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引文資料
題名:
Transition Scenarios via Backcasting
書刊名:
Journal of Futures Studies
作者:
Hines, Andy
/
Schutte, Johann
/
Romero, Maria
出版日期:
2019
卷期:
24:1
頁次:
頁1-14
主題關鍵詞:
Foresight
;
Scenarios
;
Backcasting
;
Transition scenarios
;
Horizon scanning
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:0
共同引用:
20
點閱:1
期刊論文
1.
Dreborg, Karl H.(1996)。Essence of backcasting。Futures,28(9),813-828。
2.
Kok, Kasper、van Vliet, Mathijs、Bärlund, Ilona、Dubel, Anna、Sendzimir, Jan(2011)。Combining participative Backcasting and exploratory scenario development Experiences from the SCENES project。Technological Forecasting & Social Change,78(6),835-851。
3.
Robinson, John(1990)。Futures under glass: a recipe for people who hate to predict。Futures,22,820-843。
4.
Dator, Jim(20091100)。Alternative Futures at the Manoa School。Journal of Futures Studies,14(2),1-18。
5.
Curry, Andrew、Hodgson, Anthony(20080800)。Seeing in Multiple Horizons: Connecting Futures to Strategy。Journal of Futures Studies,13(1),1-20。
6.
Hines, Andy、Bishop, Peter C.(2013)。Framework foresight: Exploring futures the Houston way。Futures,51,31-49。
7.
Dator, J.(2018)。Emerging issues analysis: Because of Graham Molitor。World Futures Review,10(1),5-10。
8.
Bezold, Clem(20090500)。Aspirational Futures。Journal of Futures Studies,13(4),81-89。
9.
Bengston, D.、Peck, J.、Olson, R.、Barros, M.、Birdsey, R.、Williams, D.、Reyes, J. C. L.、Zamudio, F.(2018)。North American Forest Futures 2018-2090: Scenarios for Building a More Resilient Forest Sector。World Futures Review,10,136-151。
10.
Burt, G.、Chermack, T.(2008)。Learning with scenarios: Summary and critical issues。Advances in Developing Human Resources,10,285-295。
11.
De Geus, A.(1998)。Planning as learning。Harvard Business Review,66(2),70-75。
12.
Hines, A.、Bengston, D.、Dockry, M.、Cowart, A.(2018)。Setting up a horizon scanning system: A U.S. federal agency example。World Futures Review,10(2),136-151。
13.
Quist, J.、Thissen, W.、Vergragt, P.(2011)。The impact and spin-off of participatory backcasting: From vision to niche。Technological Forecasting & Social Change,78(5),883-897。
14.
Robinson, J.(1982)。Energy backcasting: a proposed method of policy analysis。Energy Policy,10,337-344。
會議論文
1.
Strong, R.、Ryan, J.、McDavid, D.、Leung, Y.、Zhou, R.、Strauss, E.、Bosma, J.、Sabbadini, T.、Jarvis, D.、Sachs, S.、Bishop, P.、Clark, C.(2007)。A new way to plan for the future。The 40th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences。
研究報告
1.
Hines, A.、Schutte, J.、Romero, M.、Bengston, D.(2019)。Scenarios to provide context for horizon scanning: Backcasting North American forest futures from 2090 to 2035。Newtown Square, PA:U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service。
圖書
1.
Van der Heijden, K.、Bradfield, R.、Burt, G.、Cairns, G.、Wright, G.(2002)。The sixth sense: Accelerating organizational learning with scenarios。Wiley。
2.
Van der Heijden, Kees(2005)。Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation。John Willey and Sons, Ltd.。
3.
Slaughter, R.(2010)。The biggest wake-up call in history。Foresight International。
4.
Polak, Frederik L.、Boulding, Elise T.(1973)。The Image of the future。Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company。
5.
Ertel, C.、Solomon, L.(2014)。Moments of impact: How to design strategic conversations that accelerate change。NY:Simon & Schuster。
6.
Fine, C.(1998)。Clockspeed: Winning industry control in the age of temporary advantage。NY:Basic Government Office for Science。
7.
Lovins, A.(1977)。Soft energy paths: Toward a durable peace。Cambridge, MA:Friends of the Earth/Ballinger。
其他
1.
Hines, A.(20141017)。Fun with scenario archetypes,https://www.andyhinesight.com/forecasting/fun-with-scenario-archetypes/。
2.
Government Office for Science(2017)。The futures toolkit: Tools for futures thinking and foresight across UK government,https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/674209/futures-toolkit-edition-1.pdf。
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