中共自1978年11月鄧小平推動經濟改革迄今，其國防費即不斷攀升，至今國防費已突破千億元人民幣大關，如此快速國防費之成長，對亞洲及世界局勢之影響已不可輕忽。中共國防費逐年增加，而我國國防預算卻有逐年降低之趨勢，雙方之軍力差距有逐漸擴大之跡象。本研究提出「中共國防費預判分析」之模式，推估中共國防費額度，使國人明瞭未來其國防費額度的趨勢，並研究對我國防預算政策面之實質意涵，使在知己知彼之狀況下，能適切建議決策當局妥適分配國防資源。

Since November 1978 Deng Xiao Ping has propelled the economic reform in Mainland China, then her defense spending grows continuously, the P.R.C.’s defense spending has broken through a hundred billion renminbis, we can not overlook its influence on Asia and the world. While the Mainland china grows the defense spending year by year, it lowers on R.O.C. on t e contrary, the situation makes the gap wider and wider. This study proposes the forecast model of Mainland China’s defense spending and estimates its amount to make our people realize its trend in the future, and study its real meaning to our national defense budget policy, the report may suggest the authorities distribute properly the defense resource.