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題名:匯率重整與目標區政策
書刊名:經濟論文
作者:胡春田 引用關係林鴻裕
作者(外文):Hu, Chun-tienLin, Hong-yu
出版日期:1997
卷期:25:1
頁次:頁97-121
主題關鍵詞:匯率重整蜜月效應中心匯率基本要素RealignmentHoneymoon effectWidening the bandMarket fundamental
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:10
     本文將 Bertola and Caballero ( 1992 )匯率重整的方法以淺顯易懂的方式 一般化後,求證蜜月效應之存續與匯率重整可能性間的關係,並進一步探討如果央行不僅重 整目標區之中心匯率,同時亦放寬目標區之寬幅時,密月效應與重整方向二者門的關係。 本文的結論如下:如果人們預期政府將採行具有安定力量的干預政策時,密月效應一定存在 ;反之如果人們預期政府將採行不安定力量的干預政策時,蜜月效應一定不存在。如果人們 的預期相當混雜( mixed ),蜜月效應存在與石端視安定與不安定的力量孰大而定。 而安 定或不安定的力道大小又與人們的預期機率、政府干預的程度(重整的方向、干預基本要素 的最終點等)有關。
     In this paper, we propose a more general form of realignment to show th at the honeymoon expectation of what would happen when the upperlimit is approaching. We not only consider more general forms of reglignment and intervention, but also consider the possibility of widening the band. In general, the existnce of a honeymoon effect depends not only on the structural parameters, but also on the direction of reglignment. If there is a possibility that a future policy change will bring the fundamental far from current band, then it would de-stabilize the exchange rate. The result the would depend on whether or not the stable factor outweighs the unstable one.
期刊論文
1.Miller, M.、Weller, P.(1991)。Currency Bands, Target Zones, and Price Flexibility。IMF Staff Papers,38(1),184-215。  new window
2.Klein, Michael W.(1990)。Playing with the Band: Dynamic Effects of Target Zones in an Open Economy。International Economic Review,31(4),757-772。  new window
3.Bertola, G.、Caballero, R. J.(1992)。Target Zones and Realignments。American Economic Review,82(3),520-536。  new window
4.Froot, K.、Obstfeld, M.(1991)。Exchange Rate Dynamics Under Stochastic Regime Shifs: A Unified Approach。Journal of International Economics,31,3-30。  new window
5.Krugman, P.(1991)。Target Zone and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Quarterly Journal of Economics,106,669-682。  new window
6.Flood, Robert P.、Garber, Peter M.(1991)。THe Linkage Between Speculative Attack and Target Zone Models of Exchange Rates。Quarterly Journal of Economics,106(4),1367-1372。  new window
會議論文
1.吳中書、陳買媛(1993)。資本非自由移動下,匯率目標區之動態效果。中國經濟學會82年年會。中國經濟學會。229-264。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Buiter, W.、Grilli, V.(1989)。The Gold Stand and Paradox and Its Resolution。Cambridge, MA。  new window
2.Buiter, W.、Pesenti, R.(1990)。Rational Speculative Bubbles in an Exchange Rate Target Zone。Cambridge, MA。  new window
圖書
1.Dominguez, K. M.、Frankel, J. A.(1993)。Does foreign exchange intervention work?。Washington, DC:Institute of International Economics。  new window
2.Williamson, J.(1985)。The Exchange Rate System。Washington, DC:Institute for International Economics。  new window
 
 
 
 
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