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題名:Why High-dividend Yields Equate to High Returns in the Greater China Region
書刊名:證券市場發展季刊
作者:黃金生 引用關係游清芳 引用關係徐鼎欣 引用關係
作者(外文):Huang, Chin-shengYou, Chun-fanHsu, Sam Ting-hsin
出版日期:2014
卷期:26:2=102
頁次:頁151-178
主題關鍵詞:股利率交易策略三因子模型四因子模型大中華地區Dividend yieldTrading strategiesThree-factor modelFour-factor modelGreater China region
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:38
本文使用大中華市場於2001至2010年的資料,實證顯示在股利宣告的年度,高股利率等於高報酬率,且在風險調整後出現一個正的異常報酬。而這個現象即使是以三因子模型驗證也未消失。但此結果證實非起因於股利的賦稅效果、季節效應、以及股利訊號假說。然而採用加入動能的4因子驗證時,正的異常報酬終於消失了。進一步,將樣本區分為高動能與低動能時期,證據指出在高股利率族群出現的顯著的異常報酬,僅出現於低動能的子樣本。依此,本文的結論指出股利率異常報酬的來源,可以完全被市場因子、公司規模、價值型、以及動能所解釋,且這樣的異常報酬在低動能時期會變得更為顯著。
An examination of 2001-2010 data on the Greater China region reveals that high-dividend yields equate to high returns, with positive risk-adjusted returns being earned in the dividend announcement years; such findings continue to hold even when our sample is examined using the Fama-French three-factor model. Our empirical results indicate that the dividend tax effect, the seasonal effect and the dividend signaling hypothesis cannot account for this phenomenon; however, when the momentum factor is included to create a four-factor model, the positive abnormal returns ultimately disappear. When our sample is further divided into high-and low-momentum periods, the evidence indicates that abnormal returns, particularly the significantly positive alphas in the highest dividend-yield group, are also found in the low-momentum sub-sample. We therefore conclude that the sources of this anomaly can be fully explained by the factors of market, size, value and momentum, with such abnormal returns potentially becoming even stronger in low-momentum periods.
期刊論文
1.Harada, Kimie、Nguyen, Pascal(2005)。Dividend change context and signaling efficiency in Japan。Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,13(1),504-522。  new window
2.Blume, M. E.(1980)。Stock Returns and Dividend Yields : Some More Evidence。Review of Economics and Statistics,62(4),567-577。  new window
3.Gwilym, O.(2005)。Dividend Yield Investment Strategies, the Payout Ratio and Zero-dividend Stocks。Journal of Investing,14,69-74。  new window
4.Asem, E.(2009)。Dividends and Price Momentum。Journal of Banking & Finance,33,486-494。  new window
5.Black, F.(1974)。The Effects of Dividend Yields and Dividend Policy on Common Stock Prices and Returns。Journal of Financial Economics,1,1-22。  new window
6.Bohl, M. T.(2010)。Stock Return Seasonalities and Investor Structure: Evidence from China's B-share Markets。China Economic Review,21,190-201。  new window
7.Brzeszczyński, J.、Gajdka, J.(2007)。Dividend-Driven Trading Strategies: Evidence from the Warsaw Stock Exchange。International Advances in Economic Research,13(3),285-300。  new window
8.Filbeck, G.(1997)。Dividend Yield Strategies in the British Stock Market。European Journal of Finance,3,277-289。  new window
9.Keim, D. B.(1985)。Dividend Yields and Stock Returns: Implications of Abnormal January Returns。Journal of Financial Economics,14(3),473-489。  new window
10.Kyriazis, D.(2007)。Testing the Performance of Value Strategies in the Athens Stock Exchange。Applied Financial Economics,17,1511-1528。  new window
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12.Litzenberger, R. H.(1979)。The Effects of Personal Taxes and Dividends on Capital Asset Prices: Theory and Empirical Evidence。Journal of Financial Economics,7,163-195。  new window
13.Morgan, G.(1998)。Taxes, Dividend Yields and Returns in the UK Equity Market。Journal of Banking and Finance,22,405-423。  new window
14.Visscher, S.、Filbeck, G.(2003)。Dividend-Yield Strategies in the Canadian Stock Market。Financial Analysts Journal,59(1),99-106。  new window
15.Fama, E. F.(1993)。Common Risk Factors in Returns on Stocks and Bonds。Journal of Financial Economics,33,3-56。  new window
16.Skinner, Douglas J.(2008)。The Evolving Relation between Earnings, Dividends, and Stock Repurchases。Journal of Financial Economics,87(3),582-609。  new window
17.Fama, Eugene F.、French, K. R.(1998)。Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance。Journal of Financial Economics,49(3),283-306。  new window
18.Miller, Merton H.、Rock, Kevin(1985)。Dividend policy under asymmetric information。The Journal of Finance,40(4),1031-1051。  new window
19.Brav, Alon、Graham, John R.、Harvey, Campbell R.、Michaely, Roni(2005)。Payout policy in the 21st century。Journal of Financial Economics,77(3),483-527。  new window
20.John, Kose、Williams, Joseph(1985)。Dividends, Dilution, and Taxes: A Signaling Equilibrium。Journal of Finance,40(4),1053-1070。  new window
21.Barberis, Nicholas、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert W.(1998)。A model of investor sentiment。Journal of Financial Economics,49(3),307-343。  new window
22.Nissim, Doron、Ziv, Amir(2001)。Dividend changes and future profitability。Journal of Finance,56(6),2111-2133。  new window
23.Carhart, Mark M.(1997)。On persistence in mutual fund performance。The Journal of Finance,52(1),57-82。  new window
24.Eun, Cheol S.、Huang, Wei(2007)。Asset pricing in China's domestic stock markets: Is there a logic?。Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,15(5),452-480。  new window
25.Litzenberger, Robert H.、Ramaswamy, Krishna(1982)。The Effects of Dividends on Common Stock Prices: Tax Effects or Information Effects?。Journal of Finance,37(2),429-443。  new window
26.Bhattacharya, S.(1979)。Imperfect Information, Dividend Policy, and "The Bird in the Hand" Fallacy。Bell Journal of Economics,10,259-270。  new window
27.McQueen, Grant、Shields, Kay、Thorley, Steven R.(1997)。Does the "Dow-10 Investment Strategy" Beat the Dow Statistically and Economically?。Financial Analysts Journal,53(4),66-72。  new window
研究報告
1.Daniel, K.(1997)。A Theory of Overconfidence, Self-attribution and Security Market Under- and Over-reactions。Michigan University。  new window
圖書論文
1.Allen, F.、Michaely, R.(2003)。Chapter 7 Payout Policy。Handbook of the Economics of Finance。North Holland:Elsevier。  new window
 
 
 
 
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