cameron, H.,Georghiou, L.,Keenan, M.,Miles, I.,Saritas, O.(2006)。Evaluation of the United Kingdom foresight programme final report,PREST, Manchester Business School, University of Manchester。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | AHMPPI(2014)。Australian Health Management Plan for Pandemic Influenza,https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/ohp-ahmppi.htm。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Baumgaertner, E.,Rainey, J.(20200402)。Trump Administration Ended Pandemic Early-warning Program to Detect Coronaviruses,https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-04-02/coronavirus-trump-pandemic-program-virusesdetection。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Davies, K.(20200417)。Blinking Red: 25 Missed Pandemic Warning Signs,https://www.genengnews.com/a-lists/blinking-red-25-missed-pandemic-warning-signs/。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Grey, S.,MacAskill, A.(20200408)。RPT-Special Report,https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-britain-path/rpt-special-report-johnson-listened-to-hisscientists-about-coronavirus-but-they-were-slow-to-sound-the-alarm-idUKL4N2BV54X。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 8. | Henig, R. M.(2020)。Why Weren't We Ready for This Virus?,https://www.nationalgeographic.com/magazine/2020/07/why-werent-we-ready-for-this-virus/。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 9. | Horton, R.(20200409)。Coronavirus is the Greatest Global Science Policy Failure in a Generation,https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/apr/09/deadly-virusbritain-failed-prepare-mers-sars-ebola-coronavirus。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 10. | Jennings, L.(2017)。Foresight in the Public Sector: 2017 Update,http://www.aaiforesight.com/blog/foresight-public-sector-2017-update。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 11. | (2020)。Real-time Tracking of Pathogen Evolution,https://nextstrain.org。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 12. | (2014)。Future Deck,http://takshashila.org.in/the-takshashila-future-deck。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 13. | The World Bank(2014)。World Bank Group President Calls for New Global Pandemic Emergency Facility,https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2014/10/10/world-bank-group-president-calls-new-global-pandemic-emergency-facility。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 14. | The World Bank(2018)。Making Pandemic Preparedness Financially Sustainable in East Asia and the Pacific,https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2018/02/28/making-pandemic-preparedness-financially-sustainable-in-east-asia-and-the-pacific。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 15. | CISET(1994)。Global Microbial Threats in the 1990s,https://clintonwhitehouse3.archives.gov/WH/EOP/OSTP/CISET/html/toc.html。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 圖書論文1. | Bin Larif, S.(2015)。Metaphor and Causal Layered Analysis。CLA 2.0: Transformative Research in Theory and Practice。Tamkang University。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 2. | Black, P.(2015)。Causal Layered Analysis: Case study of Nipah virus emergence。CLA 2.0: Transformative Research in Theory and Practice。Tamkang University。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 3. | Dator, J.(2011)。Futures Studies and Futures Research。Leadership in Science and Technology。SAGE。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 4. | Krause, R. M.(1993)。[Emerging Viruses] Foreword。Emerging Viruses。Oxford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 5. | Lederberg, J.(1993)。Viruses and Humankind: Intracellular Symbiosis and Evolutionary Competition。Emerging Viruses。Oxford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 6. | Morse, S. S.(1993)。Examining the Origins of Emerging Viruses。Emerging Viruses。Oxford University Press。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | 7. | Terranova, D.(2015)。Causal Layered Analysis in Action: Case studies from an HR practitioner's perspective。CLA 2.0: Transformative Research in Theory and Practice。Tamkang University。 ![](/gs32/thssjcncl/image/nclsfx.gif) ![new window](/gs32/images/newin.png) | |