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題名:技術分析選股策略與市場效率性檢定--以臺灣股市為例
書刊名:嶺東學報
作者:王金鍊
出版日期:1997
卷期:8
頁次:頁87-134
主題關鍵詞:技術分析選股市場效率性檢定臺灣股市
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:27
     效率市場論者所提,市場價格會對新的資訊作立即而充份反應,任何歷史資料, 包括過去的股票價量等資料,不能帶給投資者任何額外利益,所有精心選擇的投資組合都將 徒勞無功等主張,基本上忽略了市場投資者本身的異質性這個大前提、資訊的取得和處理有 其成本,而市場均衡價格的達成是要花時間逐步完成的。傳統的基本分析選股方法,受限於 財務報表在公布時間的經常落後以及資訊品質的參差不齊等因素,投資人在實際的市場操作 上有其瓶頸;本研究運用技術分析方的方法,來篩選股票建構投資組合,主要方法包括個股 與大盤相對強弱勢的比較、多頭格局條件的滿足以及底部時間的前後比較,並以國內股市資 料進行實證研究,考慮規模效應以後,仍然證實此一選股方法可產生超額報酬,進一步否定效 率市場論者關於選股與投資效無關的說法。至於本選股方法在實際應用上似可搭配基本分析 或其他技術分析方法機動性的調整投資組合,形成一個穩健的、具動態性質的選股策略以期 在詭跼多變的市場穩操勝算。
期刊論文
1.Sweeney, Richard J.(1988)。Some New Filter Rule Tests: Methods and Results。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,23(3),285-300。  new window
2.Ou, J. A.、Penman, S. H.(1989)。Accounting Measurement, Price-Earnings Ratio, and the Information Content of Security Prices。Journal of Accounting Research,27(3),111-144。  new window
3.Pruitt, Stephen W.、White, R. E.(1988)。The CRISMA Trading System: Who Says Technical Analysis can't beat the Market?。Journal of Portfolio Management,14(3),55-58。  new window
4.Fama, Eugene F.(1965)。Random Walks In Stock Market Prices。Financial Analysts Journal,21(5),55-59。  new window
5.Lev, Baruch(1989)。On the Usefulness of Earnings and Earnings Research: Lessons and Directions from Two Decades of Empirical Research。Journal of Accounting Research,27(Supplement),153-192。  new window
6.陳至還(19910500)。當今國內股市的問題癥結。臺灣經濟金融月刊,27(5)=316,1-13。  延伸查詢new window
7.Ho, Thomas S. Y.、Michaely, Roni(1988)。Information Quality and Market Efficiency。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,23(1),53-70。  new window
8.Rail, Ray(1992)。The Earnings-Price Anomaly。Journal of Accounting and Economics,15(2/3),319-345。  new window
9.紀錦隆(1991)。現行法對內部人交易之規範-兼評七十九年度易字第二二號與七十九年度上易字第七六二號判決。證券市場發展季刊,9,93-100。  延伸查詢new window
10.林宜勉(19950400)。證券價格可以彙總與傳遞資訊--理性預期在財務會計上之應用。會計研究月刊,115,78-83。  延伸查詢new window
11.Diamond, D. W.、Verrecchia, R. E.(1981)。Information Aggregation in a Noisy Rational Expectations Model。Journal of Financial Economics,9(3),221-235。  new window
12.Indjejikian, Raffi J.(1991)。The Impact of Costly Information Interpretation on Firm Disclosure Decisions。Journal of Accounting Research,29(2),277-301。  new window
13.Alexander, Sindey S.(1961)。Price Movements in Speculative Markets: Trend or Random Walks。Industrial Management Review,2(2),7-26。  new window
14.Sweeney, Richard J.(1990)。Evidence on Short-Term Trading Strategies。Journal of Portfolio Management,17(1),20-26。  new window
15.Jacobs, Bruce I.、Levy, Kenneth N.(1988)。Disentangling Equity Return Regularities : New Insights and Investment Opportunities。Financial Analysts Journal,44(3),18-43。  new window
16.Dreman, David N.、Berry, Michael A.(1995)。Overreaction, Underreaction, and the Low-P/E Effect。Financial Analysts Journal,51(4),21-30。  new window
17.Reiganum, Marc R.(1988)。The Anatomy of a Stock Market Winner。Financial Analysts Journal,44(2),16-28。  new window
18.Grossman, Sanford J.、Stiglitz, Joseph E.(1980)。On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets。The American Economic Review,70(3),393-408。  new window
19.Keim, Donald B.(1983)。Size-Related Anomalies and Stock Return Seasonality: Further Empirical Evidence。Journal of Financial Economics,12(1),13-32。  new window
20.康榮寶、陳美娥、羅吉臺、張兆順(19950400)。股市可炒作 報表可操縱--財報的揭露管理研究應全面展開。會計研究月刊,115,40-46。  延伸查詢new window
21.Levy, Robert A.(1967)。Relative Strength as a Criterion for Investment Selection。Journal of Finance,22(4),595-610。  new window
22.Basu, Sanjoy(1983)。The Relationship between Earnings' Yield, Market Value and Return for NYSE Common Stocks: Further Evidence。Journal of Finance Economics,12(1),129-156。  new window
學位論文
1.林宗永(1989)。技術分析指標獲利性之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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