:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:家計單位的旅遊消費支出之研究--Heckman two-stage估計法
書刊名:餐旅暨家政學刊
作者:謝淑芬
作者(外文):Hsieh, Shu-fen
出版日期:2007
卷期:4:1
頁次:頁1-20
主題關鍵詞:Heckman二階段估計法Tobit模型旅遊消費家計單位Heckman two-stage approachTobit modelTravel expendituresHousehold
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:69
鑑於國際觀光客的消費支出帶給觀光接受國外匯收入增加與在經濟上產生的乘數效果,觀光事業受到各國之重視,觀光客消費支出之相關議題亦一直受到各國學術單位的關注與研究。鑒於諸多研究皆以最小平方法(OLS)或TOBIT估計旅遊消費支出,忽略旅遊參與需求(去/不去)對旅遊消費支出的影響。若將這兩種決策分開估計,將導致樣本選擇性偏誤而造成估計上的誤差出現。本文採用1999-2003年的「中華民國臺灣地區家庭收入之暨個人所得分配訪問調查」資料,並將旅遊參與需求區分為「國內旅遊參與」與「國外旅遊參與」,利用Heckman二階段迴歸估計法,同時增列不考慮旅遊參與之下OLS與Tobit法分別估計國內與國外旅遊消費支出。研究結果發現,不論是國內旅遊亦或國外旅遊消費支出都會受到國內或國外旅遊需求的影響,因此亦可證實旅遊需求與旅遊消費支出是聯合決定的。
International tourist expenditures can have successive and magnified impacts on a host country's economy and create the induced multiplier effect. Hence, the travel industry is valued highly by all countries and issues regarding travel expenditures have received the greatest attention from scholars. Most previous studies on travel expenditure, which used OLS regression or the Tobit estimator, ignored the effect of travel needs (participant or non-participant) on travel expenditure. If these two categories were analyzed separately, it would result in biased and inconsistent estimates and yield straightforward interpretations. We collected the data for this study from the Taiwan Household survey covering the period 1999-2003 and focused on a sample consisting of 68,470 people. Travel needs were divided into “domestic travel choice” and “outbound choice,” and a two-stage Heckman model was used to evaluate the factors associated with the probability of participation and actual spending, respectively. The OLS and Tobit estimates are also reported to estimate domestic and outbound travel expenditures separately, without taking into consideration the probability of participation. Therefore, we conclude that domestic or outbound travel expenditures are influenced by probability of participation decisions. The results also identify the decision of travel participation and travel expenditures that are jointly made.
期刊論文
1.Legre, Joaquin A.、Pou, Lorenc L.(2004)。Micro-economic Determinants of the Probability of Tourism Consumption。Tourism Economics,10,125-144。  new window
2.Jang, S. C.、Bai, B.、Hong, G. S.、O'Leary, J. T.、Jang, S. S.(2004)。Understanding Travel Expenditure Patterns: A Study of Japanese Pleasure Travelers to the United States by Income Level。Tourism Management,25(3),331-341。  new window
3.Hong, G. S.、Fan, J. X.、Palmer, L.、Bhargava, V.(2005)。Leisure Travel Expenditure Patterns by Family Life Cycle Stages。Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,18(2),15-30。  new window
4.Leones, J.、Colby, B.、Crandall, K.(1998)。Tracking Expenditures of the Elusive Nature Tourists of Southeastern Arizona。Journal of Travel Research,36(3),56-64。  new window
5.Nichols, C. M.、Snepenger, David J.(1988)。Family decision making and tourism behavior and attitudes。Journal of Travel Research,26(4),2-6。  new window
6.Nicolau, J. L.、Más, F. J.(2005)。Heckit Modeling of Tourist Expenditure: Evidence from Spain。International Journal of Service Industry Management,16(3),271-293。  new window
7.Cai, L. A.(1999)。Relationship of household characteristics and lodging expenditure on leisure trips。Journal of Hospitality & Leisure Marketing,6(2),5-18。  new window
8.Dardis, R.、Soberon-Ferrer, H.、Patro, D.(1994)。Analysis of leisure expenditures in the United States。Journal of Leisure Research,26(4),309-321。  new window
9.Dellaert, B. G.、Ettema, D. F.、Lindh, C.(1998)。Multi-faceted tourist travel decisions: a constraint-based conceptual framework to describe tourists' sequential choices of travel components。Tourism Management,19(4),313-320。  new window
10.Cai, L. A.、Hong, G.、Morrison, A.(1995)。Household Expenditure Patterns for Tourism Products and Services。Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,4(4),15-40。  new window
11.Lawson, R.(1991)。Patterns of tourist expenditure and types of vacation across the family life cycle。Journal of Travel Research,29(4),12-18。  new window
12.Cai, L. A.(1998)。Analyzing household food expenditure patterns on trips and vacations: A tobit model。Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research,22(4),338-358。  new window
13.Cannon, T.、Ford, J.(2002)。Relationship of demographic and trip characteristics to visitor spending: An analysis of sports travel visitors across time。Tourism Economics,8(3),263-271。  new window
14.Peterson, M.、Lambert, S. L.(2003)。A Demographic Perspective on U.S. Consumers' Out-of Town Vacationing and Commercial Lodging Usage While on Vacation。Journal of Travel Research,42(2),116-124。  new window
15.Jenkins, R. L.(1979)。Family vacation decision-making。Journal of Travel Research,16(4),2-7。  new window
16.Heckman, James J.(1976)。The Common Structure of Statistical Models of Truncation, Sample Selection and Limited Dependent Variables and a Simple Estimator for Such Models。Annals of Economic and Social Measurement,5(4),475-492。  new window
17.Iverson, T. J.(1997)。Japanese visitors to Guam: Lessons from experience。Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,6(1),41-54。  new window
18.Dardis, R. D.、Derrick, F.、Lehfeld, A.、Wolfe, E.(1981)。Cross-section studies of recreational expenditures in the United Sates。Journal of Leisure Research,13(3),181-194。  new window
19.Fish, M.、Waggle, Doug(1996)。Current Income versus Total Expenditure Measures in Regression Models of Vacation and Pleasure Travel。Journal of Travel Research,35(2),70-74。  new window
20.Thrane, C.(2002)。Jazz festival visitors and their expenditures: Linking spending patterns to musical interest。Journal of Travel Research,40(3),281-286。  new window
圖書
1.Mathieson, Alister、Wall, Geoffrey(1982)。Tourism: Economic, Physical And Social Impacts。Longman。  new window
其他
1.Crouch G.(1994)。The study of international tourism demand: A review of findings。  new window
2.Blazey, M. A.(1987)。The differences between participants and non-participants in a senior travel program。  new window
3.Coenen, M. & Van Eekeren, L.(2003)。A study of the demand for domestic tourism by Swedish households using a two-staged budgeting model.。  new window
4.Davies, B., & Mangan, J.(1992)。Family expenditure on hotels and holidays.。  new window
5.Eugenio-Martin, J. L.(2003)。Modeling determinants of tourism demand as a five-stage process: A discrete choice methodological approach。  new window
6.Frechtling, D. C.(2006)。An assessment of visitor expenditure methods and models。  new window
7.Hong, G., Kim, S.Y., & Lee, J.(1999)。Travel expenditure patterns of elderly households in the US。  new window
8.Lazaridis, P.(2003)。Household meat demand in Greece: A demand systems approach using microdata。  new window
9.Lazaridis, P.(2004)。Olive oil consumption in Greece: A micro econometric analysis。  new window
10.Lee, H, C.(2001)。Determinants of recreational boater expenditures on trips。  new window
11.Matteo, L. D., & Matteo, R. D.(1993)。The determinants of expenditures by Canadian visitors to the United States。  new window
12.McGuire, F. A., Dottavio, d. O'Leary, J. T.(1986)。Constraints to participation in outdoor recreation across the life span: A nationwide study of limiters and prohibitors。  new window
13.Mok, C., & Iverson, T. J.(2000)。Expenditure-based segmentation: Taiwanese tourists to Guam。  new window
14.Pan, M. C.(1994)。Household travel consumption: Application of limited dependent variable models。  new window
15.Rapoport, R. & Rapoport, R. N.(1975)。Leisure and family life cycle,Boston, MA:Routledge and Kegen Paul。  new window
16.Song, H. & Witt, S. E.(2000)。Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: Modern Econometric Approaches。  new window
17.Taylor, D. T., Fletcher, T. & Clabaugh, R. R(1993)。A comparison of characteristics, regional expenditures, and economic impact of visitors to historical sites with other recreational visitors.。  new window
18.Thornton, P. R., Shaw, G. & Williams, A. M.(1997)。Tourist group holiday decision making and behavior: The influence of children。  new window
19.Van Raaij, W. F. & Francken, D. A(1984)。Vacation destinations activities and satisfactions.。  new window
20.Yang, S. J., & Magrabi, F.(1989)。Expenditure for service, wife's employment, and other hpusehold characteristics。  new window
21.Zimmer, Z., Brayley, R. E., & Searle, M. S.(1995)。Whether to go and where to go: Identification of important influences on seniors' decision to travel。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE