:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:銀行放款行為之順景氣循環現象:機構記憶假說之檢測
書刊名:管理評論
作者:陳家彬 引用關係許治文賴怡洵 引用關係連琮勛
作者(外文):Chen, Chia-pinHsu, Chih-wenLai, Yi-hsunLien, Tsung-hsun
出版日期:2012
卷期:31:3
頁次:頁1-20
主題關鍵詞:放款行為機構記憶假說順景氣循環Lending behaviorInstitutional memory hypothesisProcyclicality
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:15
  • 點閱點閱:63
銀行業主要功能為提供各種金融中介服務,協助經濟發展與促進景氣繁榮,然而過去十餘年各國學者由不同角度研究發現銀行業可能因各種不同因素造成景氣循環波動擴大,因而提出順循環之現象。本文歸納有關順循環之諸多文獻並引用一個新興發展的理論來分析與探討台灣地區銀行放款的順景氣循環行為,機構記憶假說認為在銀行的放款過程中,放款人員經驗能力的衰退會導致放款標準的寬鬆,進而可能引起銀行放款行為的循環性。以民國76年至96年台灣地區的銀行為樣本,使用panel data方法進行實證分析。研究結果發現機構記憶假說確實能夠解釋台灣地區銀行放款標準的順景氣循環行為,也就是隨著距離上次放款危機的時間越來越遠,存放款利差與擔保放款比率則會逐漸降低;然而,銀行的放款成長率經穩健測試後較無一致性結果。此外,機構記憶假說對小銀行的放款行為有較佳的解釋,且對於仰賴軟資訊類型放款的影響較仰賴硬資訊類型放款的影響來得大。
The banking industry provides a variety of intermediary services to assist in economic developments and recoveries. However, many studies of different countries have explored the phenomenon that banks may amplify business cycle volatilities due to various reasons. This is the concept of "pro-cyclical". This paper summarizes extensive literature regarding procyclicality, and examines this phenomenon from a new hypothesis that may help explain the procyclicality of Taiwan's bank lending. The institutional memory hypothesis is driven by deterioration in the ability of loan officers over the bank's lending cycle that results in an easing of credit standards, even the procyclicality of bank's lending behavior. We test this hypothesis for the individual Taiwan banks over 1987-2007 and analyze the samples using panel data methods. The results show that the institutional memory hypothesis is able to explain the procyclicality of Taiwan's bank lending behavior. It means that loan spread will reduce as well as the proportion of secured loans as time passes since a bank's last bust. However, the robust test appears to provide no consistent evidence for loan growth. The findings also indicate that the institutional memory hypothesis explains better the lending behavior at small banks than large ones. Finally, as expected, the institutional memory hypothesis is more supported by soft-information-intensive loans than hard-information-intensive loans.
期刊論文
1.楊蓁海(2005)。我國銀行授信行為與景氣循環的關係:兼論新版巴賽爾資本協定的順循環影響效果暨其因應之道。中央銀行季刊,28(1),43-72。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Smith, C. W.、Warner, J. B.(1979)。Bankruptcy, secured debt and optimal capital structure。Comment. Journal of Finance,34(1),247-251。  new window
3.Berger, Allen N.、Udell, Gregory F.(1990)。Collateral,loan quality, and bank risk。Journal of Political Economy,25(1),21-42。  new window
4.Hansen, Bruce E.(2001)。The New Econometrics of Structural Change: Dating Breaks in U.S. Labor Productivity。Journal of Economic Perspectives,15(4),117-128。  new window
5.Borio, Claudio、Lowe, Philip(2002)。Asset Prices, Financial and Monetary Stability: Exploring the Nexus。BIS [Working Paper],114。  new window
6.Stein, Jeremy C.(2002)。Information Production and Capital Allocation: Decentralized Versus Hierarchical Firms。The Journal of Finance,57(5),1891-1921。  new window
7.Altman, Edward I.、Brady, Brooks、Resti, Andrea、Sironi, Andrea(2005)。The Link Between Default and Recovery Rates: Theory, Empirical Evidence, and Implications。The Journal of Business,78(6),2203-2228。  new window
8.Laeven, Luc、Majnoni, Giovanni(2003)。Loan loss provisioning and economic slowdowns: Too much, too late?。Journal of Financial Intermediation,12(2),178-197。  new window
9.Bikker, J. A.、Metzemakers, P. A. J.(2005)。Bank provisioning behaviour and procyclicality。Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money,15,141-157。  new window
10.Acharya, Viral V.(2009)。A Theory of Systemic Risk and Design of Prudential Bank Regulation。Journal of Financial Stability,5(3),224-255。  new window
11.Guttentag, Jack、Herring, Richard(1984)。Credit Rationing and Financial Disorder。Journal of Finance,39(5),1359-1382。  new window
12.沈中華、賴柏志、張家華(20050600)。總體經濟因素在Basel Ⅱ資本適足率公式的內涵及意義。金融風險管理季刊,1(2),97-108。  延伸查詢new window
13.Dell'Ariccia, G.、Marquez, R.(2006)。Lending Booms and Lending Standards。Journal of Finance,61,2511-2546。  new window
14.Breusch, T. S.、Pagan, A. R.(1980)。The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics。The Review of Economic Studies,47(1),239-253。  new window
15.Johansen, Søren、Juselius, Katarina(1990)。Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration: with Applications to the Demand for Money。Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics,52(2),169-210。  new window
16.Hausman, Jerry A.(1978)。Specification tests in econometrics。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,46(6),1251-1271。  new window
17.Berger, A. N.、Udell, G. F.(2002)。Small Business Credit Availability and Relationship Lending: The Importance of Bank Organisational Structure。The Economic Journal,112(477),F32-F53。  new window
18.沈中華、王健安(2002)。是「粗心的放款者」,還是「壞的借款者」使銀行經營績效低落?。台灣金融財務季刊,3(1),141-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.陳安琳、李文智、周士雄(1999)。銀行存放款利率差距因素之研究。中華管理評論,2(6),1-16。  延伸查詢new window
20.Altman, Edward I.、Andrea Resti、Andrea Sironi(2002)。The Link Between Default and Recovery Rates: Effects on the Procyclicality of Regulatory Capital Ratios。BIS [Working Paper],113。  new window
21.Altman, Edward I.、Saunders,, Anthony(2001)。An Analysis and Critique of the BIS Proposal on Capital Adequency and Ratings。Journal of Banking and Finance,25(1),25-46。  new window
22.Asea, Patrick K.、Blomberg Brock(1998)。Lending Cycles。Journal of Econometrics,83(1/2),89-128。  new window
23.Ayuso, Juan、Perez Daniel、Saurina Jesus(2004)。Are Capital Buffers Pro-cyclical? Evidence from Spanish Panel Data。Journal of Financial Intermediation,13(2),249-264。  new window
24.Baltagi, Badi.H.、Qi Li(1990)。A Lagrange Multiplier Test for the Error Components Model with Incomplete Panels。Econometric Reviews,9(1),103-107。  new window
25.Bangia, Anil.、Diebold Francis X.、Kronimus Andre、Schagen Christian、Til Schuermann(2002)。Ratings Migration and the Business Cycle, with Applications to Credit Portfolio Stress Testing。Journal of Banking and Finance,26(2/3),445-474。  new window
26.Berger, Allen N.、Udell, Gregory F.(1994)。Did Risk-Based Capital Allocate Bank Credit and Cause a 'Credit Crunch' in the United States?。Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,26(3),585-628。  new window
27.Berger, Allen N.、Udell Gregory F.(2004)。The Institutional Memory Hypothesis and the Procyclicality of Bank Lending Behavior。Journal of Financial Intermediation,13(4),458-495。  new window
28.Bernanke, Ben S.、Lown, Cara S.(1991)。The Credit Crunch。Brookings Papers on Economic Activity,2,205-247。  new window
29.Bouvatier, Vincent、Lepetit, Laetitia(2008)。Bank’s Procyclical Behavior: Does Provisioning Matter?。Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money,18(5),513-526。  new window
30.Carey, Mark(2002)。A Guide to Choosing Absolute Bank Capital Requirements。Journal of Banking and Finance,26(5),929-951。  new window
31.Chiuri, Maria. C.、Giovanni Ferri、Majnoni, Giovanni(2002)。The Macroeconomic Impact of Bank Capital Requirements in Emerging Economies: Past Evidence to Assess the Future。Journal of Banking and Finance,26(5),881 -904。  new window
32.Chu, Ling、Mathieu, Robert、Robb, Sean、Zhang, Ping(2007)。Bank Capitalization and Lending Behavior After Introduction of the Basel Accord。Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,28(2),147-162。  new window
33.Catarineu-Rebell, Eva、Patricia, Jackson、Dimitrios P. Tsomocos(2005)。Procyclicality and the New Basel Accord —Bank’s Choice of Loan Rating System。Economic Theory,26(3),537-557。  new window
34.Furfme, Craig(2001)。Bank Portfolio Allocation: The Impact of Capital Requirements, Regulatory Monitoring, and Economic Conditions。Journal of Financial Services Research,20(1),33-56。  new window
35.Gordy, Michael B.、Howells, Bradley(2006)。Procyclicality in Basel II: Can We Treat the Disease Without Killing the Patient?。Journal of Financial Intermediation,15(3),395-417。  new window
36.Gorton, Gary、Pin He(2008)。Bank Credit Cycles。Review of Economic Studies,75(4),1181-1214。  new window
37.Koopman, Siem J.、Andre Lucas、Klaassen, Pieter(2005)。Empirical Credit Cycles and Capital Buffer Formation。Journal of Banking and Finance,29(12),3159-3179。  new window
38.Mullainathan, Sendhil(2002)。A Memory-Based Model of Bounded Rationality。Quarterly Journal of Economics,117(3),735-774。  new window
39.Nickell, Pamela、Perraudin, William、Varotto, Simone(2000)。Stability of Ratings Transitions。Journal of Banking & Finance,24(1/2),203-227。  new window
40.Pederzoli, Chiara、Torricelli, Costanza(2005)。Capital Requirements and Business Cycle Regimes: Forward-Looking Modeling of Default Probabilities。Journal of Banking and Finance,29(12),3121-3140。  new window
41.Peek, Joe、Rosengren, Eric(1995)。Bank Regulation and the Credit Crunch。Journal of Banking and Finance,19(3/4),679-692。  new window
42.Pennacchi, George G.(2005)。Risk-Based Capital Standards, Deposit Insurance, and Procyclicality。Journal of Financial Intermediation,14(4),423-465。  new window
43.Rajan, Raghuram G.(1994)。Why Bank Credit Policies Fluctuate: A Theory and Some Evidence。Quarterly Journal of Economics,109(2),399-441。  new window
44.Thakor, Anjan V.(2005)。Do Loan Commitments Cause Over Lending?。Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,37(6),1067-1098。  new window
45.Udell, Gregory F.(1989)。Loan Quality, Commercial Loan Review and Loan Officer Contracting。Journal of Banking and Finance,13(3),367-382。  new window
46.Wagster, John D.(1999)。The Basle Accord of 1988 and the International Credit Crunch of 1989-1992。Journal of Financial Services Research,15(2),123-143。  new window
研究報告
1.Bernanke, B.、Gertler, M.、Gilchrist, S.(1998)。The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework。  new window
2.Acharya, Viral V.、Tanju Yorulmazer(2003)。Information Contagion and Inter-Bank Correlation in a Theory of Systemic Risk。  new window
3.Horvath, Edit(2002)。Lending Booms, Credit Risk and the Dynamic Provisioning System。  new window
4.Lowe, Philip(2002)。Credit Risk Measurment and Procyclicality。  new window
圖書
1.Dewatripont, Mathias、Tirole, Jean(1994)。The Prudential Regulation of Banks。The MIT Press。  new window
2.Berger, Allen N.、Margaret, K. Kyle、Scalise, Joseph M.(2001)。Did US Bank Supervisors Get Tougher During the Credit Crunch? Did They Get Easier During the Banking Boom? Did It Matter to Bank Lending?。rudential Supervision: What Works and What Doesn’t \\ Mishkin, F.S. (ed.)。Chicago。  new window
3.Minsky, H.(1977)。A Theory of Systematic Fragility, Financial Crisis。New York。  new window
其他
1.Market Discipline in Banking Reconsidered: The Roles of Deposit Insurance Reform, Funding Manager Decisions and Bond Market Liquidity. Finance and Economics Discussion Series , http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/(2002)。Market Discipline in Banking Reconsidered: The Roles of Deposit Insurance Reform, Funding Manager Decisions and Bond Market Liquidity。  new window
圖書論文
1.Borio, Claudio、Furfine, Craig、Lowe, Philip(2001)。Procyclicality of the financial system and financial stability: Issues and policy options。Marrying the macro- and micro-prudential dimensions of financial stability。Bank for International Settlements, Monetary and Economic Dept.。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE