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題名:Beijing's Taiwan Policy: Tactical Adjustment and Strategic Persistence
書刊名:國家發展研究
作者:林中斌
作者(外文):Lin, Chong-pin
出版日期:2002
卷期:2:1
頁次:頁151-178
主題關鍵詞:北京臺北兩岸關係戰略戰術統一獨立李登輝江澤民朱鎔基海基會陸委會BeijingTaipeiCross-strait relationsStrategyTacticsUnificationIndependenceLee TenghuiJiang ZeminZhu RongjiSEFARATS
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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北京對台政策含戰略及戰術兩層次。前者如「和平統一」、「一國兩制」「不放棄對台用武」幾乎有二十年沒有改變。後者如武力威脅、經濟吸附、文字攻擊、言詞緩和等經常作靈活的調整。影響北京調整對台戰術的因素有中國國內狀況、國際環境(尤其是對美關係)、台灣動態。西元九零年代有兩個正面和兩個負面的案例值得檢驗。
Beijing's Taiwan policy consists of two levels: strategy and tactics. The former-such as the "peaceful unification", "one country two systems", and the non-renunciation of the use of force-has been impressively consistent over almost two decades. However, the latter-such as military intimidation, economic enticement, verbal attacks, or softening of rhetoric-has been amazingly agile. The three major factors that seem to determine how Beijing adjust its tactics toward Taiwan are China's domestic condition, the international environment (Beijing-Washington relations in particular), and the Taiwan dynamics. Two positive cases, and two negative cases in the 1990s are examined.
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