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題名：OECD國家經濟成長和政府收入支出的關聯性-以拔靴因果關係方法分析
作者：何佳芳
作者(外文)：HO, CHIA-FAN
校院名稱：逢甲大學
系所名稱：金融博士學位學程
指導教授：張倉耀
學位類別：博士
出版日期：2018
主題關鍵詞：政府收入；政府支出；經濟成長；量入為出；量出為入；拔靴追蹤資料因果關係檢定法；Government Revenue；Government Spending；Economic growing；Revenue-Spending；Spending- Revenue；Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Test
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基於世界已成一個緊密相扣的地球村，各國的財政、金融變動皆相互影響，各國政府也努力的提升經濟成長，本文利用拔靴追蹤資料因果關係，對OECD 22國經濟成長和政府收入、政府支出的關係進行研究。首先，分析OECD 國家各自的政府收入、政府支出與經濟成長人均GDP的趨勢圖發現，大多數的國家預算都是赤字;再將政府收入及政府支出的因果關係，以量入為出假說、量出為入假說、財政同步假說及機構分離假說等四個假說做實證研究，再加入經濟成長因素GDP，看結果是否有差異，研究結果顯示，加入經濟因素後，會因國家財政狀況、國情特性、經濟情形而有不同的影響，儘管存在差異性，但經濟因素確實會影響政府收入和政府支出的因果關係。各國財政政策和經濟成長之間的確存在密切的關聯。
Based on the world that has become a closely linked global village, the fiscal and financial changes in various countries all influence each other and governments of all countries work hard to enhance economic growth. This paper using Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality Test track the relationship between economic growth with government revenue and spending of the OECD 22. The trends in government revenue, government spending and economic growth PRGDP in OECD countries found that most of the national budgets are deficits. Then we analyze the causal relationship between government revenue and government spending. We classified as four hypotheses, include the Tax-Spending hypothesis, the Spending-Tax hypothesis, the financial synchronization hypothesis, and the institutional separation hypothesis, and then add economic growth factor GDP to see if the results are different. The results show that after adding economic factors, they will have different effects due to the national financial conditions, national conditions and economic conditions. Although there are differences, economic factors will indeed affect the causal relationship between government revenue and government spending.
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