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題名:以系統思考觀點探討國防武器研製與專案融資
作者:汪家淦
作者(外文):Chia-Kan Wang
校院名稱:國立臺灣科技大學
系所名稱:財務金融研究所
指導教授:劉代洋
學位類別:博士
出版日期:2021
主題關鍵詞:國防主要武器裝備自製專案融資系統動態學系統思考MDE Self-productionProject FinanceSystem DynamicsSystems Thinking
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國防武器研製具技術門檻高、資本投資大、整合度強、回收期長與複雜度高等特性,推動國防武器研製,不但可將先進技術提升,也可提升國家的產業競爭力,除了政府的政策支持與整體規劃外,也需要民間廠商投入,然而我國民間廠商財力條件普遍不足,因此專案融資在國防武器研製中扮演重要的角色,國防武器研製與專案融資需考量因素很多,利害關係人包含政府、民間廠商與銀行之間互動關係動態複雜,必須以整體的觀點來思考其結構性,較能瞭解問題的全貌。然而少有文獻以系統觀點探討國防武器研製與專案融資的研究。
本研究採用系統動態學方法論,以系統思考建構質性分析模式,闡述國防武器研製與專案融資因素之因果互動關係,並提出政府軍購合約擔保為國防武器研製專案關鍵成功因素、透過民間廠商財力資格管制確保軍購案得以順利履約、應辦理盡職調查、建立機關、銀行及廠商之三方合約溝通協調及金流查核機制等改善系統結構之建議,期能對我國國防武器研製政策有所助益。
Major defense equipment(MDE) self-production is generally oriented toward military use, features high complexity, integration, investment capital, and technological requirements, as well as long payback periods. In addition to overall planning and policy promotion by the government, the technological skills and financial conditions of private sector manufacturers must be considered. The project financing from banks should also establish a supervision framework and testing mechanism. Regarding MDE self-production and project financing, numerous factors must be considered. Moreover, these factors show interaction or causal effects, so they cannot be considered independently. Additionally, stakeholders include the government, private sector manufacturers, and banks, whose interaction relationships are generally complex. Therefore, comprehensive and structurally systematic perspectives must be adopted when engaging in MDE self-production and project financing issues. However, because few studies have systematically examined these issues, this study adopts system dynamics to construct a system dynamics model for analyzing MDE self-production and project financing in Taiwan through systems thinking. From the perspective of three stakeholders, namely, the government, private sector manufacturers, and banks, the causal and interaction relationships between factors of MDE production and project financing are described, and key methods for improving the system structure are proposed to serve as a reference for policy decision-makers.
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