臺灣人文及社會科學引文索引資料庫系統

:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
第 1 筆 / 總合 1 筆   第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁
/1頁
題名：考慮碳吸存價格下最適輪伐期與土地期望價之實證分析
書刊名：農業經濟叢刊
作者：林國慶／柳婉郁 引用關係
作者(外文)：Lin, Kuo-ching／Liu, Wan-yu
出版日期：2007
卷期：13:1
頁次：頁1-35
主題關鍵詞：碳吸存；最適輪伐期；碳價格；林業政策；Carbon sequestration；Optimal forest rotation；Carbon price；Forestry policy
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:67
在京都議定書的規範下，採用經濟誘因方式鼓勵造林來增加森林碳吸存，一般被認為是達到減量標準的有效方式。本研究分析私有林在最適管理策略下之碳吸存誘因效果，其理論模型修正自Hoen(1994)與Murray(2003)之最適輪伐期模型，藉由碳吸存價格下森林最適輪伐期理論之引入，除修正原木價格與造林成本隨林齡變動外，亦考量砍伐成本，並考慮臺灣現況以追求林地期望價值極大化，模擬分析杉木在不同碳價格對最適輪伐期、碳吸存效果、土地期望價與碳吸存機會成本之影響，以及分析碳價格是否對已成林地有縮短輪伐期之效果。根據本研究以杉木為例之模擬結果，若為裸露林地，考慮碳價格為每公噸1,400元以上時，地主將會延長輪伐期為28年以上（不存在碳價格時之輪伐期為20年），林地期望價值提升為每公頃3,845,261.01元，碳吸存量每公頃將增加為2,192.20公噸。其次，對於開始給予獎勵給付時林齡為10年之杉木已林地，若碳價格為每公噸1,000元以上時，則地主之最佳決策為立即砍伐林木，再予以重新造林，以提早進入領取碳價格之階段，故林齡為10年以下之林地將會被立即砍伐，造成森林外部效益之減損。臺灣目前並沒有碳價格，但為了因應國際溫室氣體減量，未來無論是進行課徵碳稅、建立碳排放交易或碳價格給付等機制，都會對現存低林齡之已成林產生提早砍伐之誘因。若政府同時對新植造林與已成林之碳吸存提供碳價格給付，也可減輕已成林地提早砍伐的問題，其減輕程度則視對已成林之給付水準而定。
Economic incentives for sequestering atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO₂) in forests may be an effective way to meet greenhouse gas reduction commitments under the Kyoto Protocol. Based on the model developed by Hoen (1994) and Murray (2003), this paper combines an analytical model of the optimal forest rotation with both timber and carbon as priced outputs. A simulation is conducted by using cunnignhania lancelata as an example to determine the optimal forest rotation, the amount of carbon stock, and forest land values. It is found that for the bare forest land the carbon prices of $1,400 per metric ton-the highest price evaluated-can considerably lengthen forest rotations from 20 to 28 years, raise the forest land values to the level of $3,845,261.01 per hectare, and increase the amount of carbon sequestered up to 2,192.20 metric tons per hectare, relative to the base case of no carbon compensation. If the carbon payments are only made for the regenerated stand only, it will create an incentive for the forest owners to harvest the existing forest earlier. When the level of payment is high enough, the forest owners might harvest the existing forest immediately after the enforcement of the carbon payment. Based on our simulation results, it is optimal for forest owners to immediately harvest an 5-year-old stand and 10-year-old stand at carbon prices as low as $600 and $1,000 per metric ton, respectively. If carbon compensation were extended to existing stands, the incentives for prematurely harvesting existing stands would be lessened.
期刊論文
1.劉浚明(19970300)。疏伐作業影響輪伐期長短之研究。中華林學季刊，30(1)=116，71-84。  延伸查詢new window
2.劉浚明、鍾旭和(1993)。臺灣杉非線性收穫模式之建立。中華林學季刊，26(2)，39-49。  延伸查詢new window
3.林俊成、鄭美如、劉淑芬、李國忠(20020900)。全民造林運動二氧化碳吸存潛力之經濟效益評估。臺灣林業科學，17(3)，311-321。  延伸查詢new window
4.陳麗琴、黃進睦(19920900)。Weibull機率密度函數於蓮華池杉木人工林原木經濟價值之研究。林業試驗所研究報告季刊，7(3)，221-230。  延伸查詢new window
5.Van Kooten, G. C.、Binkley, C. S.、Delcourt, G.(1995)。Effect of Carbon Taxes and Subsidies on Optimal Forest Rotation Age and Supply of Carbon Services。American Journal of Agricultural Economics，77(2)，365-374。  new window
6.Hartman, Richard(1976)。The Harvesting Decision When a Standing Forest Has Value。Economic Inquiry，14(1)，52-58。  new window
7.陳麗琴(1987)。杉木原木最適材之經濟分析。林業試驗所研究報告季刊，2(3)，227-240。  延伸查詢new window
8.鄭欽龍(1994)。森林資源利用與永續性－森林最適輪伐期之探討。中華林學季刊，27(4)，63-74。  延伸查詢new window
9.李國忠、林俊成(2000)。森林營造與大氣碳吸存。現代育林，16(1)，10-14。  延伸查詢new window
10.Stevens, T. H.、Dennis, D.、Kittredge, D.、Rickenbach, M.(1999)。Attitudes and Preferences toward Co-operative Agreements for Management of Private Forestlands in the Northeastern United States。Journal of Environment Management，55(2)，81-90。  new window
11.Faustmann, M.(1849)。Calculation of the Value Which Forestland and Immature Stands Possess for Forestry。Journal of Forest Economics，1(1)，7-44。  new window
12.Murray, Brian C.(2000)。Carbon Values, Reforestation, and 'Perverse' Incentives under the Kyoto Protocol: An Empirical Analysis。Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change，5(3)，271-295。  new window
13.Chladná, Zuzana(2007)。Determination of Optimal Rotation Period under Stochastic Wood and Carbon Prices。Forest Policy and Economics，9(8)，1031-1045。  new window
14.Sampson, R. Neil、Sedjo, Roger A.(1997)。Economics of Carbon Sequestration in Forestry: An Overview。Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology，27(1)，1-8。  new window
15.Dixon, R. K.、Andrasko, K. J .、Sussman, F. J.、Lavinson, M. J.、Trexler, M. C.、Vinson, T. S.(1993)。Forest Sector Carbon Offset Projects: Near-term Opportunities to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Emissions。Water, Air, & Soil Pollution，70(1-4)，561-577。  new window
16.Marland, Gregg、Schlamadinger, Bernhard、Leiby, Paul(1997)。Forest/Biomass Based Mitigation Strategies: Does the Timing of Carbon Reductions Matter?。Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology，27(S1)，213-226。  new window
17.Fearnside, Philip M.(1995)。Global Warming Response Options in Brazil's Forest Sector: Comparison of Project-level Costs and Benefits。Biomass and Bioenergy，8(5)，309-322。  new window
18.Hardie, I. W.、Parks, P. J.(1991)。Individual Choice and Regional Acreage Response to Cost-sharing in the South, 1971-1981。Forest Science，37(1)，175-190。  new window
19.Romero, C.、Ros, V.、Daz-Balteiro, L.(1998)。Optimal Forest Rotation Age when Carbon Capture Is Considered: Theory and Applications。The Journal of the Operational Research Society，49(2)，121-131。  new window
20.Nagubadi, Venkatarao、McNamara, Kevin T.、Hoover, William L.、Mills, Walter L., Jr.(1996)。Program Participation Behavior of Nonindustrial Forest Landowners: A Probit Analysis。Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics，28(2)，323-336。  new window
21.Marland, Gregg、Marland, Scott(1992)。Should We Store Carbon in Trees?。Water, Air, & Soil Pollution，64(1/ 2)，181-195。  new window
22.English, B. C.、Bell, C. D.、Wells, G. R.、Roberts, R. K.(1997)。Stewardship Incentives in Forestry: Participation Factors in Tennessee。The Southern Journal of Applied Forestry，21(1)，5-10。  new window
23.Clinton, William J.、Gore, Albert, Jr.(1993)。The Climate Change Action Plan。White House Office of Environment Policy，2(1)，35-49。  new window
24.Hoen, H. F.(1994)。The Faustmann Rotation in the Presence of a Positive CO2-Price。Scandinavian Journal of Economics，35，278-288。  new window
25.Marland, Gregg、Schlamadinger, Bernhard(1999)。The Kyoto Protocol Could Make a Difference for the Optimal Forest-based CO2 Mitigation Strategy: Some Results from GORCAM。Environmental Science & Policy，2(2)，111-124。  new window
26.Schlamadinger, Bernhard、Marland, Gregg(1998)。The Kyoto Protocol: Provisions and Unresolved Issues Relevant to Land-use Change and Forestry。Environmental Science & Policy，1(4)，313-327。  new window
27.Cubbage, F. W.(2003)。The Value of Foresters。Forest Landowner，62(1)，16-19。  new window
28.Price, C.、Willis, R.(1993)。Time, Discounting and the Valuation of Forestry's Carbon Fluxes。Commonwealth Forestry Review，72(4)，265-271。  new window
會議論文
1.Solberg, B.(1997)。The Interface between Research and Policy Making in Forestry: Needs and Improvement Possibilities。0。  new window
2.Appels, D. C.(2001)。Forest Rotation Lengths under Carbon Sequestration Payments。0。  new window
研究報告
1.林國慶(2005)。京都議定書與平地景觀造林政策之研究 (計畫編號：94-00-5-01)。國立臺灣大學農業經濟學研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.林國慶(2006)。因應國際溫室氣體減量臺灣森林資源經營管理政策之調整。0。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Megalos, M. A.(2000)。North Carolina Landowner Responsiveness to Forestry Incentives，0。  new window
圖書
1.(1987)。Forest Management。Forest Management。New York, NY。  new window
2.Watson, Robert T.、Noble, Ian R.、Bolin, Bert、Ravindranath, N. H.、Verardo, David J.、Dokken, David J.(2000)。Land Use, Land-use Change, and Forestry: Summary for Policymakers。Land Use, Land-use Change, and Forestry: Summary for Policymakers。Geneva, Switzerland。  new window
3.Lorenzo, A. B.、Beard, P.(1996)。Factors Affecting the Decisions of NIPF Owners to Use Assistance Programs。Nonindustrial Private Forests: Learning from the Past, Prospects for the Future。St. Paul, MN。  new window
4.Hoen, Hans Fredrik、Solberg, Birger(1997)。CO2-Taxing, Timber Rotations, and Market Implications。Economics of Carbon Sequestration in Forestry。New York, NY。  new window
5.Esseks, J. D.、Moulton, R. J.(2000)。Evaluating the Forest Stewardship Program through a National Survey of Participating Forestland Owners。The Center for Governmental Studies, Social Science Research Institute。0。  new window
6.Murray, Brian C.(2003)。Economics of Forest Carbon Sequestration。Forests in a Market Economy。0。  new window
其他
1.(2005)。林業統計，臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE

臺灣人文及社會科學引文索引資料庫

目前上線人數：1233（臺灣：1227，外國：6） ／ 本年度總使用人次：2042760 ／ 訪客人次（自102年09月）：67848149
國家圖書館著作權聲明 Copyright © 2013 All rights reserved.
本館地址: 100201臺北市中山南路20號． 本館地圖及交通資訊．
總機：(02)23619132．最佳瀏覽解析度為1024x768以上