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題名:政治精英利益與選民投票意向的博弈--以當選立法會議員的組別性質為視角
書刊名:澳門研究
作者:蔡永君何偉鴻
作者(外文):Tsoi, Weng KuanHo, Wai-hong
出版日期:2013
卷期:2013:4=71
頁次:頁55-67+196-197
主題關鍵詞:政治精英立法會選舉組別性質區域性得票分佈Political elitesLegislative Assembly electionCandidate group affiliationRegional distribution of vote returns
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:4
  • 點閱點閱:3
以2009和2013年立法會當選議員組別性質為視角,利用各組別在不同區域獲得的有效票數,計算標準化發生比( Standardized Incidence Ratio(SIR)),藉以分析當選組別的得票分佈是否具有區域性差異,了解不同社經背景選民在投票取向上與候選組別之間的關係,發現各候選組別政綱相近的情形下,選民的投票取向與候選組別的背景因素並無太大關聯。
From the perspective of group affiliation of elected Legislative Assembly deputies (2009 and 2013), this paper adopts the number of valid returns in various geographical areas in order to calculate the Standardised Incidence Ratio (SIR) for individual candidate groups. It is aimed to investigate the difference in regional distribution of votes gained by groups with distinct affiliation, so as to manifest the possible relationship between the socio-economic backgrounds of voters and candidate group affiliation. The paper finds that in the circumstance of little divergence among political platforms of the competing groups, it is less likely that group affiliation casts very strong effect on voting behaviour.
期刊論文
1.Burton, Michael、Higley, John(2001)。The Study of Political Elite Transformations。International Review of Sociology,11(2),182。  new window
2.MacAllister, Iain、Johnston, Ronald J.、Pattie, Charles J.、Tunstall, Helena、Dorling, Danny F. L.、Rossiter, David J.(2001)。Class Dealignment and the Neighbourhood Effect: Miller Revisited。British Journal of Political Science,31(1),41-59。  new window
3.Fonga, Daniel Y. T.、Yip, Paul S. F.(2003)。Economic and Environmental Factors in Hong Kong Suicides。International Academy for Suicide Research,7,123-133。  new window
4.Kjaer, T. K.、Hansen, J.(2009)。Cancer incidence among a large cohort of female Danish registered nurses。Scandinavian Journal of Work, Environment & Health,35(6),446-453。  new window
5.邵宗海(2011)。澳門的社會結構與族群關係。當代港澳研究,2011(1),95-133。  延伸查詢new window
6.Clayton, David、Kaldor, John(1987)。Empirical Bayes Estimates of Age-Standardized Relative Risks for Use in Disease Mapping。Biometrics,43(3),671-681。  new window
7.陳震宇(20080300)。澳門的行政堂區--兼議市民服務中心的可行區劃。行政:澳門公共行政雜誌,79,19-33+131-149+247-248。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.Elff, Martin(2007)。Social Structure and Electoral behavior in Comparative Perspective: The Decline of Social Cleavages in Western Europe Revisited。Perspectives on Politics,5(2),277-294。  new window
研究報告
1.(2005)。"澳門地區定期民意研究合作計劃"之澳門立法會選舉及巿民置業(2005年4月25日-30日)。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Higley, John、Burton, Michael G.(2006)。Elite Foundations of Liberal Democracy。Oxford, UK。  new window
2.余振、婁勝華、陳卓華(2011)。澳門華人政治文化縱向研究。香港:香港三聯書店。  延伸查詢new window
3.Lazarsfeld, Paul F.、Berelson, Bernard、Gaudet, Hazel(1968)。The People's Choice: How the Voter Makes Up His Mind in a Presidential Campaign。New York, NY。  new window
4.奧塔‧錫克(1984)。經濟‧利益‧政治。北京:中國社會科學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.李淮春(1996)。馬克思主義哲學全書。北京:中國人民大學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
6.黃濤(2004)。博弈論教程--理論、應用。北京:首都經濟貿易大學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
7.王紹光(2008)。民主四講。北京:生活.讀書.新知三聯書店。  延伸查詢new window
8.余振、劉伯龍、吳德榮(1993)。澳門華人政治文化。澳門:澳門基金會。  延伸查詢new window
9.Putnam, Robert D.(1976)。The Comparative Study of Political Elites。Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey:Prentice-Hall。  new window
其他
1.(2005)。"澳門地區定期民意研究合作計劃"之澳門立法會選舉及公共服務事業調查(2005年8月29日-9月1日),http://hkupop.hku.hk/。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Johnston, R. J.、Pattie, C. J.、Dorling, D. F. L.、MacAllister, I.、Tunstall, H.、Rossiter, D. J.(2000)。The Neighbourhood Effect and Voting in England and Wales: Real or Imagined?。British Elections and Parties Review。London:Frank Cass。  new window
 
 
 
 
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