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題名:海外直接投資決策模式分析--危險率方法之應用
書刊名:臺大管理論叢
作者:李揚郭憲章
作者(外文):Li, YangKuo, Hsien-chang
出版日期:2001
卷期:12:1
頁次:頁203-228
主題關鍵詞:海外直接投資危險率方法Foreign direct investmentHazard rate approach
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:27
本研究之主要目的在於分析及探討影響企業海外直接投資決策模式之因素。在國內外的研究中,鮮少有學者探討海外直接投資決策時將時間因素納入分析,然而,時間因素不僅在投資決策中扮演相當重要的角色,而且可以提供較多的訊息,因而提升分析之有效性。本文係以台灣中小企業為研究對象,採用加入「時間」構面的危險率方法 ( hazard rate approach ) 進行實證分析。研究結果發現:(1) 若以廠商特質為樣本平均數進行棋擬分析,我們發現代表性廠商在4.38年內完成海外直接投資的機率為0.25,在10.55年內的機率為0.5,在21.09年的機率為0.75;(2) 資本密集度愈低、廠商規模愈大及外銷比例愈 高之企業,海外直接投資的意願愈高;(3) 利用當地廉價勞力、擴大市場及追隨主要客戶等三項動機為近年來台灣企業海外直接投資之重要決定因素。
This study investigates the behavior of the outward foreign direct investment (FDI) of Taiwan. Previous studies seldom incorporated the element of "time" in their analysis of FDI decision-making. The "time factor" cannot only provide additional information, as well as play a very important role in dynamic investment decision-making. We apply the hazard rate approach, taking into consideration the conditional probability of the element of time, to perform an empirical analysis. The empirical results show: (1) The probability of a representative firm (characteristics are sample means) completing an FDI within a period of 4.38 years is 0.25, within a period of 10.55 years, it is 0.5, and within a period of 21.09 years, it is 0.75; (2) Firm sizes and export ratios are positively related to the intension to undergo FDI, while the degree of capital intensities has a negative impact on the likelihood to invest internationally; (3) The major factors motivating firms in Taiwan to make FDI in recent years are utilizing local cheaper labor, expanding markets, and following principal customers.
期刊論文
1.于卓民、Ito, Kiyohiko(1988)。Oligopolistic Reaction and Foreign Direct Investment: The Case of the U. S. Tire and Textile Industries。Journal of International Business Studies,19(3),449-460。  new window
2.Kiefer, N. M.、Kiefer, N.(1988)。Economic duration data and hazard functions。Journal of Economic Literature,26,646-679。  new window
3.Vernon, R.(1996)。International investment and international trade in the product cycle。Quarterly Journal of Economics,80(2),190-206。  new window
4.Lucas, Robert E. Jr.(1993)。Making a miracle。Econometrica,61(2),251-272。  new window
5.Caves, Richard E.(1971)。International corporations: the industrial economics of foreign investment。Economica,38(149),1-27。  new window
6.Dunning, J. H.(1988)。The eclectic paradigm of international production: A restatement and some possible extensions。Journal of International Business Studies,19(1),1-31。  new window
7.Chen, Homin、Chen, Tain-Jy(1998)。Network Linkages and Location Choice in Foreign Direct Investment。Journal of International Business Studies,29(3),445-467。  new window
8.Dunning, John H.(1980)。Toward an Eclectic Theory of International Production: Some Empirical Tests。Journal of International Business Studies,11(1),9-31。  new window
9.Grubaugh, S. G.(198702)。The Process of Direct Foreign Investment。Southern Economic Journal,Feb.,351-360。  new window
10.Hennart, J. F.、Park, Y. R.(1994)。Location, Governance, and Strategic Determinants of Japanese Manufacturing Investment in the United States。Strategic Management Journal,15,419-436。  new window
11.Petersen, T.(1986)。Fitting Parametric Survival Model with Time-Dependent Covariates。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series C: Applied Statistics,35(3),281-288。  new window
會議論文
1.劉孟俊、陳添枝、顧瑩華(1994)。生產網路與中小企業的出口競爭力。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
2.蘇顯揚、陳添枝(1989)。臺灣對外投資的起因。臺北。341-351。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Ozawa, T.(1979)。Multinationalism, Japanese Style: The Political Economy of Outward Dependency。Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press。  new window
2.Griffin, R. W.、Pustay, M. W.(1996)。International Business - A Managerial Perspective。New York, NY:Addison-Wesley Publishing Company。  new window
3.Buckley, Peter J.、Casson, Mark(1976)。The Future of the Multinational Enterprises。London:Macmillan。  new window
4.Kojima, Kiyoshi(1978)。Direct Foreign Investment: A Japanese Model of Multinational Business Operation。London:Croom Helm。  new window
5.Knickerbocker, F. T.(1973)。Oligopolistic Reaction and Multinational Enterprise。Boston, MA:Division of Research, Graduate of Business Administration, Harvard University。  new window
6.Hymer, Stephen H.(1976)。The International Operations of National Firms: A Study of Direct Foreign Investment。Massachusetts Institute of Technology Press。  new window
7.張順教、陳幸美、李宗哲(1992)。總體環境與中小企業之發展。總體環境與中小企業之發展。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
8.李文瑞(1996)。臺灣中小企業之海外直接投資。第二屆中小企業研究碩博士論文獎論文輯錄。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
9.陳添枝、黃慶堂(1996)。我國中小企業與大企業對外投資事業營運狀況之比較。第二屆中小企業研究碩博士論文獎論文輯錄。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
10.薛琦(1982)。我國民營企業對外投資調查報告。我國民營企業對外投資調查報告。0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Johanson, J.、Mattsson, L. G.(1987)。Internationalization in Industrial System: A Network Approach?。Strategies in Global Competition。London。  new window
 
 
 
 
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