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題名:流動人口長期居留意願的新特徵及影響機制
書刊名:人口研究
作者:楊雪魏洪英
出版日期:2017
卷期:2017(5)
頁次:63-73
主題關鍵詞:流動人口長期居留意願流動時間MigrantsLong-term residence tendencyDuration of stay
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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文章根據2015年中國流動人口動態監測調查數據,運用二元Logistic模型對流動人口在城市的長期居留意愿進行分析,發現個體特征、人力資本特征、經濟特征共同影響流動人口在城市的長期居留意愿,并使得這一群體內部出現了分化的新特征。研究表明:教育程度的提高在普遍增強個體留城意愿的同時,以大學專科學歷為界限,高學歷者呈現出更加強烈的居留意愿。收入水平的增加顯著影響了整個群體的居留意愿,以6000元收入水平為分界點,表現為高收入流動人口的城市居留意愿遠大于中低收入者。在追加了住房支出變量后,發現伴隨著住房支出的增加提高了流動人口的城市居留意愿,但同時又對高收入流動人口的長期居留意愿表現出抑制作用。
Based on the dynamic monitoring data collected by the National Health and Family Planning Commission on floating population in 2015,this paper applies logistic regression model to analyze migrant long-term residence tendency in cities.The results show that migrant long-term residence tendency is influenced by their demographic,human capital,and economic characteristics,through which this migrant group has demonstrated a new feature of differentiation.Improvement of education enhances individual’s long-term residence tendency.Junior college education being the dividing point,the higher educated migrants present a stronger tendency of residence.The increase of income level has a significantly effect on the residential preference of the entire group.Income of 6000 yuan being the dividing point,the high-income group of migrants have a stronger long-term residence tendency than the low-income group.When added into the model the housing expenditure,the increased housing expenditure elevates migrant residential preference.However,it also has a negative effect on the residential preference of the high-income group.
期刊論文
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