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題名:資訊、雜訊與新上市公司股票績效
書刊名:中山管理評論
作者:陳振遠 引用關係王朝仕 引用關係湯惠雯 引用關係
作者(外文):Chen, Roger C. Y.Wang, Chao-shiTang, Hui-wen
出版日期:2006
卷期:14:3
頁次:頁605-637
主題關鍵詞:新上市公司股票雜訊交易效率市場假說混合自我迴歸移動平均模式Fama-French三因子模式IPONoise tradeEfficient market hypothesisARMAFama-French three factors model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(7) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:70
  • 點閱點閱:113
投資人在無法完全瞭解或獲取資訊的情況下,可能僅以其主觀偏好或其他非理性的行為進行投資決策的判斷,也造就雜訊交易的行為,而雜訊交易亦將影響均衡價格的形成過程。尤其新上市公司股票在交易初期,並無過去股票價格可供投資人參考,故其股票績效即成為探討資訊績效與雜訊績效的最佳範例。本研究根據報酬的可預測性以及ARMA的邏輯,將均衡價格拆解出資訊成份與雜訊成份,並將其分別為資訊績效與雜訊績效的代理變數,期望能深入暸解投資人在操作行為上的差異。實證結果顯示,資訊績效不但高於雜訊績效,且其長期的走勢亦較為平穩,而雜訊續效的走勢則呈現大漲大跌的波動現象。換言之,依雜訊進行交易的投資人,即使承擔高度的風險,但其獲利情況就明顯不如依資訊交易的投資人,亦即投資人對於資訊的瞭解程度足以使其他條件發生改變,進而影響風險與報酬之間的關係。
While the investors can't understand or obtain totally accurate information, they may develop investing strategy by preference or irrational behavior that is commonly known as "noise trade". Noise trade adversely affects the process of equilibrium price, most notably during the inception of IPO, which prevents past prices from being used as reference. Therefore, the IPO stock performance becomes the best way to compare information- and noise-performance. According to return predictability and logic of ARMA, we separate the equilibrium price into information and noise components and they are also the proxy variables of information- and noise-performance. We find out that information-performance is not only higher but also steadier in long-term tendency than noise-performance, and noise-performance is far more fluctuating and those investing by noise accept significantly higher risks, and generate less revenue than those investing by information. Consequently, the more reliable information available will greatly increase the chance of tipping the scales to affect the fundamental relationship between risk and return.
期刊論文
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3.Levis, M.(1993)。The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings: The UK Experience 1980-1988。Financial Management,22(1),28-41。  new window
4.Chen, Anlin、Chen, Roger C. Y.、Pan, Kuei-ling(20020600)。The Performance of Initial Public Offerings Conditioning on Issue Information: The Case of Taiwan。Asia Pacific Management Review,7(2),167-189。new window  new window
5.Hirshleifer, David、Shumway, Tyler(2003)。Good Day Sunshine: Stock Returns and the Weather。The Journal of Finance,58(3),1009-1032。  new window
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7.陳安琳(20011200)。The Long-Run Performance Puzzle of Initial Public Offerings in Taiwan: Empirical Findings from Various Models。財務金融學刊,9(3),1-20。new window  new window
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9.Brav, A.、Geczy, C.、Gompers, P. A.(2000)。Is the Abnormal Return Following Equity Issuances Anomalous?。Journal of Financial Economics,56,209-249。  new window
10.顧廣平(20030400)。臺灣新上市股票短期與長期績效之再探討。證券市場發展,15(1)=57,1-39。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Aggarwal, Reena、Rivoli, Pietra(1990)。Fads in the initial public offering market?。Financial Management,19(4),45-57。  new window
12.Rock, Kevin(1986)。Why New Issues Are Underpriced?。Journal of Financial Economics,15(1/2),187-212。  new window
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14.Banz, Rolf W.(1981)。The Relationship Between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks。Journal of Financial Economics,9(1),3-18。  new window
15.Brav, A.、Gompers, P. A.(1997)。Myth or Reality? The Long-Run Underperformance of Initial Public Offerings: Evidence from Venture and Nonventure Capital-Backed Companies。Journal of Finance,52(5),1791-1821。  new window
16.Ibbotson, Roger G.(1975)。Price performance of common stock new issues。Journal of Financial Economics,2(3),235-272。  new window
17.Spiess, D. Katherine、Affleck-Graves, John(1995)。Underperformance in long-run stock returns following seasoned equity offerings。Journal of Financial Economics,38(3),243-267。  new window
18.Loughran, Tim、Ritter, Jay R.(1995)。The New Issues Puzzle。The Journal of Finance,50(1),23-51。  new window
19.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
20.Black, Fisher(1986)。Noise。Journal of Finance,41(3),529-543。  new window
21.de Long, J. Bradford、Shleifer, Andrei、Summers, Lawrence H.、Waldmann, Robert J.(1990)。Noise trader risk in financial markets。Journal of Political Economy,98(4),703-738。  new window
22.Ritter, Jay R.(1991)。The Long-run Performance of Initial Public Offerings。Journal of Finance,46(1),3-27。  new window
23.Ritter, Jay R.(1984)。The "Hot Issue" Market of 1980。Journal of Business,57(2),215-240。  new window
24.Tversky, Amos、Kahneman, Daniel(1981)。The Framing of Decisions and the Psychology of Choice。Science,211(4481),453-458。  new window
25.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1993)。Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds。Journal of Financial Economics,33(1),3-56。  new window
26.Fama, Eugene F.(1970)。Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work。The Journal of Finance,25(2),383-417。  new window
27.Fama, Eugene F.、French, Kenneth R.(1992)。The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns。The Journal of Finance,47(2),427-465。  new window
28.Rosenberg, Barr、Reid, Kenneth、Lanstein, Ronald(1985)。Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency。Journal of Portfolio Management,11(3),9-16。  new window
29.陳隆麒、翁霓、郭敏華(1995)。雜訊交易對臺灣地區投資人行為及股價之影響。證券市場發展季刊,7(1),101-124。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.陳振遠、王朝仕、湯惠雯(2004)。IPO短期與長期績效之研究。21世紀產業經營管理國際學術研討會。國立高雄應用科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Box, G. E. P.、Jenkins, G. M.、Reinsel, G. C.(1976)。Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control。San Francisco:Holden-Day。  new window
 
 
 
 
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