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題名:Affordability, Speculation and House Price in Taipei
書刊名:住宅學報
作者:吳森田吳祥華
作者(外文):Wu, Sun-tienWu, Shyang-hwa
出版日期:2004
卷期:13:2
頁次:頁1-22
主題關鍵詞:支付能力抵押貸款比率抵押貸款成數家戶抵押貨款支出成數投機行為AffordabilityMortgage financing factorsSpeculative behaviorMarket price
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:56
本文嚐試以修正的支付能力(affordability)概念詮釋近二十年來大臺北地區住屋市場的價格行為。所謂修正的支付能力概念,係在傳統的房價與家戶所得變數之外,再將抵押貸款利率、貸款成數以及家戶的抵押貸款支出占預算的比率等因素納入考慮。 所進行的統計分析,顯示大臺北地區房價研究期間的上漲,主要還是因為市民的支付能力,尤其是抵押融資與預算二因子的改善。
The paper tries to explain the price behavior of the housing market in Taipei metropolitan area for the last two decades with modified concept of affordability that takes mortgage financing factors as well as household’s budget appropriation for housing expenditure into account. The purpose of the modification is to construct a variable that, to a large extent, can represent the changes of the economic fundamentals in a coherent way so that the influence of this variable on the price of houses can be more readily estimated and/or analyzed. The results of empirical studies show that the author’s hypothesis that the movements of the market price of houses in the period studied can explained by the changes in people’s afforadbilities and their speculative behavior is by and large confirmed.
期刊論文
1.Kim, Kyung-Hwan、Suh, Seoung Hwan(1993)。Speculation and price bubbles in the Korean and Japanese real estate markets。The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,6(1),73-87。  new window
2.DiPasquale, D.、Wheaton, W. C.(1994)。Housing Market Dynamics and the Future of Housing Prices。Journal of Urban Economics,35(1),1-27。  new window
3.Linneman, Peter D.、Megbolugbe, Isaac F.(1992)。Housing Affordability: Myth or Reality?。Urban Studies,29(3/4),369-392。  new window
4.Dickey, David A.、Fuller, Wayne A.(1979)。Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root。Journal of the American Statistical Association,74(366),427-431。  new window
5.Perron, Pierre(1989)。The Great Crash, the Oil Price Shock, and the Unit Root Hypothesis。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,57(6),1361-1401。  new window
6.Abraham, J. M.、Hendershott, H. P.(1996)。Bubbles in Metropolitan Housing Markets。Journal of Housing Research,7(2),191-207。  new window
7.Koskela, E. H.、Leikkanen, A.、Viren, M.(1992)。House Prices, Household Saving and Financial Market Liberalization in Finland。European Economic Review,36。  new window
8.Tseng, Ping-Yi(1993)。An Analysis of Affordability with the Ratio of House Price to Annual Household Income。Quarterly Journal of the Bank of Taiwan,2(44)。  new window
9.Tseng, Ping-Yi(1994)。Primary Exploration of Housing Affordability in Metropolitan Area。Journal of City and Planning,2(21)。  new window
會議論文
1.林祖嘉、林素菁(1995)。臺灣地區住宅價格的泡沫現象。臺灣經濟學會年會,295-313。  延伸查詢new window
2.張金鶚、Liu, Shio-Ling(1992)。An Investigation of the Quality and Price of Real Estate and Price Index。Taipei。  new window
3.Hsu, Kung-Jung(1992)。An Analysis of User-Cost and Investment-Gain for Explaining Housing Market in Taiwan and Studying Policy Implications。Taipei。  new window
4.Hsueh, L. M.、Chen, S. L.(1996)。Housing Price, Affordability, Tenure Choice, Ownership Rate and Their Interrelationship。沒有紀錄。  new window
5.Lin, S. J.、Lin, C. C.(1997)。Housing Demand, House Prices, and the Loan to Value Ratios。Taipei。  new window
6.Shei, L. M.(1990)。An Estimate of Price Appreciation Determinants in the City of Taipei。Taipei。  new window
7.Wu, Sun-Tien、Tsai, Hsung-Hsiung(1984)。An Empirical Study on the Demand for Newly Constructed Houses, a case Study of Taipei。Taipei。  new window
研究報告
1.Feng, C. M.(1990)。臺北都會區房價與房價支付能力之研究。Republic of China。  延伸查詢new window
2.Hsueh, L. M.(1996)。An Investigation of the Reasonable House Price for the Taiwan Area。Republic of China。  new window
圖書
1.Sargent, T. J.(1987)。Macroeconomic theory。New York:Boston:Academic Press。  new window
其他
1.陳南光(1998)。Asset Prices Inflation in Taiwan: Evidence from Stock and Real Estate Prices during 1973-1992,沒有紀錄。  new window
圖書論文
1.Blanchard, Olivier J.、Watson, Mark W.(1982)。Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets。Crises in the Economic and Financial Structure。Lexington, MA:Lexington Books。  new window
 
 
 
 
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