一九九四年七月八日，北韓統治者金日成死亡後，權力轉移問題雖然迄未完全明朗化，但一般相信金日成必將掌握權力。本文即以此為前提，探討北韓金正日政權為獲得合法性，必然會採行中共模式的開放政策，以提高人民的生活水準，不過，儘管中共模式是北韓當局將採行的途徑，但由於北韓與中國大陸的各種條件不同，北韓必然會對中共模式加以調整，同時也將引發許多問題，是金正日政權所必須面對的。如果金正日無法有效解決因開放所引發的政治、經濟、社會等問題，北韓的開放政策將無法達到其目標。 本文首先探討中共模式的開放政策，其次分析效仿中共模式的北韓開放政策的內涵及其成功所應有的基礎條件，然後研析北韓採行開放政策後將引發的問題及解決方法。

　　　　　It ha been one year since Kim II-Sun died on July 8, 1994. Although the situation of power transfer in North Korea is still vague, it is widely believed that his son Kim Jung-II will control the power in the future. This article argues that the new regime can not but follow the PRC model in order to improve North Korea's moribund economy, hence to increase its legitimacy. However, the conditions in North Korea are quite different from those of the PRC. The PRC model can not be fit in the North Korean society without certain adjustment. In addition, an open door policy would create many political, economic, and social problems for the new regime. Unless Kim Jung-II can solve these problems, the open door policy would not be able to serve the regime's purposes. This article will examine the PRC model and the preconditions for North Korea to successfully adopt the PRC model. It will also study the problems brought about by an open door policy and the strategy for North Korea to deal with them.