文章在相關文獻的基礎上，從社會融入現狀評價和預期兩大視角，具體包括現住城鎮喜歡程度、關注程度、接納程度、平等程度、幸福程度和意愿融入程度、戶口遷入預期和長期居住預期等8個方面，構建能夠反映流動人口城鎮社會融入狀況的信心指數。并將該指數用于2012年全國流動人口動態監測調查數據的分析研究，分別從總體狀況以及不同省份、不同城市類型等角度，解析流動人口城鎮社會融入信心水平。該指數的構建及應用能夠為政府及相關行業發展提供可靠的信息支持，能夠根據社會融入現狀指數和預期指數提前預判流動人口未來的流動方向、社會融入趨勢和程度等，為相關政策的制定與執行、城市社會發展規劃提供依據。

Borrowing from Michigan Consumer Confidence Index,this paper constructs Social Inclusion Confidence Index for China’s rural to urban migrants.Based on evaluation of present situation of social inclusion and expectations,the index specifically incorporates towns-favoring,attention,admission,equality,happiness,intention,expectation of obtaining household registration and expectation of long-term residence in urban areas.The index is used in the analysis of the 2012 China National Migrants Survey,from the overall situation to the differences among the provinces and types of cities.The construction and application of the index may provide important information for government and for development of relevant industries,help predict the future trends in migration and in social inclusion,and provide reference for policy making and urban development planning.