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題名:報酬率與成交量之因果關係--臺灣店頭市場實證研究
書刊名:明志學報
作者:徐清俊陳盈君
作者(外文):Hsu, Ching-junChen, Ying-chun
出版日期:2003
卷期:35:1
頁次:頁41-47
主題關鍵詞:店頭市場單根檢定Granger因果關係OTCUnit root testGranger causality
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:8
  • 點閱點閱:7
以往有關股市報酬率之研究,均偏重於集中市場,而近年來隨著國內經濟成長,店頭市場迅速的發展使其重要性大為增加,並受到投資大眾的關住。本研究以四種不同的時間數列--週轉率、成交量(千股)/百萬股、成交筆數(筆)/千筆、成交值、代表成交量,探討台灣股票店頭市場報酬率與成交量之因果關係,資料來源為台灣經濟新報資料庫(Taiwan Economic Journal),資料期間是從2000年1月到2002年1月,採取日資料進行分析。以ADF單根檢定,檢驗時間數列是否為定態數列;而價量因果關係之研究方法則採用Granger causality testing (1969)。實證結果顯示,台灣股票店頭市場的報酬率和成交量之間存在單正向因果關係,報酬率領先成交量。亦即店頭市場之成交量,無論在何種定義下皆會隨著報酬率而變化,呈現齊漲齊跌的現象,然而成交量則不會影響報酬率。
A study about stock return of the stock market, stressing more on the Taiwan Securities Exchange company (TSEC). In recent years, with the development of domestic economy, the over-the counter (OTC) is fast development and more and more important. In this paper, we will define four variable -turnover ratio, trading volume, number of trades, trading dollar volume, to representative of trading volume. The purpose of this paper is to examine the Granger causality between price and volume. The daily closing prices and trading volumes data during 2000/01-2002/01 are provided by Taiwan Economic Journal. With Unit root test for stationary. And with Granger causality test, we examine the lead-lag relationship between stock return and trading volume. The results of this empirical test are that stock return positive causal relationship to change the trading volume, but trading volume does not affect stock return.
期刊論文
1.Granger, C. W. J.(1969)。Investigating Causal Relations by Economic Models and Cross-Spectral Methods。Economeicatr,37(3),424-438。  new window
2.Granger, C. W. J.(1969)。Some Properties of Time Series Data and Their Use in Econometrics Mode; Specification。Journal of Economrtrica,37(3),424-438。  new window
3.Godfrey, M.、Granger, C.、Morgenstern, O.(1964)。The random walk hypothesis of stock market behavior。Kyklos,17,1-17。  new window
4.Johansen, S.(1991)。Estimation and hypothesis testing of co-integration vectors in Gaussian vector autoregressive models。Econometrica,59(6),1551-1580。  new window
5.許溪南、黃文芳(19970600)。臺灣股市價量線性與非線性關係之研究。管理學報,14(2),177-195。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Jain, Prem C.、Joh, Gun-Ho(1988)。The dependence between hourly prices and trading volume。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,23(3),269-283。  new window
7.Osborne, M. F. M.(1959)。Brownian Motion in the Stock Market。Operations Research,7(2),145-173。  new window
8.葉銀華(1990)。臺灣股票市場成交量與股價關係之實證研究--轉換函數模式。臺北市銀月刊,22(11)=266,57-70。  延伸查詢new window
9.Ying, C. C.(1986)。Stock market price and volumes of sales。Econometrica,34,676-686。  new window
10.Oldfield, G. S.、Rogalski, R. J.(1987)。The stochastic properties of term structure movements。Journal of Monetary Economics,19(2),229-254。  new window
11.楊踐為、許至榮(19970700)。臺灣股票集中與店頭市場價量因果關係之探討。證券金融,54,19-32。  延伸查詢new window
12.Dickey, David A.、Fuller, Wayne A.(1981)。Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root。Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society,49(4),1057-1072。  new window
13.Dickey, David A.、Fuller, Wayne A.(1979)。Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root。Journal of the American Statistical Association,74(366),427-431。  new window
學位論文
1.陳立國(1993)。台灣股市價量關係之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳東明(1991)。台灣股票市場價量關係之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.劉永欽(1996)。臺灣股票市場價量之線性與非線性Granger因果關係之研究(碩士論文)。國立交通大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.鄭淙仁(1992)。臺灣股市日內價量關係之探討(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.徐合成(1994)。臺灣股市股票報酬率與交易量關係之實證研究--GARCH模型之應用(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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