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題名:中國各地區能源環境效率分析-非意欲產出模型之應用
作者:楊雯如 引用關係
作者(外文):Wen-Ju YANG
校院名稱:東吳大學
系所名稱:經濟學系
指導教授:邱永和
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2010
主題關鍵詞:總要素能源生產力非意欲產出資料包絡分析法差額變數效率分析整體技術效率能源效率排放效率Total factor energy efficiencyundesirable outputdata envelopment analysisslacks-based measure of efficiencytotal technical efficiencyenergy efficiencyemission efficiency
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要素投入是經濟成長之前提條件,當其他的投入要素都具備時,必須有能源為其提供動力才可進行生產。自1992年後中國面臨能源消費量大於生產量的情況,同時期中國正處於經濟成長的階段,對能源需求殷切,身為全球第二大能源消費國的中國必須更審慎使用能源,朝高成長、低耗能模式邁進;然而國際間對環境保護之重視,使中國欲躋身已開發之列必須強調低污染的發展,因此能源-經濟-環境之平衡發展為中國經濟政策的重要議題。本研究主要在計算2000~2007年期間中國之效率表現,者作為能源效率指標,從經濟生產觀點修正Hu and Wang(2006)提出的總要素能源生產力指標 (total factor energy efficiency, TFEE),考慮非意欲產出(工業二氧化硫、生活二氧化硫、工業煙塵、生活煙塵和工業粉塵等)的影響,利用資料包絡分析法(data envelopment analysis, DEA)不需要進行額外假設,且可處理多產出、多投入之特性,採用差額變數效率分析模型 (slacks-based measure of efficiency, SBM) 進行中國30個地區的效率分析,不僅討論中國30個地區的整體技術效率、能源效率,並延伸探討排放效率。本研究主要發現如下:1.當模型加入非意欲產出之考量後,中國的整體技術效率、能源與環境效率呈現更顯著的下降趨勢,此結果吻合「外部成本」之經濟直觀,驗證能源消費之聯合產出—廢氣污染,將帶來社會成本增加並導致效率值降低。2.分析中國能源節省與減排政策之施行成效,得到中國的節能效率和減排效率均呈現下滑的趨勢,其中減排效率不僅下滑且表現相對低落,而且隨研究時間拉長,節能效率和減排效率間的差距日益增加。3.各地區的能源效率表現中,以東部地區表現最佳,而且東部地區的排放表現相對其他地區較佳。4.中國廢氣排放污染項目中以工業二氧化硫的排放效率最高(0.603),生活煙塵的排放效率最差(0.328),中國必須依各地區特性執行減排政策,以達到污染物排放總量削減的任務。5.在本研究期間上海和廣東不僅有高所得與高經濟成長,而且在能源和排放績效上都達到效率,獲得能源-經濟-環境三贏的局面。6. 西部地區的內蒙古、重慶、四川、貴州、雲南、陝西、甘肅、青海、寧夏和新疆等地,在能源節省與廢氣減排上呈現雙重低落的情形。7.在廢氣排放減量上,生活廢氣的排放效率都低於工業廢氣的排放,說明中國需要再加強民眾對於環境保護之重視。
Energy is the significant input factor to upgrade the economic growth. China has faced the energy consumption greater than production since 1992. As being the second biggest energy consumption country, China needs to be cautious with the usage of energy sources and achieve the high growth and low energy consumption. Moreover, with the value of environmental protection arose internationally, the balance among energy, economy and environment becomes the important issue in China’s economic policies. In this research, we focus on the efficiency performance during the period of 2000 to 2007 in China in order to determine the energy efficiency. Utilize DEA model and consider three inputs (labor, real capital stock and total energy consumption), one desirable output (real GDP) and five undesirable outputs factors (SO2 emission by industry, SO2 emission by consumption, industrial soot emission, consumption soot emission and industrial dust emission) in SBM analysis to discuss the efficiency performance in 30 regions in China which includes total technical efficiency, energy efficiency and emission efficiency.
The findings of this research are as below,
1.When undesirable outputs are considered to measure the efficiency, there is a downward tendency in technical, energy and environmental efficiency. And this result corresponds with the concept of external costs, to explain the outputs of energy consumption (pollutions from waste gas) lead to the increase in social cost and decrease in efficiency.
2.It shows slack energy-saving and emission efficiency in China. Especially, the emission efficiency drops further than the other with time elapses.
3.Comparing the efficiency performance in each region; the eastern area shows better result.
4.In the ranking of waste gas emissions, SO2 emission efficiency by industry is selected as the highest item in 0.603, soot emission efficiency by consumption is regarded as the last in 0.328. Therefore, China has to conduct policies to diminish pollution emissions.
5.Shanghai and Guangdong have high income and economic growth. In addition, both are rated brilliant performances in energy efficiency and emission efficiency.
6.In western region, Inner Mongolia, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Shaanxi, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang all present the poor performances in energy-saving and waste gas emissions reducing.
7.According to waste gas emissions from consumption are lower than from industry, it is suggested that China need to educate its people in environmental protection issue.
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