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題名:信用合作社分行區位評選之研究:應用整合式多評準決策模式
作者:許筱吟
作者(外文):HSU, HSIAO-YIN
校院名稱:國立臺北科技大學
系所名稱:管理學院管理博士班
指導教授:廖森貴
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2020
主題關鍵詞:區位評選多評準決策模糊德菲法決策實驗室法網絡分析法理想解類似度偏好順序法信用合作社Location SelectionMCDMThe Fuzzy Delphi MethodDEMATELANPTOPSISCredit Cooperative Bank
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在金融體系中,信用合作社因囿於臺灣現行金融法規的規定,限制其經營業務種類、營業區域及交易對象,故造成信用合作社的營運範疇、可用的資源、事業網絡、營業額、客戶數及市佔率等面向均無法與金控公司或商業銀行抗衡,而逐步朝向發展小而美的社區銀行,也逐步運用銀行經營模式,試圖增加營業據點,藉此降低營運成本,而提升其企業經營規模經濟。
有別於過去有關金融機構分行據點選址的研究大都是以商業銀行為對象,本研究以信用合作社為研究對象,在研究方法上不同於過往大多採用單一決策模式之方法,整合運用模糊德菲法、決策實驗室法、網絡分析法,以及理想解類似度偏好順序法等方法,建構信用合作社在設立分行時的決策模型,以提升決策的完整性與精確性。
首先,收集過往有關金融機構對於區位評選的文獻且針對信用合作社主席、總經理,以及副總經理進行深度訪談萃取次準則,進而設計出第一波問卷,將問卷發放給全國信用合作社主管,一共回收38份問卷。再透過模糊德菲法求取38位主管們對於各次準則的重要性評價,利用重心法計算出其重要性程度,保留重要性為前12名的次準則,分別為:人口密度、就業人口、人口成長率、停車方便性、臨停方面性、消費者與銀行距離考量、競爭者距離遠近、依賴銀行業務之需求、產業密集度、地區之存放款量、觀察新設金融機構之存放款表現、地區金融機構之存放款量趨勢。再根據過去文獻以及訪談信用合作社主管的意見,將次準則分類進而建立本論文之層級架構。
根據層級架構中的4個準則設計出決策實驗室法問卷,以宜蘭市的信用合作社做為案例,由其4位主管判定兩準則的影響程度建立關係矩陣,進而建立準則的相互影響關係。此外,網絡分析法的部分,4位主管根據信用合作社分行區位評選之關係層級架構,建立準則以及次準則的配對比較矩陣,以幾何平均數彙整成群體決策的綜合分數,4位主管的問卷一致性比率皆<0.1,根據極限超級矩陣,即可得知各準則之權重。最後,在理想解類似度偏好順序法的部分,決策者依據各準則分別以1-9分為方案給分,個案信用合作社分行區位包含4個方案,新北市是因為法規限制,要去外縣市設分社只能先去臨近的鄉鎮設分社,五結、員山、南澳是因為目前宜蘭縣這幾各縣市尚未有信用合作社、人口數也相對較多、銀行家數較少。最後得知,個案信用合作社分行最佳區位為新北市。
藉由質性訪談與量化的專家調查,研究結果指出信用合作社與一般金融銀行機構在區位評選考量要素上有所不同,而整合上述4種決策科學所建立之決策模型,能有效提升信用合作社在分行區位評選上的效度。
Within the financial system of Taiwan, the regulations of the current financial laws limit the business operation types, operation zones, and trade parties of credit cooperativebanks. Consequently, credit cooperative banks are unable to compete with financial holding companies and commercial banks in terms of scope of operations, usable resources, utility networks, turnover, customer volume, and market share. Therefore, credit cooperative banks are progressing toward developing into small but comprehensive community banks. Additionally, they are gradually adopting the bank operation mode, which means that they increase their operation scale economy by increasing the amount of branches and lowering operational costs.
In this study, the researchers used credit cooperative banks as the study sample, which distinguishes the current study from previous research on branch location selection that used commercial banks as a sample. In terms of methodology, the current study constructed a decision-making model for the location selection of credit cooperative banks’ branches. To enhance the integrity and accuracy of the decisions made using the model, the researchers constructed the model by combining the fuzzy Delphi method, decision making trial and evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL), analytic network process (ANP), and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS).This distinguishes the current study from past studies, the majority of which used a single-criterion decision-making method.
The researchers began the data collection by identifying relevant sub-criteria: this was achieved by reviewing the literature related to financial institutions’ choice of location and conducting in-depth interviews with presidents, chief operating officers, and deputy chief operating officers of credit cooperative banks. An initial questionnaire was designed on the basis of the literature review and interview data. The designed questionnaire was then distributed to credit cooperative banks supervisors across Taiwan; 38 valid questionnaires were retrieved. The 38 supervisors’ importance ratings of each sub-criterion were obtained using the fuzzy Delphi method, and the extent of importance of each sub-criterion was calculated using the center-of-gravity method. The 12 sub-criteria with the highest level of importance were retained and are as follows: population density, employed population, population growth rate, parking convenience, temporary parking convenience, distance between consumers and banks, distance of competitors, need for bank-dependent services, industrial density, regional deposit and loan volume, deposit and loan performance of newly established financial institutions, and deposit volume trends of local financial institutions. On the basis of relevant studies and the opinions of the interviewees, the researchers then classified the sub-criteria into groups and established the tiered framework of the current study.
The researchers designed a DEMATEL questionnaire according to the four criteria in the tiered framework and used a credit cooperative bank in Yilan City as a case study. Four supervisors were selected to judge the level of influence of two criteria for establishing the relation matrix; the influence relationships between the criteria were then established accordingly. In ANP, the four supervisors constructed the pairwise comparison matrix of criteria and sub-criteria and compiled the geometric average values into the comprehensive scores of group decisions. The consistency ratio was <0.1. Thus, the weight of each criterion could be obtained using the limitingsupermatrix. RegardingTOPSIS, the decision makers were required to score each alternative on a scale of 1-9 according to the stipulated sub-criteria.The credit cooperative bank in the case study has four alternatives for branch location selection: New Taipei City, because relevant laws stipulate that if a credit cooperative bank is to establish a branchin another county or city, it can only do so in a neighboring township; and Wujie, Yuanshan, and Nan-ao Townships of Yilan County, for the reasons that credit cooperative banks still do not exist in these townships, these townships have higher populations than others, and there are fewer banks in these townships. The final conclusion reached is that the best location for the credit cooperative bank in the case study is New Taipei City.
The study results obtained through qualitative interviews and a quantitative expert survey indicate that credit cooperative banks differ from conventional banking institutions in terms of which factors are considered when making location selection decisions. The integrated decision-making model constructed by combining the aforementioned decision-making approaches effectively enhanced the validity of branch locations selected bya credit cooperative bank.
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三、參考網站
1.中華民國信用合作社聯合社,https://www.nfcc.org.tw/default.htm。
2.金融監督管理委員會,https://stat.fsc.gov.tw/FSCChartShow_Restore/CRPages/MS_Chart_Show.aspx。
3.金融監督管理委員會銀行局,http://www.banking.gov.tw。
4.宜蘭信用合作社,https://ilan.scu.org.tw/index.htm。
5.台灣經濟研究院產經資料庫,https://tie.tier.org.tw/search/index.aspx?keyword=%abH%a5%ce%a6X%a7%40%aa%c0。
6.Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).FDIC national survey of unbanked and underbanked households, http://www.economicinclusion.gov/surveys/2011household/.
7.Financial Service Centers of America (FiSCA). Theunbanked &underbanked consumer in America, http://www.fisca.org/.


 
 
 
 
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