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摘要
外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
建交後越南對中國的避險戰略
書刊名:
全球政治評論
作者:
Le Hong Hiep
出版日期:
2015
卷期:
49
頁次:
頁149-180
主題關鍵詞:
越南外交政策
;
中越關係
;
避險戰略
;
革新開放
;
Vietnam foreign policy
;
Sino-Vietnamese relations
;
Hedging strategy
;
Doi Moi
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:0
共同引用:0
點閱:308
自從1991年中越關係常規化後,越南對中國政策一直以多重的方式發展,貼切的形容便是多邊、全面的避險策略。本文主張避險對越南來說,是處理與中國關係,包括歷史經驗、國內與雙邊局勢以及越南對外關係和國際策略環境中,最理性和可行的選項。本文欲檢驗此策略的四個要素,即經濟實用主義、直接保證、硬平衡和軟平衡。文章以下會評估每個要素的重要性、以及中越關係常規化後,越南如何去追求其避險策略的細節。
以文找文
Since the normalization of Sino-Vietnamese relations in 1991, Vietnam's China policy has been shaped by a combination of approaches which can be best described as a multi-tiered, omni-directional hedging strategy. The article argues that hedging is the most rational and viable option for Vietnam to manage its relations with China given its historical experiences, domestic and bilateral conditions, as well as changes in Vietnam's external relations and the international strategic environment. The article examines the four major components of this strategy, namely economic pragmatism, direct engagement, hard balancing and soft balancing. The article goes on to assess the significance of each component and details how Vietnam has pursued its hedging strategy towards China since normalization.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Acharya, Amitav(2004)。Will Asia's Past be Its Future?。International Security,28(3),149-164。
2.
Thayer, Carlyle(1994)。Sino-Vietnamese Relations: The Interplay of Ideology and National Interest。Asian Survey,34(6),513-528。
3.
Thayer, Carlyle A.(2011)。The Tyranny of Geography: Vietnamese Strategies to Constrain China in the South China Sea。Contemporary Southeast China,33(3),348-369。
4.
Swaine, Michael D.(2012)。Chinese Leadership and Elite Responses to the US Pacific Pivot。China Leadership Monitor,38,1-26。
5.
Paul, Thazha V.(2005)。Soft Balancing in the Age of US Primacy。International Security,30(1),46-71。
6.
Goh, E.(20060831)。Understanding 'hedging' in Asia-Pacific security。PacNet,43。
7.
Gasiorowski, Mark(1986)。Economic Interdependence and International Conflict: Some Cross-National Evidence。International Studies Quarterly,30(1),23-38。
8.
Maoz, Zeev(2009)。The Effects of Strategic and Economic Interdependence on International Conflict across Levels of Analysis。American Journal of Political Science,53(1),223-240。
9.
Oneal, John、Ray, James Lee(1997)。New Tests of the Democratic Peace: Controlling for Economic Interdependence, 1950-1985。Peace Research Quarterly,50(4),751-775。
10.
McDougall, Derek(2012)。Responses to 'Rising China' in the East Asian Region: Soft Balancing with Accommodation。Journal of Contemporary China,21(73),1-17。
11.
Shekhar, Vibhanshu(2012)。ASEAN's Response to the Rise of China: Deploying a Hedging Strategy。China Report,48(3)。
12.
Hiep, Le Hong(2013)。Vietnam's Domestic-Foreign Policy Nexus: Doi Moi, Foreign Policy Reform and Sino-Vietnamese Normalization。Asian Politics and Policy,5(3),387-388。
13.
Hiep, Le Hong(2012)。Pre-Colonial Viet Nam's Development under Sino-Vietnamese Cultural and Economic Interactions。International Studies,27,91-125。
14.
Vuving, Alexander L.(2006)。Strategy and Evolution of Vietnam's China Policy: A Changing Mixture of Pathways。Asian Survey,46(6),805-824。
15.
Thao, Nguyen Hong(2000)。The China-Vietnam Border Delimitation Treaty of 30 December 1999。Boundary and Security Bulletin,8(1),88-89。
16.
Chang, Felix(2012)。China's Naval Rise and the South China Sea: An Operational Assessment。Orbis,56(1)。
17.
Thayer, Carlyle(1997)。Force Modernization: The Case of the Vietnam People's Army。Contemporary Southeast Asia,19(1),17-18。
18.
Thao, Nguyen Hong(2001)。Vietnam and the Code of Conduct for the South China Sea。Ocean Development and International Law,32(2),105-130。
19.
(2003)。The 2002 Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea: A Note。Ocean Development and International Law,34(3/4),279-285。
20.
Gartzke, Erik、Li, Quan、Boehmer, Charles(2001)。Investing in the Peace: Economic Interdependence and International Conflict。International Organization,55(2),391-438。
21.
Thayer, Carlyle A.(2010)。The United States and Chinese Assertiveness in the South China Sea。Security Challenges,6(2),69-84。
22.
Katheine Barbieri、Gerald Schneider、John O’neal(1996)。The Liberal Peace: Interdependence, Democracy, and International Conflict, 1950-1985。Journal of Peace Research,33(1),11-28。
23.
Gasiorowski, Mark、Polachek, Solomon(1982)。Conflict and Interdependence: East-West Trade and Linkages in the Era of Détente。Journal of Conflict Resolution,26(4),709-729。
24.
Polachek, Solomon William(1980)。Conflict and Trade。The Journal of Conflict Resolution,24(1),55-78。
25.
Walt, Stephen(1985)。Alliance Formation and Balance of World Power。International Security,9(4),3-43。
26.
Roy, Denny(2005)。Southeast Asia and China: Balancing or Bandwagoning?。Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs,27(2),305-322。
27.
Mochizuki, Mike(2007)。Japan's Shifting Strategy towards the Rise of China。Journal of Strategic Studies,30(4/5),739-776。
28.
Kang, David(2003)。Getting Asia Wrong: the Need for New Analytical Framework。International Security,27(4),57-85。
29.
Roy, Denny(1996)。The "China Threat" Issue: Major Arguments。Asian survey,36(8),758-711。
30.
Shambaugh, David L.(1996)。Containment or Engagement of China? Calculating Beijing's Responses。International Security,21(2),180-209。
31.
Schweller, Randall L.(1994)。Bandwagoning for Profit: Bringing the Revisionist State Back In。International Security,19(1),72-107。
32.
Friedberg, Aaron L.(1993)。Ripe for Rivalry: Prospects for Peace in a Multipolar Asia。International Security,18(3),5-33。
33.
Medeiros, Evan S.(2005)。Strategic Hedging and the Future of Asia-Pacific Stability。The Washington Quarterly,29(1),145-167。
34.
Pape, Robert Anthony(2005)。Soft Balancing Against the United States。International Security,30(1),7-45。
35.
Goh, Evelyn(2007)。Great Powers and Hierarchical Order in Southeast Asia: Analyzing Regional Security Strategies。International Security,32(3),113-157。
36.
Kuik, Cheng-Chwee(2008)。The Essence of Hedging: Malaysia and Singapore's Response to a Rising China。Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs,30(2),159-185。
會議論文
1.
Thayer, Carlyle(2001)。The Structure of Vietnam-China Relations, 1991-2008。3rd International Conference on Vietnamese Studies,(會議日期: December 7-8)。Hanoi, Vietnam。
圖書
1.
Womack, Brantly(2006)。China and Vietnam: The Politics of Asymmetry。Cambridge University Press。
2.
Thayer, Carlyle(2002)。Vietnamese Perspectives of the 'China Threat'。The China Threat: Perceptions, Myths and Reality。London:New York:Routledge Curzon。
3.
Goh, Evelyn(2005)。Meeting the China Challenge: The US in Southeast Asian Regional Security Strategies。Washington, DC:East-West Center。
4.
Loi, Luu Van(1995)。The Sino-Vietnamese Dispute over the Paracels and Spratlys。Ha Noi:Cong an Nhan dan。
5.
Woodside, Alexander(1971)。Viet Nam and Chinese Model: A Comparative Study of Vietnamese and Chinese Government in the First Half of the Nineteenth Century。Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press。
6.
Butterfield, Andrew(1996)。Viet Nam and Chinese Model: A Comparative Study of Vietnamese and Chinese Government in the First Half of the Nineteenth Century。Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press。
7.
CPV(2010)。Documents of National Congresses in the Era of Doi Moi。Ha Noi:National Political Publishing House。
8.
CPV(2007)。Complete Collection of Party Documents。Ha Noi:National Political Publishing House。
9.
General Statistics Office(2012)。Statistical Yearbook of Vietnam 2011。Ha Noi:Statistical Publishing House。
10.
O'Rourke, Ronald(2013)。China Naval Modernization: Implications for US Navy Capabilities: Background and Issues for Congress。Washington DC:Congressional Research Service。
11.
Ministry of Defense(2009)。Vietnam's national defense。Ha Noi:Ministry of Defense。
12.
Ministry of Defense(2004)。Vietnam's national defense in the first years of the 21st century。Ha Noi:Ministry of Defense。
13.
GSO(2006)。Statistical Yearbook of Vietnam 2005。Ha Noi:Statistical Publishing House。
14.
Johnston, Alastair Iain、Ross, Robert S.(1999)。Engaging China: The Management of an Emerging Power。Routledge。
15.
Snyder, Jack L.(1977)。The Soviet Strategic Culture: Implications for Limited Nuclear Operations。Santa Monica, CA:Rand。
16.
Morgenthau, Hans Joachim(1948)。Politics among nations: the Struggle for Power and Peace。New York:A. A. Knopf。
17.
Waltz, Kenneth N.(1979)。Theory of International Politics。McGraw Hill。
18.
Walt, Stephen M.(1987)。The Origins of Alliances。Cornell University Press。
19.
Cole, Bernard D.(2010)。The Great Wall at Sea: China's Navy in the Twenty-First Century。Naval Institute Press。
其他
1.
Agency, Vietnam News。Hot lines to be established between leaders of Vietnam and China,http://vnexpress.net/gl/the-gioi/tu-lieu/2008/06/3ba02e9e/, 2008/06/02。
2.
Anh, Pham。Vietnam-China hotline on fishermen: Handling risks and disputes on marine fishing,http://www.tienphong.vn/Kinh-Te/644616/Xu-ly-rui-ro-tranh-chap-nghe-ca-tren-bien-tpp.html, 2013/09/05。
3.
(20080512)。China's new naval base triggers US concern。
4.
Vietnam seals submarine purchasing contract with Russia,http://www.bbc.co.uk/vietnamese/vietnam/2009/12/091216_russia_viet_contracts.shtml, 2009/12/16。
5.
Anh, Vu。Russia to deliver the first submarine to Vietnam on November 7,http://dantri.com.vn/the-gioi/nga-ban-giao-tau-ngam-dau-tien-cho-viet-nam-vao-ngay-711-795104.htm, 2013/10/19。
6.
Quan, Nguyen Dinh。SU-30 aircrafts patrol the Spratlys,http://www.tienphong.vn/xahoi/624786/Tiem-kich-SU-30-tuan-tra-tai-Truong-Sa-tpov.html, 2013/04/28。
7.
New weapons of Vietnamese army,http://www.tienphone.vn/hanh-trang-nguoi-linh/628314/Diem-mat-vu-khi-moi-cua-quan-doi-Viet-Nam-tpot.html, 2013/05/30。
8.
Lang, My。Tau chien 'made in Viet Nam',http://tuoitre.vn/chinh-tri-xa-hoi/phong-su-ky-su/458636/tau-chien-%E2%80%9Cmade-in-viet-nam%E2%80%9D.html, 2011/10/03。
9.
Vympel Shipyard to assist Vietnam in building Russian missile boats,http://rusnavy.com/news/navy/index.php?ELEMENT_ID=10648&print=Y, 2010/10/28。
10.
Vietnam to acquire 2 stealth Sigma-class corvettes from the Netherlands,http://baodatviet.vn/quoc-phong/toan-canh/bao-ha-lan-viet-nam-mua-2-tau-ho-ve-tang-hinh-sigma-ha-lan-2353145/, 2013/08/23。
11.
Tung, Xuan。Vietnam and the Netherlands concluded 32 military commercial deals,http://www.baodatviet.vn/chinh-tri-xa-hoi/201308/viet-nam-ha-lan-ki-32-hop-dong-thuong-mai-quan-su-2352748, 2013/08/17。
12.
India offers Vietnam credits for military ware,http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-offers-vietnam-credits-for-military-ware/article4960731.ece, 2013/07/28。
13.
(20130415)。Vietnam to hold maritime security talks in May。
14.
Barta, Patrick。U.S., Vietnam in Exercises Amid Tensions with China Wall Street Journal,http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304223804576447412748465574.html, 2011/07/16。
15.
The White House。Joint Statement by President Barack Obama of the United States of America and President Troung Tan Sang of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam,http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/07/25/joint-statement-president-barack-obama-united-states-america-and-preside, 2013/07/25。
16.
U. S. Department of State. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton Remarks at Press Availability, National Convention Center, Hanoi, Vietnam, 23 July, 2010,http://www.state.gov/secretary/rm/2010/07/145095.htm。
17.
Thul, Park Chan,Grudgings, Stuart。SE Asia meeting in disarray over sea dispute with China,http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/07/13/us-asean-summit-idUSBRE86C0BD20120713, 2012/07/13。
圖書論文
1.
Ninh, Kim(1998)。Vietnam: Struggle and Cooperation。Asian Security Practice: Material and Ideational Influences。Stanford:Stanford University Press。
2.
Tung, Nguyen Vu(2010)。Vietnam's Security Challenge: Ha Noi's New Approach to National Security and Implications to Defense and Foreign Policies。Asia Pacific Countries' Security Outlook and Its Implications for the Defense Sector。Tokyo:National Institute for Defense Studies。
3.
Paul, Thazha Varkey(2004)。Introduction: The Enduring Axioms of Balance of Power Theory and Their Contemporary Relevance。Balance of Power: Theory and Practice In The 21st Century。Stanford University Press。
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