:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:外匯期貨最適避險比例之實證研究
書刊名:管理學報
作者:康信鴻 引用關係繆俊華
作者(外文):Kang, Hsin-hongMiao, Jun-hwa
出版日期:1998
卷期:15:3
頁次:頁419-453
主題關鍵詞:外匯期貨最適避險比例最小變異數避險模式變異數不齊一檢定自我相關檢定Foreign currency futureOptimal hedging ratioMinimum variance hedging modelTest for autocorrelationTest for heteroskedasticity
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:22
     由於全球金融服務業市場的成長及金融環境的多變,在多樣化的金融商品中,最 常為企業使用的避險工具主要為期貨避險。因此本研究之主要目的在於探討各種期貨避險策 略中,何者具有比較好的避險效果。 本研究實證方法是採用最小變異數避險模式,並針對異質變異數與自我相關的問題作檢測及 修正。實證對象以英鎊、馬克、法郎及日圓之匯率為主,實證期間取1990年1月至1991年12 月之日資料。至於本研究實證結果主要有: 1.對於利用外匯期貨市場避險,大致而言使用Cochrane Orcutt或ARIMA模型所估計的避險比 例,所獲得的績效最好。而且,採用日圓期貨與瑞士法郎期貨時,當避險期間比較長,應該 優先考慮ARIMA模型;反之則使用Cochrane Orcutt反覆法來估計。 2.在避險期間的長度方面,我們發現,要利用外匯期貨這類衍生性金融商品來避險時,應該 對短期的避險操作上比較有效。 3.無論外匯期貨的走勢如何,採取避險可以減低原本承受的風險至相當程度。 4.不同通貨所得到的績效雖然不完全一致,但是避險策略的效果確實是存在。
     Due to the growth of the global finance-service market and this rapid-changing financial environment and varied financial products, it is usual for enterprises to adapt the hedging strategies using futures. The objective of this research is to discuss the selection of the best hedging strategy. The empirical model adapted by this research is the minimum variance hedging model with appropriate tests for autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity. This empirical research uses Pounds sterling, Deutsche mark, France franc, and Japanese Yen as currencies of consideration, limits the research period from Jan., 1990 to Dec., 1991. Major conclusions of this empirical research are. 1. Concerning the hedging strategy using foreign exchange futures, it is usual are the best when using the predicted hedging ratio of the Cochrane Orcutt or ARIMA model. 2. Concerning the hedging strategy using derivatives such as exchange rate, it was discovered that the short-period hedging strategy shows better results. 3. Independent the trend of the foreign exchange market, the use of the hedging strategies can reduce the original risk to a significant proportion. 4. Although results from different currencies are not totally consistent, effects of hedging methods do really exist.
期刊論文
1.Working, H.(1962)。New Concepts Concerning Futures Markets and Prices。American Economic Review,51(2),431-459。  new window
2.Anderson, Ronald W.、Danthine, Jean-pierre(1981)。Cross hedging。Journal of Political Economy,89(6),1182-1196。  new window
3.Kahl, K. H.(1983)。Determination of the Recommended Hedging Ratio。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,65(3),603-605。  new window
4.Shalit, H.、Yitzhaki, S.(1984)。Mean-Gini, Portfolio Theory, and the Pricing of Risky Assets。Journal of Finance,39(5),449-468。  new window
5.辛敬文、Kuo, Jerry、李正福(1994)。A New Measure to Compare the Hedging Effectiveness of Foreign Currency Futures versus Options。The Journal of Futures Markets,14(6),685-707。  new window
6.Howard, Charles T.、D'Antonio, L. J.(1984)。A Risk-Return Measure of Hedging Effectiveness。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,19(1),101-112。  new window
7.Ederington, Louis H.(1979)。The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets。Journal of Finance,34(1),157-170。  new window
8.Johnson, Leland L.(1960)。The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures。The Review of Economic Studies,27(3),139-151。  new window
9.Herbst, A. F.、Caples, S. C.、Swanson, P. E.(1992)。A redetermination of hedging strategies using foreign currency futures contracts and forward markets。The Journal of Futures Markets,12,93-104。  new window
10.Cheung, C. Sherman、Yip, Patrick C. Y.、Kwan, Clarence C. Y.(1990)。The hedging effectiveness of options and futures: A Mean-Gini approach。The Journal of Futures Markets,10,62-64。  new window
11.Dale, C.(1981)。The Hedging Effectiveness of Currency Futures Markets。The Journal of Futures Markets,1,77-88。  new window
12.Herbst, A. F.、Kare, D. D.、Caples, S. C.(1989)。Hedging effectiveness and minimum risk hedge ratio in the presence of autocorrelation: foreign currency futures。The Journal of Futures Markets,9(3),185-197。  new window
13.Hill, Joanne、Schneeweis, T.(1982)。The hedging effectiveness of foreign currency futures。The Journal of Financial Research,5(1),95-104。  new window
學位論文
1.林明馨(1993)。股價指數期貨與選擇權避險策略之績效評估(碩士論文)。國立台灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.李春華(1992)。期貨契約動態避險比例之研究,0。  延伸查詢new window
3.王秀菁(1994)。期貨最適避險比例之實證研究-時間數列分析,0。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關博士論文
 
無相關書籍
 
無相關著作
 
無相關點閱
 
QR Code
QRCODE