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題名:先進製造技術的投資評估模式
書刊名:輔仁管理評論
作者:魏秋建田應蒨
作者(外文):Wei, Chiu-chiTien, Ying-chien
出版日期:1997
卷期:4:1
頁次:頁53-78
主題關鍵詞:先進製造技術景氣度淨現值學習曲線模糊度量評估法Advanced manufacturing technologyState-priceLearning curveFuzzy approach
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 點閱點閱:9
     臺灣的製造業者受到新臺幣升值、勞工成本提高及環保意識抬頭的影響,以至於 國際競爭力大幅下降,另外消費者對產品品質及功能的要求越來越高,也造成產品生命週期 的縮短,這些因素促使業者不得不引進先進製造技術,來提升其競爭能力。由於先進製造技 術具有極高的生產效率及彈性,很適合少量多樣的生產形態,因此世界各國紛紛採行此一策 略,以取得長期的競爭優勢。然而,引進先進製造技術需要投入大量的資金、時間與人力, 在引進之前,必須先確定先進製造系統的引進的確可以提升公司的競爭地位,達成公司的策 略目標。而由於先進製造技術的複雜性,使得引進評估的工作非常困難,傳統所使用的經濟 評估模式並不十分適用,必須發展出考慮因素更完整、更廣泛而且實用的評估模式。本研究 提出一個整合評估模式,同時考慮經濟性及非經濟性因素,作為引進先進製造技術的決策流 程。階段一為景氣度淨現值評估模式,比較先進製造技術與傳統設備的經濟性差異。階段二 為學習曲線理論,分別比較先進製造技術與傳統設備的人工效率的差異。階段三為模糊度量 評估法的應用,可以在公司眾多的製造策略下,決定引進何種先進製造技術,最能增加公司 的長期競爭優勢、提升產能以及擴大盈利的目標。
     Due to the appreciation of Taiwan currency, the increase of the labor cost, and the emphasis of the environmental protection, the competitive advantage of domestic manufacturers has dramatically declined. In addition, the continuous demands of products with high quality and superior performance from consumers have substantially shortened the product life cycle. To regain the market share, the industrialists are inevitably forced to invest in advanced manufacturing technologies to strengthen the competitiveness. Advanced manfacturing technologies are capable of producing products with higher productivity and flexibility, and are most suitable for low volume production with areat product variety. Thus, it is strategically adopted by industry-intensive countries around the world. Nevertheless, investment in advanced manufacturing technologies involves significant amount of budget, time, and manpower. The investment decisions must be carefully and throughly evaluated to ensure that the competitive position can certainly be enhanced so as to meet the firm's strategic goal. Appraising the advanced manufacturing technologies is a complex and difficult task, the traditional economic evaluation techniques are not sufficient to assure a robust investment decision. This study proposes an integrated evaluation model which takes into account both quantitative and qualitative factors to assist management in making investment decisions associated with new technologies. The model consists of three stages, the first stage compares the benefits between the existing and the advanced technologies using State-Price net present value, the second stage applies the learning curve theory to evaluate the possible cost saving for a specific new technology. Finally, the last stage employs the Fuzzy approach to subjectively appraise the strategic factors such as long term competitive advantage, production flexibility, and the like.
期刊論文
1.Wright, T. P.(1936)。Factors Affecting the Cost of Airplanes。Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences,3(4),122-128。  new window
2.Arbel, A.、Seidmann, A.(1984)。Performance evaluation of flexible manufacturing systems。IEEE Transaction on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics,14(4),606-617。  new window
3.Banz, R. W.、Miller, M. H.(1978)。Prices for state-contingent claims: some estimates and applications。Journal of Business,51(4),653-672。  new window
4.Bevis, F. W.、Towill, D. R.(1972)。Managerial control systems based on learning curve models。Int. J. Prod. Res,11(3),219-238。  new window
5.Boer, C. R.、Metzler, V.(1986)。Economic evaluation of advanced manufacturing by means of simulation。Material Flow,3,215-224。  new window
6.Brown, C. B.、Yao, J. T. P.(1983)。Fuzzy sets and structural engineering。J. Structural Engineering, ASCE,109(5),1211-1225。  new window
7.Barzilai, J.、Golany, B.(1994)。AHP rank reversal, normalization and aggre-gation rules。INFOR,32(2),57-63。  new window
8.Carlson, J. G.(1973)。Cubic learning curves: precision tool for labor estiminating。Manufacturing and Management,71(5),22-25。  new window
9.Chou, K. C.、Yuan, J.(1992)。Safety assessment of existing structures using filtered fuzzy relation。Struct. Safety,11(3/4),173-189。  new window
10.De Jong, J. R.(1957)。The effects of increasing skill on cycle time and its consequences for time standards。Ergonomics,1(1),51-60。  new window
11.Fotsh, R. J.(1984)。Machine tool justification policies: their effect on productivity and profitability。Journal of Manufacturing System,3(2),169-195。  new window
12.Garg, A.、Milliman, P.(1961)。The aircraft progress curve modified for design changes。Journal of I. E.,12(1),23-27。  new window
13.Krinsky, I.、Miltenburg, J.(1991)。Alternate method for the justification of advanced manufacturing technologies。Int J. Prod,29(5),997-1015。  new window
14.Levy, F. K.(1965)。Adaptation in the production process。Management Science,11(6),136-153。  new window
15.Meredith, J. R.、Hill, M. M.(1987)。Justifying new manufacturing systems: a managerial approach。Sloan Management Review,28(4),49-61。  new window
16.Murphy, Catherine Kuenz(1993)。Limits on the analytic hierarchy process from its consistency index。European Journal of Operational Research,65(1),138-139。  new window
17.Ramasesh, R. V.、Jayakumar, M. D.(1993)。Economic justification of advanced manufacturing technology。Omega,21(3),289-306。  new window
18.Roger, N.(1987)。Justification of FMS with the analytic hierarchy process。Journal of Manufacturing Systems,7(3),175-182。  new window
19.Satty, T. L.(1994)。Homogeneity and clustering in AHP ensures the validity of the scale。European Journal of Operational Research,72,598-601。  new window
20.Tanner, J. P.(1985)。The learning curve。Production Engineering,32(5),195-203。  new window
21.Wabalickis, R. N.(1987)。Justification of FMS with the analytical hierarchy process。Journal of Manufacturing Systems,7(3),175-182。  new window
22.Youssef, M. A.(1992)。Getting to know advanced manufacturing technologies。Industrial Engineering,1992(Feb.),40-42。  new window
23.Zadeh, Lotfi Asker(1965)。Fuzzy sets。Information and Control,8(3),338-353。  new window
會議論文
1.王鼎旭、葉根、劉豐瑞、蔣偉寧(1993)。模糊數學在結構可靠度上的應用。中華民國第二屆模糊理論與應用研討會。  延伸查詢new window
2.張有恆、徐村和(1992)。模糊度量AHP法--交通運輸計劃評估新模式。中華民國第一屆Fuzzy理論與應用研討會。新竹:清華大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.Falkner, C. H.(1986)。Flexibility in manufacturing plants。Amsterdam:Elsevier Science Publisher B. V.。95-106。  new window
4.Varney, M. S.、Sullivan, W. G.、Cochran, J. K.(1985)。Justification of flexible manufacturing systems with analytical hierarchy process。International Industrial Engineering Conferences,181-190。  new window
研究報告
1.李慶恩(1993)。引進彈性製造系統的整合評估模式 (計畫編號:NSC-82-0415-E009-137)。  延伸查詢new window
2.Meredith, J. R.、Hill, M. M.(1985)。Justifiying advanced manufacturing systems。University of Cincinnati。  new window
學位論文
1.Chen, C. B.(1994)。An efficient approach to solving fuzzy MADM problems(博士論文)。University of Missouri-Columbia。  new window
圖書
1.郭明哲。工業工程全書。淡江大學管理科學研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.Bozeman, Barry、Melkers, J.(1993)。Evaluating R&D impacts: methods and practice。Kwuwer Academic Publishers。  new window
3.Copeland, Thomas E.、Weston, John Fred(1991)。Financial Theory and Corporate Policy。Addison Wesley。  new window
4.Crawford, C. Merle(1991)。New products management。  new window
5.Lin, Z. C.、Yen, C. P.(1991)。Economic evaluation of FMS by AHP Method。  new window
6.Saaty, T. L.(1989)。The Analytic Hierarchy Process。New York:McGraw Hill。  new window
7.Twiss, Brian C.(1992)。Managing Technological Innovation。Pitman Publishing。  new window
圖書論文
1.Krawiec, Frank(1990)。Evaluating and selecting research projects by scoring。Research Technology Management。  new window
 
 
 
 
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