:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:農產品期貨動態避險策略的評價
書刊名:農業與經濟
作者:巫春洲劉炳麟楊奕農 引用關係
作者(外文):Wu, Chun-chouLiu, NathanYang, Yi-nung
出版日期:2009
卷期:42
頁次:頁39-62
主題關鍵詞:動態避險策略期貨動態條件相關係數模型多變數GARCHDynamic hedging strategiesFuturesDynamic conditional correlation modelMultivariate GARCH
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:83
本文主要探討農產品(玉米、大豆、大豆油和小麥)與軟性商品(可可、咖啡、棉花和糖)期貨契約的避險策略。利用不同的動靜態策略來進行避險績效的比較,這些避險策略分別是傳統最小平方法(OLS)、移動樣本的最小平方法(rollover OLS)、固定條件相關係數模型(constant conditional correlation, CCC)與動態條件相關係 數模型(dynamic conditional correlation, DCC)。在極小化避險投資組合變異數的目標下,本研究發現考慮資產報酬數列條件異和資產間動態關係的DCC避險策略,可以有效改善農產品與軟性商品樣本外的避險績效。
This paper compares the hedging effectiveness of eight commodity futures (including corns, soybeans, soybean oil, wheat, cocoa, coffee, cotton, and sugar) based on the hedge ratios estimated from the conventional ordinary least squares (OLS) method, the rollover OLS method, the constant conditional correlation (CCC) model, and the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model. In the framework of minimizing hedging portfolio variances, we find that the hedging strategy of the DCC model, which explicitly considers heteroscedasticity and time-varying correlations between the spot and futures returns, outperforms the others in this study.
期刊論文
1.Moschini, Gian、Myers, Carlo Robert J.(2002)。Testing for Constant Hedge Ratios in Commodity Markets: A Multivariate GARCH Approach。Journal of Empirical Finance,9(5),589-603。  new window
2.Cotter, John、Hanly, Jim(2006)。Reevaluating Hedging Performance。Journal of Futures Markets,26(7),677-702。  new window
3.Baillie, R. T.、Myers, R. J.(1991)。Bivariate GARCH Estimation of the Optimal Commodity Futures Hedge。Journal of Applied Econometrics,6(2),109-124。  new window
4.Ederington, L. H.(1979)。The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Market。Journal of Finance,34(1),157-170。  new window
5.Tong, Wilson H. S.(1996)。An Examination of Dynamic Hedging。Journal of International Money and Finance,15(1),19-35。  new window
6.Engle, Robert F.、Kroner, Kenneth F.(1995)。Multivariate simultaneous generalized arch。Econometric Theory,11(1),122-150。  new window
7.Lien, D.、Tse, Y. K.、Tsui, A. K. C.(2002)。Evaluating the hedging performance of the constant-correlation GARCH model。Applied Financial Economics,12(11),791-798。  new window
8.Engle, Robert F.(2002)。Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models。Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,20(3),339-350。  new window
9.Bollerslev, Tim(1986)。Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity。Journal of Econometrics,31(3),307-327。  new window
10.Bollerslev, Tim、Engle, Robert F.、Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.(1988)。A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances。Journal of Political Economy,96(1),116-131。  new window
11.Bollerslev, Tim(1990)。Modelling the Coherence in Short-Run Nominal Exchange Rates: A Multivariate Generalized Arch Model。The Review of Economics and Statistics,72(3),498-505。  new window
12.Bollerslev, Tim、Chou, Ray Y.、Kroner, Kenneth F.(1992)。ARCH Modeling in Finance: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence。Journal of Econometrics,52(1/2),5-59。  new window
13.Engle, Robert F.、Granger, Clive W. J.(1987)。Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing。Econometrica,55(2),251-276。  new window
14.Johnson, Leland L.(1960)。The Theory of Hedging and Speculation in Commodity Futures。The Review of Economic Studies,27(3),139-151。  new window
15.Kroner, Kenneth F.、Sultan, Jahangir(1993)。Time-Varying Distributions and Dynamic Hedging with Foreign Currency Futures。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,28(4),535-551。  new window
16.Stein, Jerome L.(1961)。The Simultaneous Determination of Spot and Futures Prices。American Economic Review,51(5),1012-1025。  new window
17.Chou, R. Y.(2005)。Forecasting financial volatilities with extreme values: the conditional autoregressive range (CARR) Model。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,37(3),561-582。  new window
18.Engle, Robert F.(1982)。Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation。Econometrica,50(4),987-1008。  new window
19.Chen, Sheng-Syan、Lee, Cheng-Few、Shrestha, K.(2001)。Futures Hedge Ratios: A Review。The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance,43(3),433-465。  new window
20.Lei, L. F.、Ko, C. J.(1994)。Alternative Estimates of Optimal Hedge Ratio for Corn Soybeans, Cattle, and Hogs。Agriculture and Economics,15,69-85。  new window
21.Lien, Donald、Tse, Y. K.(2002)。Some Recent Developments in Futures Hedging。Journal of Economic Surveys,16(3),357-396。  new window
22.Liu, Kang E.、Geaun, Jerome、Lei, Li-Fen(2001)。Optimal Hedging Decisions for Taiwanese Corn Traders on the Way to Liberalisation。Agricultural Economics,25(2/ 3),303-309。  new window
23.Laws, Jason、Thompson, John(2005)。Hedging Effectiveness of Stock Index Futures。European Journal of Operational Research,163(1),177-191。  new window
24.Sim, Ah-Boon、Zurbruegg, Ralf(2001)。Optimal Hedge Ratios and Alternative Hedging Strategies in the Presence of Cointegrated Time-varing Risks。The European Journal of Finance,7(3),269-283。  new window
圖書論文
1.Bollerslev, T.、Engle, R. F.、Nelson, D. B.(1994)。ARCH models。Handbook of Econometrics。Elsevier Science, Amsterdam:North-Holland。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE