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摘要
外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
各國旅遊導向成長假說之驗證
書刊名:
輔仁管理評論
作者:
柏婉貞
作者(外文):
Po, Wan-chen
出版日期:
2012
卷期:
19:1
頁次:
頁95-116
主題關鍵詞:
旅遊發展
;
經濟成長
;
動態GMM 追蹤資料
;
Tourism development
;
Economic growth
;
Dynamic panel GMM model
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
1
) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
1
共同引用:0
點閱:60
本研究以內生成長模型為基礎並應用動態GMM 追蹤資料模型來檢視世界各國旅遊導向成長假說之議題。本文除了以旅遊密度進行分群樣本的追蹤資料因果關係外,模型也考慮國家特性指標 (所得水準、區域),以準確估計各國旅遊發展對經濟成長影響的重要性。本研究發現具有高旅遊密度、低所得的非洲國家,普遍支持旅遊導向經濟成長假說,這些國家的政府應致力於旅遊產業的開發與提供;相對而言,擁有低旅遊密度、中高所得的歐美國家則不存在旅遊導向經濟成長假說,旅遊發展無法促進經濟成長,政府應採取較保守的旅遊產業政策。實證結果驗證內生成長理論的研究觀點。
以文找文
This paper used endogenous growth theory to apply a dynamic panel GMM model to test the tourism-led growth hypothesis. The data was divided into different categories according to how strong the incentive was to engage in tourism. In addition, specific detailed of countries (income, region) were also used to investigate how important the development of tourism was to economic growth. The empirical resulted indicate that, for African countries, for which GDP was lower while the incentive to engage in tourism was higher than for other countries, the tourism-led growth hypothesis was significantly supported. Therefore, the respective governments should make effort to develop tourism to achieve their economic growth goals. By contrast, there did not exist a tourism-led growth hypothesis when GDP was higher and the incentive to engage in tourism was lower than in other countries. In such cases, the governments could adopt a more conservative tourism policy. The resulted of the study support the endogenous growth theory.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Balaguer, J.、Cantavella-Jordá, Manuel(2002)。Tourism as a long-run economic growth factor: The Spanish case。Applied Economics,34(7),877-884。
2.
Gunduz, L.、Hatemi-J, A.(2005)。Is the tourism-led growth hypothesis valid for Turkey?。Applied Economics Letters,12(8),499-504。
3.
Lee, Chien-Chiang、Chang, Chun-Ping(2008)。Tourism development and economic growth: A closer look at panels。Tourism Management,29(1),180-192。
4.
Palmer, T.、Riera, A.(2003)。Tourism and environmental taxes. With special reference to the "Balearic ecotax"。Tourism Management,24(6),665-674。
5.
Po, W. C.、Huang, B. N.(2008)。Tourism development and economic growth: a nonlinear approach。Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications,387(22),5535-5542。
6.
Wattanakuljarus, A.、Coxhead, I.(2008)。Is tourism-based development good for the poor?: A general equilibrium analysis for Thailand。Journal of Policy Modeling,30(6),929-955。
7.
Cortés-Jiménez, I.(2009)。Which Type of Tourism Matters to The Regional Economic Growth? The Cases of Spain and Italy。International Journal of Tourism Research,10(2),127-139。
8.
Cortes-Jimenez, I.、Pulina, M.(2010)。Inbound Tourism and Long-run Economic Growth。Current Issues in Tourism,13(1),61-74。
9.
Dritsakis, N.(2004)。Tourism As A Long-Run Economic Growth Factor: An Empirical Investigation for Greece Using Causality Analysis。Tourism Economics,10(3),305-316。
10.
Durbarry, R.(2002)。The Economic Contribution of Tourism in Mauritius。Annals of Tourism Research,29(3),862-865。
11.
Easterly, W.、Kraay, A.(2000)。Small States, Small Problems ? Income, Growth and Volatility in Small States。World Development,28(20),2013-2017。
12.
Elias, S.、Proença, S.(2008)。Tourism As An Alternative Source of Regional Growth in Portugal: A Panel Data Analysis at NUTS II and III Levels。Portuguese Economic Journal,7(1),43-61。
13.
Figini, P.、Vici, L.(2010)。Tourism and Growth in A Cross-Section of Countries。Tourism Economics,16(4),789-805。
14.
Jenkins, C.(1980)。Tourism Policies in Developing Countries: A Critique。International Journal of Tourism Management,1(2),22-29。
15.
Mak, J.(2005)。Tourism Demand and Output in The US Tourism Satellite Accounts: 1998-2003。Journal of Travel Research,44(2),4-15。
16.
Milne, S.(1987)。Differential Multipliers。Annals of Tourism Research,14(2),99-115。
17.
Johnson, Rebecca L.、Moore, Eric(1993)。Tourism impact estimation。Annals of Tourism Research,20(2),279-288。
18.
Kim, Hyun Jeong、Chen, Ming-Hsiang、Jang, Soo-Cheong(2006)。Tourism expansion and economic development: the case of Taiwan。Tourism Management,27(5),925-933。
19.
Oh, Chi-Ok(2005)。The contribution of tourism development to economic growth in the Korean economy。Tourism Management,26(1),39-44。
20.
Kumar, P.(2004)。Economic Impact of Tourism on Fili's Economic: Economic Evidence from The Computable General Equilibrium Model。Tourism Economics,10(3),419-433。
21.
Smith, Michael D.、Krannich, Richard S.(1998)。Tourism dependence and resident attitudes。Annals of Tourism Research,25(4),386-398。
22.
Pearce, J. A.(1980)。Host Community Acceptance of Foreign Tourists: Strategic Considerations。Annals of Tourism Research,7(2),224-233。
23.
Papatheodorou, A.(1999)。The Demand for International Tourism in the Mediterranean Region。Applied Economics,31(5),619-630。
24.
Arellano, Manuel、Bond, Stephen R.(1991)。Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations。The Review of Economic Studies,58(2),277-297。
25.
Lucas, Robert E. Jr.(1988)。On the Mechanics of Economic Development。Journal of Monetary Economics,22(1),3-42。
26.
Barro, Robert J.(1990)。Government Spending in a Simple Model of Endogenous Growth。Journal of Political Economy,98(5),S103-S125。
27.
Kose, A.、Prasad, E.、Terrones, M.。Financial Integration and Macroeconomic Volatility。IMF Staff Papers,50,119-142。
28.
Sarantis, N.、Stewart, C.(2001)。Saving behavior in OECD countries: Evidence from panel cointegration tests。Manchester School,69(1),22-41。
研究報告
1.
Arezki, R.,、Cherif, R.、Piotrowski, J.(2009)。Tourism Specialization and Economic Development: Evidence from the UNESCO World Heritage List (計畫編號:WP/09/176)。
2.
Brau, R.,、Lanza, A.,、Pigliaru, F.(2003)。How Fast Are The Tourism Countries Growing? The Cross-Country Evidence. (計畫編號:85)。
3.
Brau, R.、Lanza, A.、Pigliaru, F.(2007)。How Fast Are Small Tourism Countries Growing? The 1980-2003 Evidence (計畫編號:1)。
4.
Eugenio-Martin, J. L.、Morales, N. M.、Scarpa, R.(2004)。Tourism and Economic Growth in Latin American Countries: A Panel Data Approach (計畫編號:26)。Milan。
5.
Sequeira, T. N.、Campos, C.(2005)。International Tourism and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach。Milan。
圖書
1.
Mihalic, T.(2002)。Tourism and Economic Development Issues。Tourism and Development: Concepts and Issues。Clevedon:Channel view publishing。
2.
World Travel and Tourism Council(2007)。Methodology Document for WTTC 2007 Travel and Tourism Economic Research。
3.
World Tourism Organization(2009)。Yearbook of Tourism Statistics。Madrid:World Tourism Organization。
4.
Baltagi, Badi H.(2001)。Econometric Analysis of Panel Data。Chichester, New York:John Wiley & Sons。
5.
Hsiao, Cheng(2003)。Analysis of Panel Data。Cambridge University Press。
6.
Mill, R. C.、Morrison, A. M.(2002)。The Tourism System。Kendall/Hunt Publishing Company。
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