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題名:Macroeconomic Impact on Partisanship in U.S.A.: A Political Economy Perspective
書刊名:中華行政學報
作者:黃國敏 引用關係
作者(外文):Hwang, Edward
出版日期:2004
卷期:1
頁次:頁65-83
主題關鍵詞:總體經濟政黨支持政治經濟學MacroeconomicPartisanshipPolitical economy
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:20
政治與經濟的關係究竟是如何?本文研究目的在探討美國總體經濟對政黨支持的影響;換言之,美國政府經濟績效的表現是否會影響選民的政黨支持?本研究建構美國政黨支持模型的六項迴歸方程式,但是六項迴歸方程式都未達顯著水準。所以無法推翻虛無假設:經濟情勢不能影響美國總統大選的政黨支持率,本項研究發現支持Kramer(1971: 141)的主張:“美國總統大選實質上是不理會經濟的情勢”。
What relation is between politic and economic? The research question of this paper is the macroeconomic impact on partisanship in U.S.A.; i.e., Whether the economic performances of the American government could influence citizens' partisanships or not? Six regression equations for the partisanship model have been constructed in this study. Unfortunately, none of them reach the significant level. So, we fail to reject the null hypothesis: the economic conditions cannot influence the voting rates for political parties in American Presidential elections. This research finding is consistent with Kramer's (1971: 141) declaration: "Presidential elections are substantially less responsive to economic conditions."
期刊論文
1.Kernell, Samuel(1978)。Explaining Presidential Popularity。American Political Science Review,72(2),506-522。  new window
2.Weisberg, Herbert F.、Smith, Charles E. Jr.(1991)。The Influence of the Economy on Party Identification in the Reagan Years。Journal of Politics,53(4),1077-1092。  new window
3.McIver, John P.、Carmines, Edward G.、Stimson, James A.(1987)。Unrealized Partisanship: A Theory of Dealignment。Journal of Politics,49(2),376-400。  new window
4.Niemi, Richard G.、Jennings, M. Kent(1991)。Issues and Inheritance in the Formation of Party Identification。American Journal of Political Science,35(4),970-988。  new window
5.Allsop, D.、Weisberg, H. F.(1988)。Measuring Change in Party Identification in an Election Campaign。American Journal of political Science,32,996-1017。  new window
6.Archer, K.、Johnson, M.(1988)。Mlation, Unemployment and Canadian Federal Voting Behavior。Canadian Journal of Political Science,21,3。  new window
7.Franklin, C. H.(1984)。Issue Preference, Socialization, and the Evolution of Party Identification。American Journal of Political Science,28,459-478。  new window
8.Jackson, John E.(1975)。Issues, Party Choice, and Presidential Votes。American Journal of Political Science,19,161-185。  new window
9.Kramer, G. H.(1971)。Short-Term Fluctuations in Voting Behavior, 1896-1964。American Political Science Review,65,131-143。  new window
10.Mattei, F.、Niemi, R. G.(1991)。Unrealized Partisans, Realized Independents, and the Intergenerational Transmission of Partisan Identification。Journal of Politics,53,161-174。  new window
11.Monroe, K. R.(1978)。Economic Influence on Presidential Popularity。Public Opinion Quarterly,42,360-369。  new window
12.Ostrom, C. W.、Simon, D. M.(1989)。The Man in the Teflon Suit? The Environmental Connection, Political Drama and Popular Support in the Reagan Administration。Public Opinion Quarterly,53,353-387。  new window
13.Balke, N. S.(1991)。Partisanship Theory, Macroeconomic Outcomes, and Endogenous Elections。Southern Economic Journal,57,920-935。  new window
14.Brody, R.、Rothenberg, L.(1988)。The Instability of Partisanship: An Analysis of the 1980 Presidential Election。British Journal of Political Science,18,445-465。  new window
15.Crain, W. M.、Deaton, T. H.、Tollison, R. D.(1978)。Macroeconomic Determinants of the Vote in Presidential Elections。Public Finance Quarterly,6(4),427-38。  new window
16.Golden, David G.、Poterba, James M.(1980)。The Price of Popularity: The Political Business Cycle Reexamined。American Journal of Political Science,24(4),696-714。  new window
17.Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr.(1977)。Political Parties and Macroeconomic Policy。American Political Science Review,71(4),1467-1487。  new window
18.MacKuen, Michael B.、Erikson, Robert S.、Stimson, James A.(1989)。Macropartisanship。American Political Science Review,83(4),1125-1142。  new window
19.Converse, Philip E.、Markus, Gregory B.(1979)。Plus ça change…: The New CPS Election Study Panel。American Political Science Review,73(1),2-49。  new window
圖書
1.Campbell, Angus、Converse, Philip E.、Miller, Warren E.、Stoke, Donald E.(1960)。The American Voters。New York, NY:John Wiley。  new window
2.Jennings, M. Kent、Niemi, Richard G.(1981)。Generations and Politics: A Panel Study of Youth Adults and Their Parents。Princeton, NJ:Princeton University Press。  new window
3.King, G.(1989)。Unifying Political Methodology: the likelihood theory of statistical inference。Cambridge。  new window
4.Fiorina, Morris P.(1981)。Retrospective Voting in American National Elections。Yale University Press。  new window
圖書論文
1.Hibbs, Douglas A. Jr.(1974)。Problems of statistical Estimation and Causal Inferences in Time-Series and Regression Models。Sociological Methodology 1973-1974。San Francisco:Jossey-Bass。  new window
 
 
 
 
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