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題名:考慮偏態因素之投資組合選擇:臺灣股市之實證
書刊名:中原企管評論
作者:周建新 引用關係姚亮民張千雲 引用關係
作者(外文):Chou, Jian-hsinYao, Liang-minChang, Chien-yun
出版日期:2006
卷期:4:1
頁次:頁95-114
主題關鍵詞:多目標投資組合規劃偏態亞洲金融風暴Polynomial goal programmingSkewnessAsia financial crisis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 共同引用共同引用:5
  • 點閱點閱:30
許多實證研究指出股票投資報酬率並不一定服從常態分配,因此投資人可藉由極大化預測報酬率及偏態,建構一個投資組合,以規避下方 風險。本文以1997年金融風暴前後,臺灣股市資料為例,利用多項式目標規劃法,藉由極大化股票報酬率及偏態,來檢驗偏態投資組合能否獲 得較大盤為佳之報酬。實證結果發現,在金融風暴後,利用多項式目標規劃法所建構之偏態投資組合,普遍具有抗跌效果,當大盤下跌時,偏 態投資組合之報酬率下跌幅度較小;但當大盤上漲時,偏態投資組合之報酬率則低於買進與持有策略。此外實證結果亦發現投資組合之偏態效 應,不具備長期持續效果,亦即投資者於進行投資組合操作時,仍須不斷修正其偏態投資組合之投資比率。
Lots of empirical studies indicate that the distribution of equity returns is not necessarily a normal distribution. When the presence of skewness occurs, it is possible for the investors to construct an equity portfolio by maximizing equity's expected return and skewness simultaneously, consequently avoiding the market's downside risk. This paper uses the polynomial goal programming to maximize the expected return and skewness, and to test whether the optimal equity portfolio can earn an excess return than the stock index. The evidences conclude that, after the Asia financial crisis, our selected portfolios have better performance than the stock index in the bear market. However, in the bull market, the evidences show that the buying and holding strategy outperforms our equity portfolio. In addition, it is apparent that the performance persistence of the selected portfolio with skewness is limited. Rather, it appears that the investors or portfolio managers should regularly by periods modify their investment weights for the portfolio based on skewness.
期刊論文
1.Chunhachinda, P.、Dandapani, K.、Hamid, S.、Prakash, A. J.(1997)。Portfolio Selection and skewness: Evidence from international stock markets。Journal of Banking & Finance,21,143-167。  new window
2.Lai, T. Y.(1991)。Portfolio selection with skewness: a multiple-objective approach。Review of the Quantitative Finance and Accounting,1,293-305。  new window
3.Prakash, A. J.、Chang, C. H.、Pactwa, T. E.(2003)。Selecting a portfolio with skewness: Recent evidence from US, European, and Latin American equity markets。Journal of Banking & Finance,27(7),1375-1390。  new window
4.王凱立、林嘉慧(20030800)。條件高階動差於財務金融市場之應用。財務金融學刊,11(2),1-42。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Sharpe, William F.(1963)。A simplified model for portfolio analysis。Management Science,9(2),277-293。  new window
6.Kraus, Alan、Litzenberger, Robert H.(1976)。Skewness preference and the valuation of risk assets。Journal of Finance,31(4),1085-1100。  new window
7.Evans, John L.、Archer, Stephen H.(1968)。Diversification and the reduction of dispersion: An empirical analysis。Journal of Finance,23,761-767。  new window
8.蔡蕙安、劉昭賢(1999)。「偏態與峰態訊息在臺灣票市場的實證分析」。臺灣銀行季刊,第五十卷第四期,86-129。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.ArdittiArditti, F. D., Levy, H.(1975)。“Portfolio Efficiency Analysis in Three Moments: The Multi-Period Case”。Journal of Finance,vol.30,no.3,797-809。  new window
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11.Lai, T. Y., Fang, H.(1997)。“Co-Kurtosis and Capital Asset Pricing”。The Financial Review,vol.32, no.2,293-307。  new window
12.Mao, J. C. T.(1970)。“Essentials of Portfolio Diversification Strategy”。Journal of Finance,vol.25,1109-1121。  new window
13.Markowitz, H.(1952)。“Portfolio Eelection”。Journal of Finance,vol.7,no.1,77-91。  new window
14.Markowitz, H.(1991)。Foundations of Portfolio Theory。Journal of Finance,46(2),469-477。  new window
15.Stephens, A., Proffitt, D.(1991)。“Performance Measurement When Return Distributions Are Nonsymmetric”。Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics,vol.30, no.4,23-41。  new window
研究報告
1.Konno, H.,Yamazaki, H.(1990)。A Mean-Absolute Deviation-Skewness Portfolio Optimization Model。  new window
學位論文
1.莊政儒(2000)。台灣股價指數報酬分配常性與投資組合之探討。  延伸查詢new window
2.潘建信(1998)。投資組合選擇-考慮偏態。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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