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題名:「安倍晉三經濟學」對基金績效之影響研究:以日本大型股票基金為例
書刊名:國立虎尾科技大學學報
作者:彭開琼 引用關係張佳雯 引用關係王美月
作者(外文):Peng, Kai-chiungChang, Chia-wenWang, Mei-yueh
出版日期:2016
卷期:33:3
頁次:頁17-33
主題關鍵詞:日本股票基金風險值投資績效安倍晉三JapanFundsValue at riskInvestment performanceAbe Shinzo
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:15
  • 點閱點閱:19
本文選取2009至2015年15檔日本大型股票基金為研究標的,以報酬率、標準差、β係數、Sharpe係數、風險調整資本報酬率(Risk-Adjusted Returnon Capital, RAROC)等方法評估基金績效,並以變異數與共變異數法、歷史模擬法、蒙地卡羅法及拔靴法(Bootstrap)等評估基金風險,分析七年間日本經濟之變化,再以2012年12月31日為切割點,透過魏克森符號等級檢定(Wilcoxon signed-rank test)來探討自安倍晉三為日本首相前後績效之差異,以了解對日本經濟帶來的效應,進而提供投資人在投資選擇日本基金時的重要參考依據。實證結果得知,基金績效與風險值的表現在安倍任首相前後是有顯著性的差異,顯示安倍晉三的振興經濟政策成效良好,造就日本經濟復甦。個別基金表現方面,摩根日本基金的平均月報酬最好,但標準差及β係數表現最差;安本環球日本股票基金A2的Sharpe係數、RAROC表現最好;利安資金日本基金的標準差表現最好;利安資金日本增長基金的β係數最好;宏利環球基金日本增長基金A的平均月報酬、Sharpe係數、RAROC表現最差。就風險值的表現最佳的是亨德森遠見日本機會基金;表現最差的是摩根日本基金。
The study selects 15 Japan Large-Cap Equity Funds within 2009-2015, using methods such as Rate of Return, Standard Deviation, Beta Coefficient, Sharpe Ratio and Risk-Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) to evaluate fund performances, then using Variance-Covariance Approach, Historical Simulation Method, Monte Carlo Simulation and Bootstrap to evaluate fund risks and analyze Japanese economic change. It divides 2012/12/31 into two stages, and studying the differences of fund performances and VaR through T-test to analyze the economic effect before/after Abe was appointed as Japanese prime minister, providing an important reference to fund investors. The empirical results show that J.P. Morgan fund's Average Return is the best, though Standard Deviation and Beta Coefficient are the worst. Aberdeen Global-Japanese Equity Fund A2 Sharpe Ratio and RAROC are the best. LionGlobal Japan Growth Fund Beta Coefficient is the best. Manulife GF Japanese Growth A Average Remuneration, Sharpe Ratio and RAROC are the worst. Thus, aspect of VaR, Henderson Horizon Japan Opps A2 USD performance is the best, J.P. Morgan fund is the worst. Therefore, the performance and VaR show a significant difference before/after Abe's appointment of Prime Minister. It showed that Abe's economic policy is successful and is expected to bring economic recovery in Japan.
期刊論文
1.林灼榮、徐啟升(20100100)。臺灣共同基金績效持續性之檢定:多構面績效指標之比較。管理與系統,17(1),27-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.李榮謙、高超洋、黃麗倫、楊淑雯(20100600)。日本失落十年的經驗與啟示。中央銀行季刊,32(2),47-64。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.王佳真、徐辜元宏(20040600)。風險值的應用與臺灣共同基金績效指標之持續性。臺大管理論叢,14(2),23-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Venkataraman, S.(1997)。Value at Risk for a Mixture of Normal Distributions: The Use of Quasi-Bayesian Estimation Techniques。Economic Perspectives,21(2),2-13。  new window
5.Beder, Tanya Styblo(1995)。VAR: Seductive but Dangerous。Financial Analysts Journal,51(5),12-24。  new window
6.Pritsker, M.(1997)。Evaluating Value at Risk Methodologies: Accuracy versus Computational Time。Journal of Financial Services Research,12(2/3),201-243。  new window
7.Efron, Bradley(1979)。Bootstrap methods: another look at the jackknife。The Annals of Statistics,7(1),1-26。  new window
8.林佳靜(20040900)。日本股票型基金與指數型基金之分析。臺灣金融財務季刊,5(3),143-158。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.邱奕宏(20130700)。安倍經濟學的啟示。戰略安全研析,99,39-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.洪敏三、賴玄和(20080300)。以蒙地卡羅法模擬RAROC評估專屬保險公司設立地點--以大型貨運業為例。運籌管理評論,3(1),111-122。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.徐飛(2014)。後危機時代日本政府規制政策的方向性調整。日本研究,2014(4),18-24。  延伸查詢new window
12.陳志宏(2014)。為落實安倍經濟學的三支箭,日本經產省於今年1月公布〔產業競爭力強化法〕相關配套措施。科技法律透析,26(5),4-5。  延伸查詢new window
13.曾世輝、顧廣平、楊馥如(20111000)。區域型新興市場股票型基金績效評估。永續發展與管理策略,3(2),41-69。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.楊佳寧(20010300)。風險值及RAROC於基金績效評估之運用。貨幣觀測與信用評等,28,124-131。  延伸查詢new window
15.蘇榮斌(20110700)。美國股票市場風險值之估計。中華科技大學學報,48,179-199。  延伸查詢new window
16.蘇顯揚、呂慧敏(20130300)。揭開「安倍經濟學」的面紗。經濟前瞻,146,8-13。  延伸查詢new window
17.Cai, J.、Chan, K. C.、Yamada, T.(1997)。The Performance of Japanese Mutual Funds。Review of Financial Studies,10,237-273。  new window
18.Hamilton, J.(1991)。A Quasi-Bayesian Approach to Estimating Parameters for Mixture Normal Distributions。Journal of Business and Economics Statistics,9,27-39。  new window
19.DeAngelo, Linda E.(1986)。Accounting numbers as market valuation substitutes: A study of management buyouts of public stockholders。The Accounting Review,61(3),400-420。  new window
研究報告
1.Engel, J.、Gizycki, M.(1999)。Conservatism, Accuracy and Efficiency: Comparing Value-at-Risk Models。Australian Prudential Regulation Authority。  new window
學位論文
1.李俊運(2015)。美元、能源與黃金相關基金投資績效之探討(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.龍德明(2014)。金融風暴前後台灣金控公司績效之探討(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.正村公宏、上海社會科學院經濟研究所日本經濟研究室(1994)。戰後日本經濟政治史。台北:桂冠圖書股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.水谷允一、張文海(1998)。戰後日本經濟史--生產、流通、消費結構之變化。臺北:國立編譯館。  延伸查詢new window
3.Jorion, Philippe(2000)。Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Controlling Market Risk。New York, NY:McGraw-Hill Publishing。  new window
4.Efron, Bradley、Tibshirani, Robert J.(1993)。An Introduction to the Bootstrap。Chapman & Hall/CRC。  new window
 
 
 
 
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