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題名:航線流量分配率與航空運量之空間集中度之探討
書刊名:運輸學刊
作者:許巧鶯陳裕強
作者(外文):Hsu, Chaug-ingChen, Yu-chiang
出版日期:1999
卷期:11:1
頁次:頁45-58
主題關鍵詞:航空流量空間集中度路線流量分配率Air trafficSpatial concentrationRoute flow share
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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     目前分析一地區之航空網路或各城市對航線旅次多苯之方法大都以計量經濟模式 或趨勢分析方法個別作預測,鮮少將兩者視為一系統合併討論。本研究定義航線流量及網路 流量集中度之比率累計加總值並分析其與加總順序問的關係,繪出一離散圖形,再以一連續 函數逼近之,藉由校估函數係數,計算個別城市對流童與不同機場所形成的空間集中度之大 小。並以亞太地區十個國家之相對航線流亡及網路規模大小為例,以此範圍中之 45 條城市 對航線中的前十條航線流量做為參數校估依據,預測出個別城市對流量並與實際值加以比較 ;同時並對亞太地區以各國際機場為中心之航線所形成的網路規模作一集中度之探討,分析 此區域內客運量的分佈情形。
     Regional air traffic and city-pair route traffic are usually predicted, separatly, by econometric or trend analysis. Few studies investigated two types of traffic by viewing both as a system. This paper defines the maximum cumulative proportion of trips that are distributed to a set of routes as the index of cumulative route flow shares and the maximum cumulative proportion of trips that are linked to a set of nodes as the index of spatial concentration. The curves connecting the indexes of incremental routes and incremental nodes are plotted and approximated by Gompertz functions. Estimated paprameters of the Gompertz functions can be used to calculate the trafficflow of each air route and to evaluate the spatial concentration of air traffic in a region. The origin-destination data of air traffic among 10 Asia-Pacific cities in 1989 were examined in a case study. Compared with real values, the estimated results of calibrated model are found reasonable. The spatial concentration of air traffic in this region are also analyzed and discussed.
期刊論文
1.Rassam, P. R.、Ellis, R. H.、Bennett, J. C.(1971)。The n-dimensional logit model: development and application。Highway Research Record,369,135-147。  new window
2.Chou, Y. H.(1993)。A Method for Measuring the Spatial Concentration of Airline Travel Demand。Transportation Research,27B(4),267-273。  new window
3.Furuichi, M.、Koppelman, F. S.(1994)。An Analysis of Travelers' Departure Airport and Destination Choice Behavior。Transportation Research,28A(3),187-195。  new window
4.Huth, W. L.、Eriksen, S. E.(1995)。Airline Traffic Forecasting Using Deterministic and Stochastic Time Series Decomposition。The Logistics and Transportation Review,23(4),401-409。  new window
5.Kanafani, A. K.、Behbehani, R.(1979)。Demand Analysis for International Air Travel。Transportation Research Record,732,5-14。  new window
6.Kanafani, A. K.、Fan, S. L.(1974)。Estimating The Demand for Short-Haul Air Transport Systems。Transportation Research Record,526,1-15。  new window
7.Oberhausen, P. J.、Koppelman, S. F.(1982)。Time-Series Analysis of Intercity Air Travel Volume。Transportation Research Record,840,15-21。  new window
8.San, A. S.(1985)。Examining Air Travel Demand Using Time Series Data。Journal of Transportation Engineering,111,155-161。  new window
9.Straszhim, M. R.(1978)。Airline Demand Functions in The North Atlantic and Their Pricing Implications。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,12,179-195。  new window
10.Young, K. H.(1972)。A Synthesis of Time-series and Cross-section Analysis: Demand for Air Transportation Service。Journal of America Statistics Association,67(339),560-556。  new window
11.陳武正、陳沛珍(19790100)。臺灣西部走廊空中巴士系統需求分析。運輸計劃,8(1),81-92。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Ashford, N.、Bencheman, M.(1987)。Passengers' choice of airport: An application of the multinomial logit model。Transportation Research Record,1147,1-5。  new window
13.Nam, K.、Schaefer, T.(1995)。Forecasting International Airline Passenger Traffic Using Neural Networks。Logistics and Transportation Review,31(3),239-251。  new window
14.Ippolito, R. A.(1981)。Estimating Airline Demand with Quality of Service Variables。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,15(1),7-15。  new window
研究報告
1.交通部運輸研究所(19860600)。台灣地區民航發展計畫研究報告。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.陳美隆(1978)。臺灣地區國內航空客運發展研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Institute of Transportation(1992)。Development of an Air Transportation Hub in the Taiwan Area。  new window
 
 
 
 
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