:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:臺灣不動產市場從眾行為之檢視
書刊名:管理與系統
作者:陳明吉 引用關係曾琬婷
作者(外文):Chen, Ming-chiTseng, Wan-ting
出版日期:2008
卷期:15:4
頁次:頁591-615
主題關鍵詞:從眾行為不動產CSSD模型CSAD模型因果關係HerdingReal estateCSAD modelCSSD modelCausality
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:6
  • 共同引用共同引用:91
  • 點閱點閱:52
本研究旨在檢視國內不動產市場投資者是否有從眾行爲之現象,以及從眾行爲與不動產市場狀態之間的關係。本文以不動產三個次市場:預售屋、成屋與土地三市場進行實證分析。實證結果的確發現有從眾行爲,也就是當市場價格上漲時,預售屋市場個別區域報酬率有齊漲的從眾行爲情況,但各市場價格下跌時,從眾行爲結論則較不一致。其次,不動產次市場中的預售屋與成屋市場都有遞延的從眾行爲,而成屋市場有較強的遞延現象可能是因爲資訊比預售屋市場更爲封閉。最後,從不動產價格波動與從眾行爲之因果檢定,指出從眾行爲無法促進不動產市場之效率,但從市場交易量與從眾行為之因果檢定,可確認不動產市場投資者有追隨群體之現象。
The paper examines herding behavior of the Taiwan real estate market and whether herding behavior affects market condition. Three types of the real estate market, including pre-sale housing, existing housing and land markets, are empirically tested. Our results suggest when markets boom, evidence of herding behavior is found in the pre-sale housing market. However, when markets are sluggish, existences of herding behavior are not conclusive in these three markets. Herding behavior is lagged in the real estate market due to information insufficient, especially in the existing housing market. The Granger causality test indicates herding and price volatility are related, implying herding is not able to make market more efficient. Transaction volume Granger casues herding, reconfirming that investors are sensitive to price changes in the markets.
期刊論文
1.陳明吉、蔡怡純(2007)。房價蛛網與投資人行為。經濟論文,35(3),315-344。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Bowe, M.、Domuta, D.(2004)。Investor Herding during Financial Crisis: A Clinical Study of the Jakarta Stock Exchange。Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,12(4),387-418。  new window
3.Northcraft, G. B.、Neale, M. A.(1987)。Experts, Amateurs, and Real Estate: An Anchoring-and-adjustment Perspective on Property Pricing Decisions。Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,39(1),84-97。  new window
4.彭建文、張金鶚(20000600)。預期景氣與宣告效果對房地產景氣影響之研究。管理學報,17(2),343-368。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.陳明吉、Patel, Kanak(20021200)。An Empirical Analysis of Determination of Housing Prices in the Taipei Area。經濟論文叢刊,30(4),563-595。new window  new window
6.Iihara, Y.、Kato, H. K.、Tokunaga, T.(2001)。Investors' herding on the Tokyo stock exchange。International Review of Finance,2(1/2),71-98。  new window
7.周賓凰、池祥萱、周冠男、龔怡霖(2002)。行為財務學--文獻回顧與展望。證券市場發展季刊,14(2)=54,1-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.Devenow, Andrea、Welch, Ivo(1996)。Rational Herding in Financial Economics。European Economic Review,40(3-5),603-615。  new window
9.Wermers, R.(1999)。Mutual Fund Herding and Impact on Stock Price。Journal of Finance,54(2),581-622。  new window
10.De Long, J. Bradford、Shleifer, Andrei、Summers, Lawrence H.、Waldmann, Robert J.(1990)。Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation。Journal of Finance,45(2),379-395。  new window
11.Nofsinger, John R.、Sias, Richard W.(1999)。Herding and Feedback Trading by Institutional and Individual Investors。The Journal of Finance,54(6),2263-2295。  new window
12.Granger, Clive W. J.(1969)。Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,37(3),424-438。  new window
13.Lakonishok, Josef、Shleifer, Andrei、Vishny, Robert W.(1992)。The Impact of Institutional Trading on Stock Prices。Journal of Financial Economics,32(1),23-43。  new window
14.Christie, William G.、Huang, Roger D.(1995)。Following the pied piper: Do individual returns herd around the market?。Financial Analysts Journal,51(4),31-37。  new window
15.De Bondt, Werner F. M.、Thaler, Richard H.(1985)。Does the Stock Market Overreact?。The Journal of Finance,40(3),793-805。  new window
16.蔡怡純、陳明吉(2004)。臺北地區住宅市場結構性轉變與價格均衡調整。都市與計劃,31(4),365-390。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.Chang, E. C.、Cheng, J. W.、Khorana, A.(2000)。An Examination of Herding Behaviour in Equity Markets: An International Perspective。Journal of Banking & Finance,24(10),1651-1679。  new window
18.Wong, K. Y.(2001)。Housing Market Bubbles and the Currency Crisis: The Case of Thailand。The Japanese Economic Review,52(4),382-404。  new window
會議論文
1.林祖嘉、林素菁(1995)。臺灣地區住宅價格的泡沫現象。臺灣經濟學會年會,295-313。  延伸查詢new window
2.楊宗憲、張金鶚(2000)。臺北市成屋價格泡沫之多少?。屏東。15-29。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.張金鶚(1999)。住宅資訊系統之整合與規劃研究。國立政治大學台灣房地產研究中心。  延伸查詢new window
2.張金鶚(1995)。台灣地區住宅價格指數之研究。  延伸查詢new window
3.Baddeley, M.(2005)。Housing Bubbles, Herdings and Frenzies: Evidence from British Housing Markets。0。  new window
4.Jones, S. L.、Lee, D.、Weis, E.(1999)。Herding and Feedback Trading by Different Types of Institutions and the Effects on Stock Price。0。  new window
學位論文
1.周世賢(1994)。台北市不動產泡沫現象之研究(碩士論文)。國立台灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.蔡怡純,陳明吉(2008)。臺北地區不動產價格波動之不對稱性探討,0。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.臺閩地區都市地價指數,0。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
:::
無相關著作
 
QR Code
QRCODE