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題名:核保判斷因素及理賠關聯性的實證--以產險公司經營團體傷害保險為個案
書刊名:保險專刊
作者:李旭華 引用關係許銘元李珍穎 引用關係
作者(外文):Lee, Hsu-huaHsu, Ming-yuanLee, Chen-ying
出版日期:2014
卷期:30:2
頁次:頁167-185
主題關鍵詞:團體傷害保險核保判斷因素順序邏輯斯迴歸決策法則Group injury insuranceUnderwriting decision making factorOrded logistic regressionDecision rule
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:11
  • 點閱點閱:9
本研究之目的在驗證核保判斷為高風險的要保人是否會導致高理賠?並分析核保政策執行後對損失降低的效果。研究對象為台灣某家產險公司,期間為2009年~2010年,以順序邏輯斯迴歸為研究方法。研究結果發現,16個自變數中有11個變數對損失有顯著影響,7個變數為負向關係。模型的準確率約在79%~91%。研究結果可協助該個案公司建立一個健全的核保制度。
The purpose of this study is to examine whether high risk group can result in the high claims, and the effect of implementing underwriting policy on the reduction of loss. The data on group injury insurance from a Property-Liability Company in Taiwan is analyzed from 2009 to 2010 by using ordered logistic regression. There are 16 independent variables to analyze the relationship between underwriting making factors and claims. The result indicates 11 variables with significant impact and 6 variables with negative impact on the loss. The accuracy rate of the model is 79%~91%. The result of the study can be used to establish a sound underwriting system.
期刊論文
1.陳青浩、林明俊、龔彥仲(2008)。團體保險理賠率之實証分析。風險管理學報,10(2),133-155。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Wang, Jennifer L.、Chung, Ching-Fan、Tzeng, Larry Y.(2008)。An Empirical Analysis of The Effects of Increasing Deductibles on Moral Hazard。Journal of Risk and Insurance,75(3),551-566。  new window
3.利菊秀、劉純之、葉家興(20041200)。論保險市場「訊息不對稱」理論與實證的不一致性。保險專刊,20(2),99-112。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Rothschild, M.、Stiglitz, J. E.(1976)。Equilibrium in competitive insurance markets: An essay on the economics of imperfect information。Quarterly Journal of Economics,90(4),629-649。  new window
5.Shavell, S.(1979)。On Moral Hazard and Insurance。Quarterly Journal of Economics,93,541-562。  new window
6.石泱(20040300)。職業工會勞工參加職業災害保險制度之研究--逆選擇與道德風險的觀點。保險實務與制度,3(1),53-76。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.李沃牆、丁榮光(2004)。自用車車體險核保系統之建構--台灣地區之實證研究。保險專刊,20(2),113-130。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.周百隆、姚振華、石佩琇(2010)。產險業個人傷害保險危險因子分析。核保學報,18,29-60。  延伸查詢new window
9.De Meza, D.、Webb, D. C.(2001)。Advantage Selection in Insurance Market。Rand Journal of Economics,32,249-262。  new window
10.Arrow, Kenneth J.(1963)。Uncertainty and the Welfare Economics of Medical Care。The American Economic Review,53(5),941-973。  new window
圖書
1.Rejda, G. E.(2005)。Principal of Risk Management and Insurance。Addision Wesley。  new window
2.Luthardt, C. M.、Wiening, E. A.(2006)。Property and Liability Insurance Principles。The American Institute for CPCU:Insurance Institute of America。  new window
3.Dorfman, M. S.(1998)。Introduction to Risk Management and Insurance。Prentice Hall, Inc. A Simon and Schuster Company。  new window
4.International Association of Insurance(2002)。Report of Solvency Working Party。  new window
5.Ryan, J. P.、Lock, P. R. Archer、Czernuszewicz, A. J.、Gillot, N. R.、Hinton, P. H.、Ibeson, D.、Malde, S. A.、Paul, D.、Malde, S. A.、Paul, D.、Shah, N.(2001)。Financial Condition Assessment。Institute of Actuaries and Faculty of Actuaries。  new window
 
 
 
 
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