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題名:大中華市場之股利迷思與投資策略
作者:徐鼎欣 引用關係
作者(外文):Sam Ting-Hsin Hsu
校院名稱:國立雲林科技大學
系所名稱:財務金融系
指導教授:黃金生
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2014
主題關鍵詞:股利報酬交易策略三因子模型四因子模型Dividend yieldTrading strategiesThree-factor modelFour-factor model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本文運用 Fama-French 三因子模型辨別股利異常報酬是否存在於台灣股票市場,結果顯示:(i) 投資人在熊市期間極度偏好高股利報酬之個股;(ii) 股利宣告效應可能為異常報酬出現之主因。依機構屬性與市場環境等檢定方式,包含機構投資人持有比例、季節效應、股利穩定性與自我選擇偏差等,顯示研究結果相當的健全。
Using the Fama-French three-factor model, we set out in this study to verify the existence of abnormal dividend-yield returns in the Taiwan stock market. The results of our tracking of the sources of abnormal returns indicate that: (i) investors are strongly in favor of high dividend-yield stocks during bearish market periods; and (ii) the information effect of dividend announcements may be the major source of abnormal returns. Our results are found to be robust to a wide set of institutional settings and market conditions, including institutional holdings, seasonal effects, dividend stability and self-selection bias.
Essay 1

REFERENCES

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Asem, E., (2009), “Dividends and Price Momentum,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 33, 486-494.

Balsara, N. J., Zheng, L., Vidozzi, A., and Vidozzi, L., (2006), “Explaining Momentum Profits With an Epidemic Diffusion Model,” Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 30, 407-422.

Bhattacharya, S., (1979), “Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy and the ‘Bird in the Hand’ Fallacy,” Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, Vol. 10, 259-270.

Black, F., and Scholes, M., (1974), “The Effects of Dividend Yield and Dividend Policy on Common Stock Prices and Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 1, 1-22.

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Brzeszczyński, J., and Gajdka, J., (2007), “Dividend-Driven Trading Strategies: Evidence From the Warsaw Stock Exchange,” International Advances in Economic Research, Vol. 13, 285-300.

Carhart, M. M., (1997), “On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, 57-82.
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Harada, K., and Nguyen, P., (2005), “Dividend Change Context and Signaling Efficiency in Japan,” Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 13, 504-522.

Jegadeesh, N., and Titman, S., (1993), “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications For Stock Market Efficiency,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, 65-91.

John, K., and Williams, J., (1985), “Dividends, Dilution and Taxes: A Signaling Equilibrium,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 40, 1053-1070.

Keim, D., (1985), “Dividend Yields and Stock Returns: Implications of Abnormal January Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 14, 473-489.

Koch, A. S., and Sun, A. X., (2004), “Dividends Changes and the Persistence of Past Earnings Changes,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 59, 2093-2116.

Li, K., and Zhao, X., (2008), “Asymmetric Information and Dividend Policy,” Financial Management, Vol. 37, 673-694.

Litzenberger, R. H., and Ramaswamy, K., (1979), “The Effects of Personal Taxes and Dividends on Capital Asset Prices: Theory and Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 7, 163-195.

Litzenberger, R. H., and Ramaswamy, K., (1982), “The Effects of Dividends on Common Stock Prices: Tax Effects or Information Effects?” Journal of Finance,
Vol. 37, 429-443.

McQueen, G., Shields, K., and Thorley, S. R., (1997), “Does the ‘Dow-10 Investment Strategy’ Beat the Dow Statistically and Economically?” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 53, 66-72.

Michaely, R., Thaler, R., and Womack, K., (1995), “Price Reactions to Dividend Initiations and Omissions: Overreaction or Drift?” Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, 573-608.

Miller, M., and Rock, K., (1985), “Dividend Policy Under Asymmetric Information,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 40, 1031-1051.

Morgan, G., and Thomas, S., (1998), “Taxes, Dividend Yields and Returns in the UK Equity Market,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 22, 405-423.

Naranjo, A., Nimalendran, M., and Ryngaert, M., (1998), “Stock Returns, Dividend Yields and Taxes,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 53, 2029-57.

Nissim, D., and Ziv, A., (2001), “Dividend Changes and Future Profitability,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 56, 2111-2133.

Skinner, D. J., (2008), “The Evolving Relation Between Earnings, Dividends, and Stock Repurchases,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 87, 582-609.

Stivers C., and Sun, L., (2010), “Cross-Sectional Return Dispersion and Time Variation in Value and Momentum Premiums,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 45, 987-1014.

Visscher, S., and Filbeck, G., (2003), “Dividend-Yield Strategies in the Canadian Stock Market,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 59, 99-106.

Zhou, P., and Ruland, W., (2006), “Dividend Payouts and Future Earnings Growth,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, 58-69.


Essay 2

References

Amihud, Y., and K. Li, (2006), “The Declining Information Content of Dividend Announcements and the Effects of Institutional Holdings,” Journal of Financial& Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 41, 637-660.

Allen, F. and R. Michaely (2003), “Payout Policy,” In: Constantinides, G., Harris, M., Stulz, R. (eds.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance: Corporate Finance, Elsevier, Amsterdam.

ap Gwilym, O., J. Seaton and S. Thomas (2005), “Dividend Yield Investment Strategies, the Payout Ratio and Zero-dividend Stocks,” Journal of Investing, Vol. 14, 69-74.

Asem, E. (2009), “Dividends and Price Momentum,” Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 33, 486-494.

Balsara, N. J., L., Zheng, A. Vidozzi, and L. Vidozzi, (2006), “Explaining Momentum Profits With an Epidemic Diffusion Model,” Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 30, 407-422.

Barberis, N., A. Shleifer and R. Vishny (1998), “A Model of Investor Sentiment,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 49, 307-343.

Bhattacharya, S. (1979), “Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy and the ‘Bird in the Hand’ Fallacy,” Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science, Vol. 10, 259-270.

Black, F. and M. Scholes (1974), “The Effects of Dividend Yields and Dividend Policy on Common Stock Prices and Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 1, 1-22.

Blume, M. E. (1980), “Stock Returns and Dividend Yields: Some More Evidence,” Review of Economics and
Statistics, Vol. 62, 567-577.

Bohl, M. T., M. Schuppli and P. L. Siklos (2010), “Stock Return Seasonalities and Investor Structure: Evidence from China's B-share Markets,” China Economic Review, Vol. 21, 190–201.

Brav, A., J. R. Graham, C. R. Harvey and R. Michaely (2005), “Payout Policy in the 21st Century,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 77, 483-527.

Brzeszczyński, J. and J. Gajdka (2007), “Dividend-driven Trading Strategies: Evidence from the Warsaw Stock Exchange,” International Advances in Economic Research, Vol. 13, 285-300.

Carhart, M. M. (1997), “On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, 57-82.

Cavoli, T. (2012), “Managed Floating by Stealth: The Case of Taiwan,” Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Vol. 17, 514-526.

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Fama, E. F. (1998), “Market Efficiency, Long-term Returns and Behavioral Finance,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 49, 283-306.

Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (1993), “Common Risk Factors in Returns on Stocks and Bonds,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 33, 3-56.

Filbeck, G. and S. Visscher (1997), “Dividend Yield Strategies in the British Stock Market,” European Journal of Finance, Vol. 3, 277-289.

Gombola, M. J., and F. Y. Liu, (1993), “Dividend Yields and Stock Returns: Evidence of Time Variation Between Bull and Bear Markets,” Financial Review, Vol. 28, 303–327.

Grullon, G., R. Michaely, S. Benartzi, and R. H. Thaler, (2005), “Dividend Changes do not Signal Changes in Future Profitability,” Journal of Business, Vol. 78, 1659-1682.

Harada, K. and P. Nguyen (2005), “Dividend Change Context and Signaling Efficiency in Japan,” Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Vol. 13, 504-522.

Jegadeesh, N., and Titman, S. (1993), “Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, 65–91.

John, K. and J. Williams (1985), “Dividends, Dilution and Taxes: A signaling Equilibrium,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 40, 1053-1070.

Keim, D. B. (1985), “Dividend Yields and Stock Returns: Implications of Abnormal January Returns,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 14, 473-489.

Kyriazis, D. and G. Diacogiannis (2007), “Testing the Performance of Value Strategies in the Athens Stock Exchange,” Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 17, 1511-1528.
Li, K. and X. Zhao (2008), “Asymmetric Information and Dividend Policy,” Financial Management, Vol. 37, 673-694.

Litzenberger, R. H. and K. Ramaswamy (1979), “The Effects of Personal Taxes and Dividends on Capital Asset Prices: Theory and Empirical Evidence,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 7, 163-195.

Litzenberger, R. H. and K. Ramaswamy (1982), “The Effects of Dividends on Common Stock Prices: Tax Effects or Information Effects?” Journal of Finance, Vol. 37, 429-443.

McGuinness, P. B. and Harris, R. D. F. (2011), “Comparison of the 'Turn-of-the-Month' and Lunar New Year Return Effects in Three Chinese Markets: Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen,” Applied Financial Economics, Vol. 21, 917-929.

McQueen, G., K. Shields and S. R. Thorley (1997), “Does the ‘Dow-10 Investment Strategy’ Beat the Dow Statistically and Economically?” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 53, 66-72.

Miller, M. and K. Rock (1985), “Dividend Policy under Asymmetric Information,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 40, 1031-1051.

Morgan, G. and Thomas, S. (1998), “Taxes, Dividend Yields and Returns in the UK Equity Market,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 22, 405-423.

Naranjo, A., Nimalendran, M. and Ryngaert, M. (1998), “Stock Returns, Dividend Yields and Taxes,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 53, 2029-57.

Nissim, D. and Ziv, A. (2001), “Dividend Changes and Future Profitability,” Journal of Finance, Vol. 56, 2111-2133.

Quah, C. H. (2012), “Can Japan or China Replace the US as the Monetary Anchor for Hong Kong and Macau?” Asia Pacific Business Review, Vol. 18, 335-354.
Skinner, D. J. (2008), “The Evolving Relation between Earnings, Dividends and Stock Repurchases,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 87, 582-609.

Stivers, C., and Sun, L. (2010), “Cross-sectional Return Dispersion and Time Variation in Value and Momentum Premiums,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 45, 987-1014

Sun, Q., Tong, W. H. S., Wu, Y. (2013), “Overseas Listing as a Policy Tool: Evidence From China’s H-shares,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 37, 1460-1474.

Visscher, S. and Filbeck, G. (2003), “Dividend-yield Strategies in the Canadian Stock Market,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 59, 99-106.

Wei, G. and Xiao, J. Z. (2009), “Equity Ownership Segregation, Shareholder Preferences and Dividend Policy in China,” British Accounting Review, Vol. 41, 169-183.

Zhou, P., and W. Ruland, (2006), “Dividend Payouts and Future Earnings Growth,” Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 62, 58-69.


 
 
 
 
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