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題名:臺灣加權股價指數期貨與選擇權公平價格之模擬與避險策略績效之評估
書刊名:企業管理學報
作者:康信鴻 引用關係傅安民
作者(外文):Kang, Hsin-hongFu, An-ming
出版日期:1997
卷期:41
頁次:頁147-175
主題關鍵詞:臺灣加權股價指數股價指數期貨選擇權避險策略廣義平均吉尼係數法Taiwan's weighted stock indexStock index futuresStock index optionsHedging strategiesExtended mean-gini approach
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     股價指數期貨與選擇權市場是證券市場的延伸,雖然目前國內尚未開放以現有或 新創之股價指數做為期貨與選擇權合約標的物之交易,但是若一開放,其潛力及影響是不可 低估的。因此,本文之主要目的即是針對臺灣加權股價指數,利用模擬出的股價指數期貨及 選擇權之公平價格,運用 EMG 法求算出在不同風險需求下, 期貨與選擇權之避險比例,並 以 EMG 標準評估其績效。研究結果發現:1. 採期貨及保護性賣權策略較買入持有的報酬率 要來的高,且風險較小;而掩護性買權的報酬率雖較買入持有,但其風險要來的低,故仍有 降低風險的效用。2. 以 EMG 法評估準則來看,績效最佳的是採期貨避險策略,而買入持有 的方式最差。
     The stock index futures and stock index options are the extensions of the stock market. Although, nowadays, the present or the innovative stock index is not allowed to be the objects of the futures and options contracts, if it is once opened, the potential and the influence should not be neglected. Therefore, the main purpose of the context is on the Taiwan's Weighted Stock Index, utilizing the simulative fair price of the stock index futures and options, calculating, through the EMG approach, the hedging ratio of futures to options under the different risking demands and evaluating the effect through EMG standard. The conclusion is as follows: 1. Compared with the buy and hold, the strategies of futures and protectivve put is of higher rate of return and with lower risk. The covered call, compared with the buy and hold, is of lower rate of redturn, but its risk is also comaratively much lower, therefore, there will be the effect of decreasing the risk. 2. From the viewpoint of the evaluating criterion of the EMG approach, the best effect is to take the hedging strateiges of the futures, and the worst is to take the way of buy and hold.
期刊論文
1.Heifner, R. G.(1972)。Optimal Hedging Levels and Hedging Effectiveness in Cattle Feeding。Agricultural Economic Research,24,25-36。  new window
2.Kang, Heejoon(1985)。The Effects of Detrending in Granger Causality Tests。Journal of Business and Economic Statistics,3(4),344-349。  new window
3.Lee, S. B.、Ohk, K. Y.(1992)。Stock and Index Futures Listing and Structure Change in Time-Varying Volatility。Journal of Futures Markets,12(5),493-509。  new window
4.Shalit, H.、Yitzhaki, S.(1984)。Mean-Gini, Portfolio Theory, and the Pricing of Risky Assets。Journal of Finance,39(5),449-468。  new window
5.Yitzhaki, S.(1983)。On an Extension of the Gini Inequality Index。International Economic Review,24(3),617-628。  new window
6.Brenner, Menachem、Subrahmanyam, Marti G.、Uno, Jun(1990)。Arbitrage Opportunities in the Japanese Stock and Futures Markets。Financial Analysis Journal,46(2),14-24。  new window
7.朱富春(19910300)。論股價指數。證交資料,347,1-6。  延伸查詢new window
8.王言(19920700)。簡介股價指數期貨市場。證交資料,363,1-10。  延伸查詢new window
9.朱富春(19910200)。論股價指數。證交資料,346,1-9。  延伸查詢new window
10.Hsiao, Cheng(1979)。Autoregressive modeling of Canadian money and income data。Journal of the American Statistical Association,74(367),553-560。  new window
11.陳文練(1994)。股價指數之編制方法。證券管理,12(11)。  延伸查詢new window
12.林筠(19900500)。Dynamic AD Justments of the Optimal Hedge Ratio。臺大管理論叢,1(1),285-312。new window  new window
13.鄭建國(19940600)。股價指數期貨之簡介。萬通銀行季刊,3(2)=10,36-41。  延伸查詢new window
14.單高年、吳成俊、張文毅、黃玻莉(19930900)。股票現貨市場與股價指數期貨市場的關係。證交資料,377,1-13。  延伸查詢new window
15.單高年、吳成俊、張文毅、黃玻莉(19930800)。股票現貨市場與股價指數期貨市場的關係。證交資料,376,27-33。  延伸查詢new window
16.Engle, Robert F.、Yoo, Byung Sam(1987)。Forcasting and Testing in Co-integrated System。Journal of Econometrics,35(1),143-159。  new window
17.Holaglin, D. C.、Iglewicz, B.(1987)。Fine-Tuning Some Resistant Rules for Outlier Labeling。Journal of American Statistical Associations,82(400),1147-1149。  new window
18.Poter, R. B.、Gaumnitz, J. E.(1972)。Stochastic Dominance vs. Mean-Variance Portfolio Analysis: An Empirical Evaluation。American Economic Review,62(3),438-446。  new window
19.Merton, R. C.、Scholes, M. S.、Gladstein, M. L.(1978)。The Returns and Risk of Alternative Call option Portfolio Strategies。Journal of Business,51(2),183-241。  new window
20.Kolb, Robert W.、Okunev, John(1992)。An Empirical of the Extended Mean-Gini Coefficient for Futures Hedging。Journal of Futures Markets,12(2),177-186。  new window
21.Witt, Harvey J.、Schroeder, Ted C.、Hayenga, Marvin L.(1987)。A Comparison of Analytical Approaches for Estimating Hedge Ratios for Agricultural Commodities。Journal of Futures Markets,7(2),135-146。  new window
22.Pounds, H. M.(1984)。Covered Call Option Writing :Strategies and Results。Journal of Portfolio Management,4,31-42。  new window
23.Working, H.(1953)。Futures Trading and Hedging via Goal Programming。American Economic Review,43(2),314-343。  new window
24.Working, H.(1962)。New Concept Concerning Futures Market and Prices。American Economic Review,54(2),431-459。  new window
25.Johnson, Leland L.(1960)。The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures。The Review of Economic Studies,27(3),139-151。  new window
學位論文
1.林明馨(1993)。股價指數期貨與選擇權避險策略之績效評估(碩士論文)。國立台灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.張文卿(1991)。股價指數期貨之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.謝上元(1989)。期貨市場之研究--以股價指數期貨市場為中心(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.許茂盛(1994)。台灣地區股價指數期貨之標的選擇(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.余素芬。臺灣地區新金融產品發展之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.郭維裕(1990)。指數期貨與選擇權避險策略之績效評估--以美國主要市場指數為例(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Maddala, G. S.。Introduction to Econometrics。  new window
2.Stoll, H.、Whaley, R.(1993)。Futures and Options: Theory and Applications。Cincinnati:Southwestern。  new window
 
 
 
 
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