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題名：團體迷思導致之情報失敗--以1973年贖罪日戰爭為例
書刊名：安全與情報研究
作者：林良蓉
作者(外文)：Lin, Lianron
出版日期：2022
卷期：5:2
頁次：頁47-101
主題關鍵詞：情報失敗；團體迷思；贖罪日戰爭；Intelligence failure；Groupthink；Yom Kippur War
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:4
  • 點閱點閱:3
期刊論文
1.Marrin, Stephen(2004)。Preventing Intelligence Failure by Learning from the Past。International Journal of Intelligence and CounterIntelligence，17(4)，655-672。  new window
2.Turner, Marlene E.、Pratkanis, Anthony R.(1998)。Twenty-five years of groupthink theory and research: lessons from the evaluation of a theory。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes，73(2/3)，105-115。  new window
3.朱蓓蕾(20150700)。全球化時代情報在危機處理過程之運用。遠景基金會季刊，16(3)，181-244。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Handel, Michael I.(1977)。The Yom Kippur War and the Inevitability of Surprise。International Studies Quarterly，21(3)，461-502。  new window
5.Bar-Joseph, Uri、Kruglanski, Arie W.(2003)。Intelligence Failure and Need for Cognitive Closure: On the Psychology of the Yom Kippur Surprise。Political Psychology，24(1)，75-99。  new window
6.Bar-Joseph, Uri、Levy, Jack S.(2009)。Conscious Action and Intelligence Failure。Political Science Quarterly，124(3)，461-488。  new window
7.Bar-Joseph, Uri(2010)。Military Intelligence as the National Intelligence Estimator。Armed Forces and Society，36(3)，505-525。  new window
8.Bar-Joseph, Uri(2012)。Review: Confronting the Intelligence Fiasco of the Yom Kippur War。The Middle East Book Review，3(2)，131-149。  new window
9.Bar-Joseph, Uri(2013)。The "Special Means of Collection": The Missing Link in the Surprise of the Yom Kippur War。Middle East Journal，67(4)，531-546。  new window
10.Bar-Joseph, Uri、Yossef, Amr(2014)。The Hidden Factors that Turned the Tide: Strategic Decision-Making and Operational Intelligence in the 1973 War。The Journal of Strategic Studies，37(4)，584-606。  new window
11.Betts, Richard K.(1978)。Analysis, War and Decision: Why Intelligence Failure Are Inevitable。World Politics，31(1)，61-89。  new window
12.Brecher, Michael、Raz, Mordechai(1977)。Images and Behaviour: Israel's Yom Kippur Crisis 1973。International Journal，32(3)，475-500。  new window
13.Hart, Paul't(1991)。Irving L. Janis' Victims of Groupthink。Political Psychology，12(2)，247-278。  new window
14.Lord, Amnon(2012)。Intelligence Failure or Paralysis?。Jewish Political Studies Review，24(3/4)，52-64。  new window
15.Mintz, Alex、Schneiderman, Itai(2018)。From Groupthink to Poly-think in the Yom Kippur War Decisions of 1973。European Review of International Studies，5(1)，48-66。  new window
16.Pascovich, Eyal(2018)。The Devil's Advocate in Intelligence: The Israeli Experience。Intelligence and National Security，33(6)，854-865。  new window
17.Safran, Nadav(1973)。Trial by Ordeal: The Yom Kippur War, October 1973。International Security，2(2)，133-170。  new window
18.Shemesh, Moshe(2008)。The Origins of Sadat's Strategic Volte-face (Marking 30 Years since Sadat's Historic Visit to Israel, November 1977)。Israel Studies，13(2)，28-53。  new window
19.Shlaim, Avi(1976)。Failures in National Intelligence Estimates: The Case of the Yom Kippur War。World Politics，28(3)，348-380。  new window
20.(1974)。Israel: What Went Wrong on October 6?: The Partial Report of the Israeli Commission of Inquiry into the October War。Journal of Palestine Studies，3(4)，189-207。  new window
21.Tsoref, Hagai(2018)。Golda Meir's Leadership in the Yom Kippur War。Israel Studies，23(1)，50-72。  new window
22.Janis, Irving(1971)。Groupthink。Psychology Today。  new window
23.吳東林(20120300)。以色列國防軍與中東安全。臺灣國際研究季刊，8(1)，149-176。new window  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Chorev, Moni(1996)。Surprise Attack: The Case of the Yom-Kippur War。The Industrial College of the Armed Forces, National Defense University。  new window
圖書
1.Kent, Sherman(1949)。Strategic intelligence for American world policy。Princeton University Press。  new window
2.El-Sadat, Anwar(1978)。In Search of Identity: An Autobiography。New York：Harper & Row。  new window
3.Janis, Irving L.(1972)。Victims of Groupthink: A Psychological Study of Foreign Policy Decisions and Fiascoes。Boston, MA：Houghton Mifflin。  new window
4.Lowenthal, Mark M.(2012)。Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy。Thousand Oaks, CA：CQ Press。  new window
5.Shulsky, Abram N.、Schmitt, Gary James(2002)。Silent Warfare: Understanding the World of Intelligence。Potomac Books。  new window
6.Brecher, Michael、Geist, Benjamin(1980)。Decisions in Crisis: Israel, 1967 and 1973。University of California Press。  new window
7.黃鴻釗(1998)。中東簡史。書林出版有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
8.Dulles, Allen W.、陳秋慧(2014)。情報術：間諜大師杜勒斯論情報的搜集處理。金城出版社。  延伸查詢new window
9.Adan, Avraham、劉正侃(1983)。一九七三年以埃戰爭親歷記。黎明文化事業股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
10.Macgregor, Douglas A.、國防部(2019)。勝利邊際：五場現代關鍵戰役。國防部政務辦公室。  延伸查詢new window
11.Meir, Golda、李約翰(1976)。梅爾夫人自傳。黎明文化。  延伸查詢new window
12.Gilbert, Martin、扈喜林(2020)。以色列的歷程：從西奧多·赫茨爾到中東和平之路。廣東人民出版社。  延伸查詢new window
13.Bar-Joseph, Uri(2016)。The Angel: The Egyptian Spy Who Saved Israel。Harper Collins。  new window
14.Bar-Joseph, Uri(2005)。The Watchman Fell Asleep: The Surprise of Yom Kippur War and Its Source。State University of New York Press。  new window
15.Blum, Howard(2003)。The Eve of Destruction: The Untold Story of the Yom Kippur War。Harper Collins Publishers。  new window
16.Black, Ian、Morris, Benny(1991)。Israel's Secret Wars: A History of Israel's Intelligence Services。Grove Press。  new window
17.Boyne, Walter J.(2003)。The Yom Kippur War。St. Martin's Griffin。  new window
18.Brecher, Michael(2017)。Dynamics of the Arab-Israel Conflict: Past and Present: Intellectual Odyssey II。Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
19.Bregman, Ahron(2016)。Israel's Wars: A History Since 1947。Routledge。  new window
20.Bregman, Ahron、El-Tahri, Jihan(1998)。The Fifty Years War: Israel and the Arabs。Penguin Group：BBC Worldwide Ltd.。  new window
21.Dayan, Moshe(1976)。Moshe Dayan: The Story of My Life。Weidenfeld and Nicolson。  new window
22.Denécé, Éric、Elkaïm, David(2017)。Les Services Secrets Israéliens: Aman, Mossad et Shin Beth。Tallandier。  new window
23.Gartman, Eric(2015)。Return to Zion: The History of Modern Israel。University of Nebraska Press。  new window
24.Gawrych, George W.(1996)。The 1973 Arab-Israeli War: The Albatross of Decisive Victory。Combat Studies Institute, U.S. Army Command and General Staff College。  new window
25.Herzog, Chaim(2018)。The War of Atonement: The Inside Story of the Yom Kippur War。Frontline Books。  new window
26.Janis, Irving(1982)。Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascoes。Wadsworth。  new window
27.Johnson, Dominic D. P.、Tierney, Dominic(2006)。Failing to Win: Perceptions of Victory and Defeat in International Politics。Harvard University Press。  new window
28.Johnson, Loch K.(2007)。Handbook of Intelligence Studies。Routledge。  new window
29.Johnston, Rob(2005)。Analytic Culture in the U.S. Intelligence Community: An Ethnographic Study。Central Intelligence Agency。  new window
30.Kam, Ephraim(1988)。Surprise Attack: The Victim's Perspective。Harvard University Press。  new window
31.Rabinovich, Abraham(2017)。The Yom Kippur War: The Epic Encounter that Transformed the Middle East。Schocken Books。  new window
32.Terrill, W. Andrew(2009)。Escalation and Intrawar Deterrence During Limited Wars in the Middle East。Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College。  new window
單篇論文
1.Nowland, Mark C.(2001)。Eliminating the Rhetoric: An Evaluation of the Halt-Phase Strategy，The School of Advanced Airpower Studies, Maxwell Air Force Base。  new window
其他
1.Gross, Judah Ari(20180917)。'Odds of War Lower than Low': Papers Highlight Intel Failures in Yom Kippur War，https://www.timesofisrael.com/odds-of-war-lower-than-low-papers-highlight-intel-failures-in-yom-kippur-war/。  new window
2.Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs。The Land: Geography and Climate，https://mfa.gov.il/MFA/AboutIsrael/Land/Pages/THE%20LAND-%20Geography%20and%20Climate.aspx。  new window
3.Kuperwasser, Yosef(20071014)。Lessons from Israel's Intelligence Reforms，The Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution。，https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/10_intelligence_kuperwasser.pdf。  new window
4.Riedel, Bruce(20170925)。Enigma: The Anatomy of Israel's Intelligence Failure Almost 45 Years Ago，https://www.brookings.edu/research/enigma-the-anatomy-of-israels-intelligence-failure-almost-45-years-ago/。  new window
5.Siboni, Gabi，Bazak, Yuva(20210614)。The IDF 'Victory Doctrine': The Need for an Updated Doctrine，https://jiss.org.il/en/siboni-idf-victory-doctrine-the-need-for-an-updated-doctrine/。  new window
6.The Israel Defense Forces。1973 Yom Kippur War，https://www.idf.il/en/minisites/wars-and-oper-ations/yom-kippur-war/。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bregman, Ahron(2013)。Ashraf Marwan and Israel's Intelligence Failure。The Yom Kippur War: Politics, Legacy, Diplomacy。Oxford University Press。  new window
2.Bruce, James B.(2008)。The Missing Link: The Analyst-Collector Relations。Analyzing Intelligence: Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations。Georgetown University Press。  new window
3.Davis, Jack(2008)。Why Bad Things Happen to Good Analysist。Analyzing Intelligence: Origins, Obstacles, and Innovations。Georgetown University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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