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題名：Transition Scenarios via Backcasting
書刊名：Journal of Futures Studies
作者：Hines, Andy／Schutte, Johann／Romero, Maria
出版日期：2019
卷期：24:1
頁次：頁1-14
主題關鍵詞：Foresight；Scenarios；Backcasting；Transition scenarios；Horizon scanning
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:27
  • 點閱點閱:12
期刊論文
1.Dreborg, Karl H.(1996)。Essence of backcasting。Futures，28(9)，813-828。  new window
2.Kok, Kasper、van Vliet, Mathijs、Bärlund, Ilona、Dubel, Anna、Sendzimir, Jan(2011)。Combining participative Backcasting and exploratory scenario development Experiences from the SCENES project。Technological Forecasting & Social Change，78(6)，835-851。  new window
3.Robinson, John(1990)。Futures under glass: a recipe for people who hate to predict。Futures，22，820-843。  new window
4.Curry, Andrew、Hodgson, Anthony(20080800)。Seeing in Multiple Horizons: Connecting Futures to Strategy。Journal of Futures Studies，13(1)，1-20。new window  new window
5.Hines, Andy、Bishop, Peter C.(2013)。Framework foresight: Exploring futures the Houston way。Futures，51，31-49。  new window
6.Dator, J.(2018)。Emerging issues analysis: Because of Graham Molitor。World Futures Review，10(1)，5-10。  new window
7.Bezold, Clem(20090500)。Aspirational Futures。Journal of Futures Studies，13(4)，81-89。new window  new window
8.Bengston, D.、Peck, J.、Olson, R.、Barros, M.、Birdsey, R.、Williams, D.、Reyes, J. C. L.、Zamudio, F.(2018)。North American Forest Futures 2018-2090: Scenarios for Building a More Resilient Forest Sector。World Futures Review，10，136-151。  new window
9.Burt, G.、Chermack, T.(2008)。Learning with scenarios: Summary and critical issues。Advances in Developing Human Resources，10，285-295。  new window
10.De Geus, A.(1998)。Planning as learning。Harvard Business Review，66(2)，70-75。  new window
11.Hines, A.、Bengston, D.、Dockry, M.、Cowart, A.(2018)。Setting up a horizon scanning system: A U.S. federal agency example。World Futures Review，10(2)，136-151。  new window
12.Quist, J.、Thissen, W.、Vergragt, P.(2011)。The impact and spin-off of participatory backcasting: From vision to niche。Technological Forecasting & Social Change，78(5)，883-897。  new window
13.Robinson, J.(1982)。Energy backcasting: a proposed method of policy analysis。Energy Policy，10，337-344。  new window
14.Dator, Jim(20091100)。Alternative Futures at the Manoa School。Journal of Futures Studies，14(2)，1-18。new window  new window
會議論文
1.Strong, R.、Ryan, J.、McDavid, D.、Leung, Y.、Zhou, R.、Strauss, E.、Bosma, J.、Sabbadini, T.、Jarvis, D.、Sachs, S.、Bishop, P.、Clark, C.(2007)。A new way to plan for the future。The 40th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences。  new window
研究報告
1.Hines, A.、Schutte, J.、Romero, M.、Bengston, D.(2019)。Scenarios to provide context for horizon scanning: Backcasting North American forest futures from 2090 to 2035。Newtown Square, PA：U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service。  new window
圖書
1.Van der Heijden, K.、Bradfield, R.、Burt, G.、Cairns, G.、Wright, G.(2002)。The sixth sense: Accelerating organizational learning with scenarios。Wiley。  new window
2.Van der Heijden, Kees(2005)。Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation。John Willey and Sons, Ltd.。  new window
3.Slaughter, R.(2010)。The biggest wake-up call in history。Foresight International。  new window
4.Ertel, C.、Solomon, L.(2014)。Moments of impact: How to design strategic conversations that accelerate change。NY：Simon & Schuster。  new window
5.Fine, C.(1998)。Clockspeed: Winning industry control in the age of temporary advantage。NY：Basic Government Office for Science。  new window
6.Lovins, A.(1977)。Soft energy paths: Toward a durable peace。Cambridge, MA：Friends of the Earth/Ballinger。  new window
7.Polak, Frederik Lodewijk、Boulding, Elise T.(1973)。The Image of the future。Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company。  new window
其他
1.Hines, A.(20141017)。Fun with scenario archetypes，https://www.andyhinesight.com/forecasting/fun-with-scenario-archetypes/。  new window
2.Government Office for Science(2017)。The futures toolkit: Tools for futures thinking and foresight across UK government，https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/674209/futures-toolkit-edition-1.pdf。  new window
 
 
 
 
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