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題名:企業創新特質、財務預測與盈餘管理之關聯
書刊名:會計學報
作者:劉正田黃麗樺林修葳 引用關係
作者(外文):Liu, Jen-tenHuang, Li-huaLin, Hsiou-wei W.
出版日期:2009
卷期:2:1
頁次:頁1-28
主題關鍵詞:創新研究發展財務預測財務預測更新盈餘管理InnovationResearch and developmentR&DFinancial forecastFinancial forecast renewalEarnings management
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(7) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:7
  • 共同引用共同引用:259
  • 點閱點閱:45
本文探討我國企業創新投資、財務預測與盈餘管理之關係。研發投資過 程有三種不確定性:技術不確定性、商業不確定性、經濟不確定性,因此,企 業之盈餘預測誤差可能較大。當盈餘預測之實際數與預測數差異過高時,企業 必需負擔商譽損失與行政處罰。因此,企業可能作預測更新或盈餘管理以降低 預測誤差。本文即是檢驗高研發廠商之營運不確定與預測誤差之情形,並測試 作第二次預測修正及期後預測修正之企業,其盈餘管理之可能情形如何。本文 以我國上市櫃公司為測試樣本,研究發現有:第一、高研發創新之公司,營收 與營業活動現金流量之變異性較高。第二、高研發創新之公司,初次盈餘預測 誤差率較高,預測之更新次數較多,盈餘管理程度亦較高。第三、高研發創新 者,以及初次盈餘預測誤差率較高者,盈餘管理程度較高;而作第二次盈餘預 測更新者、期後期間作盈餘預測更新者,以及預測更新次數較多者,盈餘管理 程度較低。
The purpose of this study is to explore the relationships among R&D investment; financial forecast; and earnings management in Taiwan. Regarding the R&D investment, there are three kinds of uncertainties: technical uncertainty; commercial uncertainty; and economic uncertainty. The uncertainties influence the accuracy of financial forecast. When there is substantial difference between the actual earnings and earnings forecast, the reputation of firm would be impaired as well as the administrative penalty would be imposed. Under this circumstance, the firms might perform the financial forecast renewal or earning management to mitigate the forecast errors. Our paper is to examine the relationship between the uncertainties of the high R&D industries and their financial forecast errors. We evaluate the earnings management of the high R&D firms undertook a second financial forecast renewal and post-fiscal period financial forecast renewal. The target samples are the Taiwanese listed firms with financial data. Our empirical study results indicate: 1). that high R&D firms demonstrate higher volatility in terms of revenue and cash flow from the operating activities; 2). the volatility increases the probability of initial errors in the earnings forecasts, the frequency of the revised financial forecasts along with higher earnings management; and 3). the high R&D firms with more initial errors in the earnings forecasts also presented higher earnings management. However, the firms conducted a second financial forecast renewal, post-fiscal period financial forecast renewal, and more than two financial forecast renewals, exhibited lower earnings management.
期刊論文
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16.Larcker, David F.、Richardson, Scott A.(2004)。Fees Paid to Audit Firms, Accrual Choices, and Corporate Governance。Journal of Accounting Research,42(3),625-658。  new window
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20.劉正田(2002)。無形資產、成長機會與股票報酬關係之研究。會計評論,35,1-29。new window  延伸查詢new window
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研究報告
1.財政部證券暨期貨管理委員會(199706)。我國財務預測制度之檢討報告。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.蔡雪鄉(2001)。現金增資與財務預測關係之研究(碩士論文)。彰化師範大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.謝敏祺(1999)。上市公司現金增資前財務預測與盈餘管理之關連性(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.施明志(2002)。季盈餘管理行為與門檻心理之探討(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.楊淑蓉(2000)。強制性財務預測準確度與盈餘管理關聯性研究(碩士論文)。實踐大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.張瓊文(2000)。強制性財務預測與盈餘管理關聯性之研究--更新標準改變前後之探討(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
6.林君怡(2002)。門檻心理下之盈餘管理(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.行政院國家科學委員會(2007)。中華民國科學技術統計要覽。行政院國家科學委員會。  延伸查詢new window
2.Ronen, J.、Sadan, S.(1981)。Smoothing numbers: objectives, means, and implication。Addision-Wesley Publishing Inc.。  new window
3.Johnson, Richard A.、Wichern, Dean W.(1992)。Applied Multivariate Statistical Analysis。Prentice-Hall, Inc.。  new window
其他
1.行政院金融監督管理委員會證券期貨局(2007)。公開發行公司公開財務預測資訊處理準則,http://www.sfb.gov.tw/intro_index.asp。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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