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題名:由美國臨時申請案預測未來技術發展趨勢--以電腦通訊技術為例
書刊名:管理評論
作者:李昆鴻陳省三 引用關係
作者(外文):Lee, Kun-hungCheng, Sheng-san
出版日期:2019
卷期:38:4
頁次:頁35-53+119-136
主題關鍵詞:臨時申請案專利分析專利布局Provisional applicationPatent analysisPatent portfolio
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:4
研究目的:本研究目的在於如何有效利用並提早預測未來的技術發展趨勢,這也將是企業發展與研發布局規劃時的重要關鍵。研究設計/方法:本研究提出四種預測方法,並透過電腦通訊領域的臨時申請案專利資訊作為分析示範案例。研究結果:將預測結果進行驗證比較,證實所提的方法能夠提供快速及準確的預測建議,並可協助學術與企業於實務經營上靈活運用。研究限制/啟發:美國臨時申請案的低成本、較早的優先權申請日等優點,吸引了全球越來越多的企業優先採用此制度申請專利,而有申請臨時申請案的專利具有較高的專利品質及較早被公開的專利資訊,因此適合作為分析預測之參考指標。理論/實務/社會意涵:隨著美國臨時申請案每年的申請總量持續成長的趨勢,未來將有越來越多的臨時申請案資訊可被取得,產業界更要早一步加以利用此資訊率先預測未來的潛力市場及發展趨勢,並提早做出規劃與布局準備,搶得市場利基。創見/價值:本研究的價值在於利用了專利資訊,預測未來具有潛力的技術市場方向,使企業能提早、正確投入資源與規劃,為企業的未來發展取得最佳的戰略地位。
Purpose - The purpose of this study illustrates how to make good use of and predict the development trend of technologies in advance, a main factor for enterprises to seek advancement and plan their research and development strategy. Design/methodology/approach - This study proposes four prediction methods, through using the provisional application patent data in computer communication domain as the basis of our analysis and demonstration. Findings - The demonstration and comparison prove that these methods can lead to quick and accurate predictions and be flexibly applied to academic and entrepreneurial practical operations. Research limitations/implications - Due to its lower cost and earlier priority application date, the U.S. provisional application has become a priority system for an increasing number of enterprises in patent application. The patents of provisional application with higher quality and earlier disclosure of patent data is suitable as a reference indicator for analysis and prediction. Practical implications/Social implications -As the annual quantity of provisional application cases increase, more and more provisional application data will be accessed. Thus, it is necessary for enterprises to make use of the data as soon as possible to predict potential markets and development trends, in order to make early preparations for planning and seize business opportunities in the market. Originality/value -The value of this study lies in the use of patent information to predict technological market directions with potential, so that enterprises can invest resources and make plans in an earlier and appropriate manner, and thus, obtain the best strategic position for their future development.
期刊論文
1.Allison, John R.、Lemley, Mark A.、Moore, Kimberly A.、Trunkey, R. Derek(2004)。Valuable Patents。Georgetown Law Journal,92(3),435-480。  new window
2.陳省三、李昆鴻(20160900)。企業快速掌握專利分布現況與未來趨勢預測--以LTE-A無線通訊技術為例。產業與管理論壇,18(3),62-79。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Anderson, Michael H.、Cislo, Daniel、Saavedra, Jaime、Cameron, Kimberly(2013)。Why International Inventors Might Want to Consider Filing Their First Patent Application at the United States Patent Office & the Convergence of Patent Harmonization and E-commerce。Santa Clara High Technology Low Journal,30(4),555-579。  new window
4.Barney, James R.(1999)。An Overview of the Pros and Cons of Provisional Patent Applications。Yale Journal of Law and Technology,1(1),1-10。  new window
5.Eldering, Charles A.、Blasko, John P.、Brown, Abbe EL(1997)。Comparative Analysis of Provisional Patent Applications under US and UK Law。Journal of the Patent and Trademark Office Society,79(4),791-604。  new window
6.Van Horn, Charles E.(1994)。Practicalities and Potential Pitfalls when Using Provisional Patent Applications。AIPLA Quarterly Journal,22(4),259-277。  new window
7.Grabowski, Henry G.、Vernon, John M.(2000)。Effective Patent Life in Pharmaceuticals。International Journal of Technology Management,19(1/2),98-120。  new window
學位論文
1.陳啟桐(2016)。美國臨時專利申請案之申請特性及其與專利品質之相關性研究(博士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
單篇論文
1.Marcus, Brian I.(2007)。Provisional Patent Applications, Their Practical Uses and Potential Pitfalls,http://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/3e25de_a6576e238c4b478ba42048072ac23585.pdf。  new window
2.Sukhatme, Neel U.,Cramer, Judd N. L.(2014)。How much Do Patent Applicants Care about Patent Term? Cross-Industry Differences in Term Sensitivity,http://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=2293245,(ID2293245)。  new window
其他
1.馮志峰,吳佳珍,林詩莉(2016)。申請美國專利的省錢之道--善用臨時申請案,http://www.phycos.com.tw/articles/187。  延伸查詢new window
2.Dennis, Crouch(2008)。A First Look at Who Files Provisional Patent Applications,http://patentlyo.com/patent/2008/06/a-first-look-at.html。  new window
3.Dennis, Crouch(2012)。Provisional Patent Applications as a Flash in the Pan: Many Are Filed and Many are Abandoned,https://patentlyo.com/patent/2012/11/provisional-patent-applications-as-a-flash-in-the-pan-many-are-filed-and-many-are-abandoned.html。  new window
4.Dennis, Crouch(2013)。Abandoning Provisional Applications,http://patentlyo.com/patent/2013/01/abandoning-provisional-applications.html。  new window
5.Dennis, Crouch(2014)。Claiming Priority to Provisional Application,http://patentlyo.com/patent/2014/04/priority-provisional-applications.html。  new window
6.Cruz, Richard L.(2007)。Provisional Patent Applications: Advantages and Limitations,http://www.iphandbook.org/handbook/ch10/p02/。  new window
7.USPTO(2019)。Provisional Application for Patent,http://www.uspto.gov/patents-getting-started/patent-basics/types-patent-applications/provisional-application-patent。  new window
 
 
 
 
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