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題名:各種盈餘管理模型預測能力比較研究--以我國上市公司電子產業為例
書刊名:文大商管學報
作者:王春娥 引用關係楊清溪 引用關係
作者(外文):Wang, Chun-erhYang, Ching-his
出版日期:2007
卷期:12:2
頁次:頁65-94
主題關鍵詞:盈餘管理Modified Jones模型應計項目Industry模型Earnings managementModified Jones modelAccrual itemsIndustry model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:74
  • 點閱點閱:51
在盈餘管理方面國內對於盈餘管理之研究文獻頗多,但大都以Dechow, Sloan and Sweeney(1995)所提出的Modified Jones Model爲主。導致日後國內有關盈餘管理之研究皆延用此模型,但經過二十年的環境變遷因素,可能對原實證研究之模型有干擾,再加上國內與國外的產業特質可能有所不同,利用Modified Jones Model所計算裁決性應計項目是否爲最佳的預測能力之模型?我國上市電子產業業績衰退公司盈餘操縱使用的會計科目爲何?管理當局對於盈餘管理時機是否會對季盈餘進行操縱,時機爲何?爲了瞭解此問題,本研究針對Dechow et al.檢驗五種衡量模型作爲研究主題進行實證研究。本研究經過實證研究發現,在五種模型中以Industry Model對於盈餘管理會計資訊內涵偵測能力最強,而Modified Jones Model並非如預期中顯示出最大的檢定力,同時發現DeAngelo Model並未能有效偵測到盈餘管理會計資訊內涵;應計項目有關的個別會計科目以應收款項、應付款項、預付款項及折舊是管理當局常用來操縱盈餘項目;我國上市公司電子業業績衰退公司,在業績衰退期間會利用裁決性應計項目的動機及經營策略,且以前三季爲主要時機,並非傾向第三季爲主要控制時點。
Although many researches on earning management have been investigated for the past twenty years, they are mainly based on the Modified Jones Model proposed by Dechow, Sloan and Sweeney. However, due to the changes in industrial environment, and varied aspects among different enterprises in Taiwan, whether the Modified Jones Model remains the most appropriate and predictable one is to be further investigated. In addition, this paper also intends to conduct an empirical study based on Modified Jones Model to examine the following issues. First, the best time to operate quarter earning management. Secondly, the accounts used to manipulate for those declined companies in the electronic industry in Taiwan. This empirical study found that the industry model is very useful to detect the contents of information of the earnings management accounting. However, the modified Jones Model does not display the maximum detection effect as expected. At the same time, this study also found that the DeAngelo Model could not detect the contents of information of the earnings management accounting in a effective way. To the management, four individual accounting items related to accountable items are often used to get control of the earning items: Account receivable, account payable, pre-paid items, and depreciation ones. Taiwan's listed companies in electric industry always take advantage of the motives and operation strategies based on decisive accountable items while their sales performance is recessive. Furthermore, they always take the first three quarters as the main targets instead of the third quarter as the main control target.
期刊論文
1.薛敏正、林嬋娟(20030200)。自由現金流量與盈餘管理關聯性之研究。臺灣管理學刊,3(1),151-167。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.呂麒麟、向少華(20050100)。臺股機構投資人對經理人盈餘管理影響之研究。朝陽商管評論,4(1),1-21。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.中條佑介(1999)。業績低迷公司的會計政策。會計雜誌,155(1),39-54。  延伸查詢new window
4.林坤霖(19980700)。年度間盈餘管理與盈餘資訊關係之實證研究。正修學報,11,219-228。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.DeAngelo, Harry、DeAngelo, Linda(1990)。Dividend policy and financial distress: An empirical investigation of troubled NYSE firms。Journal of Finance,45(5),1415-1431。  new window
6.Bartov, Eli F.(1993)。The Timing of Asset Sales and Earnings Manipulation。The Accounting Review,68(4),840-855。  new window
7.Rangan, Srinivasan(1998)。Earnings Management and the Performance of Seasoned Equity Offerings。Journal of Financial Economics,50(1),101-122。  new window
8.Aharony, Joseph、Lin, Chan Jane、Loeb, Martin P.(1993)。Initial Public Offerings, Accounting Choices, and Earnings Management。Contemporary Accounting Research,10(1),61-81。  new window
9.Kaplan, R. S.(1985)。Comments on Paul Healy: evidence on the effect of bonus schemes on accounting procedure and accrual decisions。Journal of Accounting and Economics,7,109-113。  new window
10.徐清俊、陳宜鋒(20031200)。臺灣上市電子公司經理人員預測盈餘與盈餘管理之研究。德明學報,22,17-32。  延伸查詢new window
11.徐清俊、陳宜鋒(20040300)。經理人盈餘預測與盈餘管理之關聯性研究--以臺灣上市電子公司為例。宜蘭大學學報,2,127-138。  延伸查詢new window
12.Watts, Ross L.、Zimmerman, Jerold L.(1978)。Towards a positive theory of the determination of accounting standards。The Accounting Review,53(1),112-134。  new window
13.Jones, Jennifer J.(1991)。Earnings Management during Import Relief Investigations。Journal of Accounting Research,29(2),193-228。  new window
14.Dechow, Patricia M.、Sloan, Richard G.、Sweeney, Amy P.(1995)。Detecting earnings management。The Accounting Review,70(2),193-225。  new window
15.Healy, Paul M.(1985)。The Effect of Bonus Schemes on Accounting Decisions。Journal of Accounting and Economics,7(1-3),85-107。  new window
16.Healy, Paul M.、Wahlen, James M.(1999)。A review of the earnings management literature and its implications for standard setting。Accounting Horizons,13(4),365-383。  new window
17.Dechow, Patricia M.、Sloan, Richard G.(1991)。Executive Incentives and the Horizon Problem: An Empirical Investigation。Journal of Accounting and Economics,14(1),51-89。  new window
18.DeAngelo, Linda E.(1986)。Accounting numbers as market valuation substitutes: A study of management buyouts of public stockholders。The Accounting Review,61(3),400-420。  new window
19.Schipper, Katherine(1989)。Commentary on earnings management。Accounting Horizons,3(4),91-102。  new window
20.林嬋娟、洪櫻芬、薛敏正(19970300)。財務困難公司之盈餘管理實證研究。管理學報,14(1),15-38。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.劉啟群(19990700)。我國金融業會計損益項目季別分析:盈餘管理間接測試法。會計評論,31,63-79。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.DeAngelo, Harry、Skinner, Douglas J.、DeAngelo, Linda E.(1994)。Accounting choice in troubled companies。Journal of Accounting and Economics,17(1/2),113-143。  new window
學位論文
1.李佩芳(2003)。業績衰退公司之會計政策(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.葉容真(2001)。財務危機企業之盈餘管理--以臺灣上市公司為例(碩士論文)。國防管理學院。  延伸查詢new window
3.謝冬英(2004)。臺灣企業兩套帳盈餘管理個案分析(碩士論文)。東吳大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.管夢欣(1993)。長期性資產出售交易與盈餘操縱行為之關聯性實證研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.陳羿妏(2002)。業績衰退上櫃公司之盈餘管理研究(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.張漢傑(2004)。活學活用財報資訊--上市櫃公司真實案例大解析。臺北:梅霖文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.謝劍平(2003)。財務管理原理。臺北:智高文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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