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題名:國際金融衝擊、匯率干預與物價波動
書刊名:經濟論文
作者:曹添旺 引用關係張植榕
作者(外文):Tsaur, Tien-wangChang, Jyr-rong
出版日期:1998
卷期:26:2
頁次:頁113-155
主題關鍵詞:貨幣衝擊匯率干預匯率制度變遷國際資本移動性物價波動投機炒作Monetary schocksForeign-exchange interventionInternational capital mobilityPrice volatilityExchange regime switchSpeculative attacks
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:29
  • 點閱點閱:51
     本文運用「匯率制度變遷」分析方法探討小型開放經濟面臨國際金融衝擊時,有 無採行外匯干預措施對於物價、利率、貨幣與匯率等相關經濟變數的影響。研究的結果發現 ,一旦發生暫時性外匯需求的增加,浮動匯率的調整機能係由本國通貨的貶值來改善本國產 品的競爭力,藉以消弭國際金融干擾產生的國際收支逆差。此一通貨貶值幅度及爾後匯率的 行徑取決於資本移動程度與相關經濟結構參數的相對大小。若當局面臨外匯市場短期需求增 加時立即捍衛匯率於原先「合理」的水準,則貨幣勢必緊縮從而物價下跌,經濟體系乃藉由 貿易條件的惡化來改善國際收支。但當金融干擾消失之後,物價即往上攀升,且在當局回復 浮動匯率的瞬間,還會發生銀根寬鬆、利率下降導致資本帳惡化的現象;而貨幣寬鬆的程度 也與資本移動性及金融干擾期間等結構參數的大小有關。如果當局旨在維持較低的物價水準 ,資本移動的程度是決定其應否干預匯市的關鍵因素。若資本移動性較大,則干預匯率的物 價水準較低,故捍衛匯率應是較佳的策略;但若資本移動性較小,則在金融衝擊的期間內, 干預匯率的物價水準固較浮動匯率為低,但一旦干擾消失,干預匯率的物價就往上爬升,一 段時間後反而會高於浮動匯率的物價水準。準此,若資本移動程度較低而金融干擾期間也較 短,則浮動匯率似較能維持低的物價水準。
     This paper incorporates the "exchange regime switch" approach into a small open economy with imperfect capital mobility and rational expectations so as to investigate the dynamic adjustment of the exchange rate, price levels and other variables. It is found that the dynamic paths of these economic variables depend on whether central banks intervene in the foreign-exchange market to fix exchange rates when an unanticipated foreign monetary shock occurs. It is shown that the monetary shock will lower price levels under fixed exchange rates if capital mobility is relatively high. When capital is less mobile and the duration of monetary shocks in relatively short, setting flexible exchange rates will tend to result in lower price levels.
期刊論文
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2.陳昭南(1975)。Fixed versus Flexible Exchange Rates: A Reservoir Simile。Journal of Monetary Economics,1(2),265-271。  new window
3.Obstfeld, Maurice(1984)。Balance-of-Payments Crises and Devaluation。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,16(2),208-217。  new window
4.陳師孟、蔡雪芳(19880300)。完全預期下之政策跨時搭配與滙率動態。經濟論文叢刊,16(1),1-23。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Krugman, Paul R.(1979)。A Model of Balance-of-payments Crises。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,11(3),311-325。  new window
6.Mundell, Robert A.(1963)。Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates。Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science,29(4),475-485。  new window
7.Flood, R. P.、Garber, P. M.(1984)。Collapsing Exchange Rate Regimes: Some Linear Examples。Journal of International Economics,17(1/2),1-13。  new window
8.賴景昌、張文雅(19881200)。匯率制度變遷與物價調整方式。經濟論文叢刊,16(4),543-563。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Dornbusch, Rudiger(1976)。Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Journal of Political Economy,84(6),1161-1176。  new window
10.McKinnon, Ronald I.(1963)。Optimum Currency Areas。American Economic Review,53(4),717-725。  new window
11.Mundell, Robert A.(1961)。A theory of optimum currency areas。American Economic Review,51(4),657-665。  new window
12.Blanchard, Olivier J.(1981)。Output, the Stock Market, and Interest Rates。American Economic Review,71(1),132-143。  new window
13.Frenkel, Jacob A.、Rodriguez, Carlos A.(1982)。Exchange Rate Dynamics and the Overshooting Hypothesis。IMF Staff Papers,29(1),1-30。  new window
14.Dornbusch, R.(1976)。Exchange Rate Expectation and Monetary Policy。Journal of International Economics,6(4),231-244。  new window
15.賴景昌、張文雅(1992)。Do Self-Fulfilling Expectations of Currency Devaluation Improve the Balance of Payments?。Journal of Economic Studies,19(4),48-57。  new window
16.Niehans, J.(1975)。Some Doubts about the Efficacy of Monetary Policy under Flexible Exchange Rates。Journal of International Economics,5(3),275-281。  new window
17.Fleming, J.(1962)。International Capital Control Flows and Domestic Economic Policies。IMF Staff Papers,9(3),369-379。  new window
18.Eaton, J.、Turnovsky, S. J.(1983)。Covered Interest Parity, Uncovered Interest Parity and Exchange Rate Dynamics。The Economic Journal,93(371),555-575。  new window
19.Driskill, R.(1980)。Elasticity Pessimism, Expectations, and Stability of the Foreign Exchange Market。Weltwirtschaftliches Archive: Review of World Economics,116(2),307-314。  new window
20.Calvo, G. A.(1989)。Anticipated Devaluations。International Economic Review,30(3),587-606。  new window
21.Flood, R. P.、Bhandari, J. S.、Agenor, P. R.(1992)。Speculative Attacks and Models of Balance of Payments Crises。IMF Staff Papers,39(2),357-394。  new window
22.陳昭南(1973)。國際貨幣制度的癥結與改革。經濟論文,1(1),183-202。new window  延伸查詢new window
23.陳昭南(1974)。固定匯率與浮動匯率的抉擇-儲水池的比喻。臺北銀行月刊,5(10),16-19。  延伸查詢new window
24.陳昭南(1972)。固定匯率與浮動匯率之抉擇:一個簡單的模型。財稅研修叢刊,1,38-41。  延伸查詢new window
25.Willman, A.(1988)。Balance-of-Payments Crises and Monetary Policy Reactions in a Model with Imperfects Substitutability between Domestic and Foreign Bonds。Economics Letters,26(1),77-81。  new window
26.Tsiang, S. C.(1975)。The Dynamic of International Capital Flows and Internal and External Balance。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,89(2),195-214。  new window
27.Wallace, N.、Sargent, T. J.(1973)。The Stability of Models of Money and Growth with Perfect Foresight。Econometrica,41(6),1043-1048。  new window
28.Rogoff, K.、Obstfeld, M.(1984)。Exchange Rate Dynamics with Sluggish Prices under Alternative Price-Adjustment Rules。International Economic Review,25(1),159-174。  new window
29.Niehans, J.(1977)。Exchange Rate Dynamics with Stock/ Flow Interaction。Journal of Political Economy,85(6),1245-1257。  new window
30.Dauhajre, A.、Kiguel, M. A.(1988)。A Dynamic Model of the Open Economy with Sluggish Output。International Economic Review,29(4),587-606。  new window
31.Kiguel, M. A.(1987)。The Non-Dynamic Equivalence of Monetary and Exchange Rate Rules under Imperfect Capital Mobility and Rational Expectations。Journal of International Money and Finance,6(2),207-214。  new window
32.Gardner, Grant W.(1985)。Money, Prices, and the Current Account in a Dual Exchange Rate Regime。Journal of International Economics,18(3/4),321-338。  new window
33.Krugman, P. R.(1989)。The J-curve, the Fire Sale, and the Hard Landing。The American Economic Review,79(2),31-35。  new window
34.Calvo, G. A.(1987)。Balance of Payments Crises in a Cash-in-Advance Economy。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,19(1),19-32。  new window
會議論文
1.楊雅惠(1998)。金融風暴下我國金融政策之省思。沒有紀錄。195-217。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.劉仲鎮(1989)。匯率制度更迭、資本移動程度、與匯率動態調整,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Obstfeld, M.(1988)。Competitiveness, Realignment, and Speculation: The Role of Financial Markets。The European Monetary System。Cambridge。  new window
2.曹添旺(1976)。固定匯率與浮動匯率之抉擇。臺北市:臺北市銀行經濟研究室。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.Marion, N.,Flood, R. P.(1997)。Perspectives on the Recent Currency Crisis Literature,0。  new window
圖書論文
1.Friedman, Milton(1953)。The Case for Flexible Exchange Rates。Essays in Positive Economics。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Stockman, A. C.、Obstfeld, M.(1985)。Exchange-Rate Dynamics。Handbook of International Economics。Amsterdam, Netherlands:North-Holland。  new window
 
 
 
 
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