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題名:Dynamic AD Justments of the Optimal Hedge Ratio
書刊名:臺大管理論叢
作者:林筠
作者(外文):Lin, Yun
出版日期:1990
卷期:1:1
頁次:頁285-312
主題關鍵詞:最適避險比率動態調整策略Optimal hedge ratio
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:12
「避險」乃是期貨市場及選擇權市場最主要的功能之一,避險者只要持有適當的期貨合的或選擇權舍約,便能減少其現貨部位所面臨的價格波動風險;至於避險成效的大小,則取決於避險比率是否適當而定。因此如何決定最適避險比率便成為學術界及實務界一個重要的課題。在過去避險的實証研究中,大多只著重於如何經由歷史資料,觀察期貨價格與現貨價格變動的相關性,並據以得出一個靜態的最適避險比率。事實上在一個充滿變數的經濟社會中,此一靜態避險比率之穩定性,一直受到相當大質疑。因此本研究乃應用計量分析方法,提出五種最適避險比率之動態調整策略,並以S&P500股價指數期貨及選擇權作為避險工具,說明如何應用本文所建議之動態調整策略,以增進股票投資組合之避險成效。尤其要強調的是本文在評估各種避險策略之成效時,除了比較一般文獻上新採用的報酬率變異數減少百分比(R2)外,並比較各種避險策略在平均報酬率以及報酬率機率分配在偏度上的差異,以期提供更廣泛而告平的評估基礎。
With the changing nature of the real world it is unrealistic to assume that the hedge ratio estimated from historical data over a long period is con-stant. The dynamic nature of the hedge ratio presents a practical problem in performing OLS to compute the optimal hedge ratio. Five econometric models for handling the nonstationary optimal hedge ratio are analyzed. They are: the pure random coefficient model, the Bayesian model, the uni-variate ARCH model, the bivariate A ICH model, and the generalized changing parameter model. In addition, these methods are applied to examine the dynamic hedging potentials for stock portfolios. It is found that the return-risk relatives from the dynamic strategies are substantially higher than those of the static hedging strategies while the return distributions of the former are also more positively skewed than the latter. The findings demonstrate the superiority of the more sophisticated dynamic hedging strategies.
期刊論文
1.Whaley, Robert E.(1982)。Valuation of American Call Options on Dividend-Paying Stocks: Empirical Tests。Journal of Financial Economics,10(1),29-58。  new window
2.Samuelson, P. A.(1965)。Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate randomly。Industrial Management Review,6,41-49。  new window
3.Howard, C. T.、D'Antonio, L. J.(1984)。A Risk-Return Measure of Hedging Effectiveness。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,19,101-112。  new window
4.Hill, J.、Schneeweis, T.(1981)。A note on the hedging effectiveness of foreign-currency futures。Journal of Futures Markets,1(4),659-664。  new window
5.Nelson, R. D.、Collins, R. A.(1985)。A Measure of Hedging Performance。Journal of Futures Markets,5(1),45-55。  new window
6.Peck, A. E.(1975)。Hedging and Income Stability: Concepts, Implications, an Example。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,57(3),410-419。  new window
7.Engle, Robert F.(1983)。Estimates of the Variance of U.S. Inflation Based upon the ARCH Model。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,15,286-301。  new window
8.Anderson, R. W.、Danthine, J. P.(1981)。Cross-Hedging。Journal of Political Economy,89,1182-1196。  new window
9.Ederington, L. H.(1979)。The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Market。The Journal of Finance,34,157-170。  new window
10.Franckle, C. T.(1980)。The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets: Comment。The Journal of Finance,35(5),1273-1279。  new window
11.Grammatikos, T.、Saunders, A.(1983)。Stability and the Hedging Performance of Foreign Currency Futures。The Journal of Futures Markets,3(3),295-305。  new window
12.Chen, S. N.、Lee, C. F.(1983)。Bayesian and Mixed Estimators of Time Varying Betas。Journal of Economics and Business,34,291-402。  new window
13.Figlewski, S.、Kon, S. J.(1982)。Portfolio Management with Stock Index Futures。Financial Analysts Journal,20,52-60。  new window
14.Junkus, J. C.、Lee, C. F.(1985)。Use of Three Stock Index Futures in Hedging Decisions。The Journal of Futures Market,5,202-222。  new window
15.Kraus, Alan、Litzenberger, Robert H.(1976)。Skewness preference and the valuation of risk assets。Journal of Finance,31(4),1085-1100。  new window
16.Black, Fischer、Scholes, Myron S.(1973)。The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities。Journal of Political Economy,81(3),637-654。  new window
17.Figlewski, Stephen(1984)。Hedging Performance and Basis Risk in Stock Index Futures。Journal of Finance,39(3),657-669。  new window
18.Johnson, Leland L.(1960)。The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures。The Review of Economic Studies,27(3),139-151。  new window
研究報告
1.Kraft, O. F.、Engle, R. F.(1982)。Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Multiple Time Series Models。San Diego, CA:University of California。  new window
圖書
1.Theil, Henri(1971)。Principles of Econometrics。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
 
 
 
 
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